Those numbers look about right to me, although I'm a little worried about the Spurs. Memphis has played them to a draw this year, including a couple of beat-downs in Memphis. The combination of Gasol and Randolph really takes advantage of the Spurs smaller size down low, and Memphis rebounds really well. Rebounding teams seem to do well against the Spurs.
Not saying they'll lose by any stretch, but it could be a lot closer series than people are thinking. I won't be shocked if it goes all 7.