Yes, my daughter has Turkish friends and is surprised how little we’re hearing.
— @instapundit (@instapundit) March 22, 2025
As with Syria, and Libya/Iraq before that, I'm not a big fan of the guy running it, but wonder what outcome would be most likely? They are facing rampant stagflation (of around 50%/year) while spending huge (comparative) sums on weapons/war (including in Syria). Reasons for Euro/American skepticism:
Not a minor scene:Quote:
And let us not forget the immigration mess. Turkey has long played gatekeeper to Europe's borders, holding millions of migrants as a bargaining chip. The 2016 EU-Turkey deal was meant to fix this, but Ankara's selective enforcement opening the floodgates for leverage has fuelled Europe's illegal immigration woes. A security partner shouldn't wield your weaknesses as a weapon, yet here we are.
What about Ukraine then? Turkey's stance is a masterclass in ambivalence. While it sells drones to Kyiv, Ankara refuses to join the EU's sanctions on Russia. This isn't principled neutrality, but opportunism. Contrast this with the EU's firm stand against Russian aggression, and you see a gap very difficult to bridge. A security partner must share your enemies, not flirt with them.
Consider, too, the latest crackdown shaking Turkey's faade of democracy. Turkish police have just arrested Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, Erdogan's most formidable rival, on charges of corruption and alleged terrorist ties, effectively barring him from the presidential race. The rule of law in Turkey is a hollow shell, hardly the mark of a stable ally the EU can lean on in times of crisis.
None of this is to say Turkey lacks strengths. Its military is powerful, its location unmatched, its diplomacy outstanding and its industrial capabilities robust. But strengths don't make a partner trust does. And trust is precisely what Ankara has spent decades eroding, from Cyprus to Syria, from the Mediterranean to the migrant routes and beyond.
Turkey on boil!
— Mirror Now (@MirrorNow) March 23, 2025
Protest erupts after arrest of #Istanbul Mayor Imamoglu arrested over corruption, terror links
Demanding #Erdogan's resignation, people of all ages defied a government ban on public gatherings | @ShreyaOpines pic.twitter.com/TDQpHP6uJg
#TurkeyWatch🇹🇷: Turkish police detained 343 people at protests in Istanbul, Ankara, and 7 other cities.
— Steve Hanke (@steve_hanke) March 22, 2025
Following the detention of Ekrem İmamoğlu, Erdoğan’s primary challenger, protests RAGE nationwide.
PRES. ERDOĞAN = NO OPPOSITION = NO PROBLEM.pic.twitter.com/IDG3zxGO0x
This could have a huge impact on both Ukraine and Syria, and of course Europe.