Volleyball tonight at 6 PM at G. rollie followed by a women's basketball game at 7:30
quote:
I see your Big 12 teams slightly different - even though it doesn't exactly follow Pablo. Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, KSU and Colorado I agree are locks.
Here are the current Big 12 and overall record of the five teams in the middle of the conference: (after Nebraska, Missouri & Texas)
Kansas State 9-9, with Baylor and Oklahoma still at home - they should end up 11-9 and 20-10 overall. That would give them 4th place in the conference.
Colorado 10-9, only have Nebraska away left - probably end up 10-10 and 15-12 overall and no worse than tied for 5th in the conference. (Colorado has some non-conference matches including Florida this weekend)
Iowa State 8-10 playing at TAMU on Wednesday and at home against Kansas Saturday. Huge match for both them and Texas A & M on Wednesday. ISU has already beat both of these teams once this year. I think if they can split and end up 9-11 (16-15 overall) they still have a outside shoot at getting into the tournament, but by winning out and ending up 10-10, (17-14 overall) they'd be tied for 5th in the conference and have two wins over both TAMU & Kansas. I think would make them a pretty sure bet for making the field.
TAMU 7-10 with Tech Tech (a make up match) tonight at home, then ISU on Wednesday and on the road this weekend at Missouri. If you figure they are going to drop the road match to Missouri, the best they can do is 9-11 in the Big 12 (16-13). So if they loss either tonight or Wednesday against ISU, they'll probably be 8-12 in the conference (though still 16-15) and I just don't think the committee can justify taking them. So I think, for all practical purposes, the tournament is starting tonight for them with Texas Tech.
Kansas 7-11. I mention them because they are the only other team in the Big 12 that could still end up 9-11 (Baylor can't so I think they're out). KU has Missouri at home and Iowa State on the road but it's pretty tough to pencil in wins in either of those matches.
So the way I see it, after the first five teams I mentioned in the beginning, it is Iowa State and Texas A & M that are bubble teams and probably only one of them makes it, most likely the winner of the match Wednesday at A & M.