Well, I' m not sure if you really want: a. a scientific explanation for precipitation, b. the methodology employed by meteorologists to formulate and publish their predictions on the likelihood of a precipitation event occurring in a particular locale, on a particular date, and at a particular time, and c. for us to decide for you whether you should cancel your trip or risk being present during a said precipitation event. Or, perhaps these were rhetorical questions and you just need a recommendation to bring an umbrella in the event it rains.
Or, maybe you were just making chit-chat.
Whichever, good luck with your trip! Unless you don't go.