So does V-Ball make the NCAAs if they win the remaining games?

1,227 Views | 18 Replies | Last: 17 yr ago by whoop87
BigAG98
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AG
I think they would.

drumbeat10
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I definetly wouldn't expect them to. They've got a shot, but winning the remaining three matches would give us a 16-14 overall record and 11-9 in the Big 12. The best out of conference win would have to be considered BYU at home, and while BYU was ranked at the time, they've taken a sharp turn downward over the course of the season and are currently 5-9 in their conference matches. The best conference wins would be Iowa State and Baylor. Iowa State will likely finish in 4th in the conference and should be headed to the NCAA's, but Baylor will likely lose at least one (Nebraska) and probably two or three of their remaining matches (since they are without their top middle blocker, Anna Breyfogle) to fall into sixth place or worse in conference.

Our record wouldn't indicate a tournament bound team, but by winning our remaining three matches we should finish in at least 5th place in conference and the Big 12 seems to always get at least 5 teams in to the NCAA tourney, although the rest of the conference outside of the top three are kind of struggling this year.

We do know one thing for sure, and that is that the only way to have a chance at making the NCAA's is to win out, so that is priority number one. If we can manage that, then I guess our fate will once again rest in the hands of the tournament committee.
Lekner XII
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AG
it's a toss up. but i don't think they get passed over this year if they're eligible. if they win out, they're on a 5-game win streak with two wins on the road.
NumberEinAg
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AG
If we beat Tech and Mizzou, there is a 98% chance that we will finish fourth. Baylor has to play Nebraska and Iowa State has to play Texas. So they both finish 10-10 (not eligible for the tournament) and we finish 11-9 and in 4th Place. They pretty much have to take 4 teams from the Big 12.
drumbeat10
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There is no requirement to be over .500 in conference matches, it is only for the overall record. Baylor and Iowa state will both be over .500 for the season. We must win out to remain over .500 for the season. That being said, assuming baylor and iowa state each lose one of their two remaining games and we win out, we would still finish fourth in the conference and I don't think Iowa State or Baylor have any big time wins out of conference to warrant them getting a bid and us not. Seems like the Big 12 has gotten five teams in each of the last few years, so it'd be interesting to see what happens if we finish fourth and baylor and iowa state finish tied for fifth. Would six teams get in, or would only four get in, or would one of the two (baylor and iowa state) get taken while the other gets left out. If that were to happen, I would assume Iowa state would get the bid over baylor, but who knows?

The biggest concern right now for us is to take care of our two remaining matches. Texas Tech at home in the (most likely) last game to be played in G. Rollie shouldn't be a big problem, but on the road at Missouri will definitely be tough. Good luck the rest of the way ladies!
KC Aggie
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AG
If they don't make the NCAAs this year, will there be a new coach next year? If yes, who would be some likely candidates?
NumberEinAg
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AG
Thanks for the clarification DrumBeat10. It helps that Mizzou is out of the running for an NCAA bid,ut there's nothing better than to be the "spoiler". The girls seem pretty focused right now!!
drumbeat10
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I agree that Missou would love to spoil our season and our shot at an NCAA berth, and they will definitely play with great energy in their last home game. Frankly, they are a bit short handed as far as players go this year, but we seem to really struggle getting into a good rythym on the road. It should be a tough match and I think the breadth of experience that our team has gained over the last three years will really come into play. Hopefully they can pull it out and get NCAA eligible, and its looking like they would have a really good shot based on the big 12 standings.

In response to the other poster asking about a coaching change, I would think almost certainly there would be a change if this team does not make the NCAA's. Even if they do make it and lose in the first round, I think byrne would still be weighing his options as he has higher expectations for this team. If a change is to be made, I would think Mike Jordan at NMSU would have to be one of the top candidates. He's done well with some texas kids and is familiar with the area. Other than that i'm not sure, but byrne always seems to have plans in order.
S.S.Aggie
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5-match win streak. 1 more to go at Mizzou.

Last game for at least 3 years in G.Rollie was played last night. Could have been the last game ever.
Maximus_Meridius
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AG
quote:
Last game for at least 3 years in G.Rollie was played last night. Could have been the last game ever.


In which case, I definitely feel better knowing that the last match was a 3-0 beech-slapping delivered by our team.
S.S.Aggie
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and against Tech
Lekner XII
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AG
One more to go! BTHO mizzou.
_mpaul
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AG
Yes they do!
CDub06
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AG
quote:
The 64-team field will be announced Sunday at 9 p.m. on ESPNU.
_mpaul
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AG
That blows. We're not going.
AgEE
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AG
Obviously the selection committee didn't dig very deep. We were on a 6-0 run to end the season while ISU (who we were tied with for 4th in the B12) sputtered to a 3-3 finish. And they take ISU?! We were obviously the hot team, even taking Nebraska (a 4 seed in the tourney) to 5 games.

Gig'em!
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whoop87
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76th in RPI (as of 11/09) with 2 teams above us in RPI that did not qualify for tournament. They dug as far as they needed to see we were not good enough to be an at-large bid.
AgEE
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AG
Uh, we went 6-0 since the RPI you quoted was released. You don't think we've moved up any in a months time with that record?

What a retarded retort. Obviously you're so blinded by wanting Corbelli to fail that you can't see we were railroaded.

Gig'em!
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agdog78
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AgEE,

I agree with you. We were railroaded. You are also correct in your observation that whoop87 is blinded by his obsession to get the Corbelli's fired. All in all, I think the team and coaches should be commended for the way they performed under pressure the last few weeks. Fighting through all the injuries and problems, we finished with a real bang! We may very well be the third best team in the conference right now, as of today. Unfortunately, we won't get to keep going.
whoop87
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As a long-time fan of Aggie Volleyball I have never wanted the program to fail. They have done that on their own.

The blindness is in those who think they have done an adequate job here at A&M building 4th and 5th place teams instead of champions.

The 6 match win streak to finish the season was worth noting, but so was losing matches to Baylor and Colorado early on. Those should have been easy victories and weren't. The only win against a then-top-25 was to BYU and they fell off the face of the earth, too. There are no wins on our schedule that show we are worthy of being in the top 64 teams considered in the NCAA tournament.

Stop being blind to reality and accept where this is (and isn't).
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