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2025 StatSim - Texas A&M at Mizzou

14,625 Views | 98 Replies | Last: 28 days ago by tk111
SpreadsheetAg
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AG


My personal gut feeling?

Ags 31 - Mizzou 20
Fleen
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Yikes!
usmcbrooks
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To close for comfort. Hoping for a Marcel Heisman Highlight reel!
sleepybeagle
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AG
Let's get this done!
sleepybeagle
Jdb101808
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Does it account for or mater that their QB hasnt played?
TxAgPreacher
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S
Without their QB I feel like this will be a repeat of last year.
FDT 1999
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AG
LSU was also a close stat simulation. Vegas opened at -6.5, and it has moved to -7 at some places and -7.5 at others. I like our chances.
SpreadsheetAg
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How can it? I mean it is mostly 95% based on their team statistics to date... so yes I expect them to lose some umph on offense, but that is minimally taken into account by the formula... they maybe lost 1-2 pts because of it - just how the formula does it's thing.

I don't like manually manipulating the formula for ad hoc events like injuries.
SBISA Victim
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AG
NVM sir. You answered the above.
AgLA06
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SpreadsheetAg said:



I don't like manually manipulating the formula for ad hoc events like injuries.


I wouldn't exactly say losing your top 2 QBs is minimal.

They're going to have to rush for 250 yards and 4 TDs to beat us.
TyperWoods
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Ags 35
Tiggers 13
EKG1996
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AG
AgLA06 said:

SpreadsheetAg said:



I don't like manually manipulating the formula for ad hoc events like injuries.


I wouldn't exactly say losing your top 2 QBs is minimal.

They're going to have to rush for 250 yards and 4 TDs to beat us.


Did you watch their qb play against Vandy? Looked very good considering the circumstances. Hopefully we can take advantage of his inexperience but the talent appears to be there.
Fatboy Thaddeus
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Thanks OP
brunsie
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SpreadsheetAg said:



My personal gut feeling?

Ags 31 - Mizzou 20


BTHO mizzou!!!

Tame the tigers for a 3rd time!
JROD9398
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I didn't see Vandy - t.u., but how good is Vandy's pass d? run d? I still think Mizzou will be up for it for sure. This can make a team's season. But, we have to learn on how to continue to play to win and not "play to not lose"
vander54
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S
JROD9398 said:

I didn't see Vandy - t.u., but how good is Vandy's pass d? run d? I still think Mizzou will be up for it for sure. This can make a team's season. But, we have to learn on how to continue to play to win and not "play to not lose"


Vandy's defense is decent but not near as good as ours. Hopefully that means we can shut them.down offensively.
World's worst proofreader
AozorAg
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I have to think playing against a backup QB in his first collegiate start, regardless of his talent level, will be a net positive for the Ags. We will have a bunch of blitz packages he's never seen before.

We just need to stop the run. Keep them from getting chunk plays where our linebackers are in the wrong gap. If we do that, I think we will score enough on offense to win. They do have a very good defense though. Won't be easy.
Detmersdislocatedshoulder
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this game comes down to discipline we are the better team but they are the type of team that can beat you if you play their game. stuff the run, win 3rd down.
NoahAg
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AozorAg said:

I have to think playing against a backup QB in his first collegiate start, regardless of his talent level, will be a net positive for the Ags. We will have a bunch of blitz packages he's never seen before.


You must be new to Aggie FB. We have a propensity of making backup QBs look like Heisman contenders.

That said, I think we win a close one.
Jdb101808
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NoahAg said:

AozorAg said:

I have to think playing against a backup QB in his first collegiate start, regardless of his talent level, will be a net positive for the Ags. We will have a bunch of blitz packages he's never seen before.


You must be new to Aggie FB. We have a propensity of making backup QBs look like Heisman contenders.

That said, I think we win a close one.


Old history ..
Sharpshooter
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Thank you OP. Thus is some sheet.
AozorAg
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NoahAg said:

AozorAg said:

I have to think playing against a backup QB in his first collegiate start, regardless of his talent level, will be a net positive for the Ags. We will have a bunch of blitz packages he's never seen before.


You must be new to Aggie FB. We have a propensity of making backup QBs look like Heisman contenders.

That said, I think we win a close one.

I'm not new to it at all. I just think this team is good, unlike most of our teams over the last 30 years.
zooguy96
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That QB won't be able to read what Elko is bringing.

Get them jnto 3rd and long - he's toast.
I know a lot about a little, and a little about a lot.
Halconblack
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Closer than I would like but I understand the numbers.

I wonder how much impact taking out their Alabama game and our Arkansas game has on the model? I feel like that was their best game of the year and our worst.

Missouri's defense is awesome against the run. I hope Klein and Reed are ready to exploit the short passing game all day long.
v/r
NoahAg
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AozorAg said:

NoahAg said:

AozorAg said:

I have to think playing against a backup QB in his first collegiate start, regardless of his talent level, will be a net positive for the Ags. We will have a bunch of blitz packages he's never seen before.


You must be new to Aggie FB. We have a propensity of making backup QBs look like Heisman contenders.

That said, I think we win a close one.

I'm not new to it at all. I just think this team is good, unlike most of our teams over the last 30 years.

Fair enough.
sam callahan
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The new QB can cut both ways.

Could be that nerves and lack of experience hamstrings him.

Could be that our lack of film and his confidence hamstrings us.
Zackdh9
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AG
Game will hinge on sacks and we lead in all categories by a lot
A. G. Pennypacker
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AgLA06 said:

SpreadsheetAg said:



I don't like manually manipulating the formula for ad hoc events like injuries.


I wouldn't exactly say losing your top 2 QBs is minimal.

They're going to have to rush for 250 yards and 4 TDs to beat us.

Careful now. We've made more than a few back-up QB's look like Heisman contenders.
EllisCoAg
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playing another desperate team on their turf, going to be tough.
I wanna see our defense pissed off, not confused, maybe a little murder in their hearts Reload12, 11/4/11
jphelmet
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We shut them down, and then grind them down in 2nd half.

14-6 at half.
31-13 final.

OKC~Ag
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thank you
Bag
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31-17, late score by mizzou to make it more respectable
jturner181
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Seems like a pretty straight forward game plan...

1/ Shutdown the running game... thats their base offense.
2/ Protect against the short passing game - this is the 2nd option.
3/ Double the tight ends inside the 30 yard line - they dont target much until they reach the red zone with them, then its a primary weapon for scoring.
4/ Capitalize on their turnovers - they make 1 or more per game.
5/ Force them to throw with a freshman QB, then tee off on him.

Same as last year... can they block us? I doubt it!
Psycho Bunny
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Tigers 43
Aggies 42

Tiger fans storm the field with a last second 45 yard field goal.

Taxes are just a yearly subscription to the country you live in.
Argentina Aggie
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Texas A&M 35
Missouri 21
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