Not discounting Golden State- if GS wins tomorrow, SA is in for a rough game 7.
But I was concerned how great Memphis has been playing (8 of 9). I went back and looked at the Spur-Grizzly games this year (boxscores), and was pleasantly surprised how well Duncan and Splitter did against their frontcourt- shooting a high percentage while limiting Gasol and Randolph to relatively poor shooting. I think Memphis was below 40% and Spurs frontline over 50%.
Now, the trading of Rudy Gay in January is a factor. He was the one guy for Memphis that shot well against the Spurs. But, they've seemed to gelled now since his departure and other role players are stepping up.
Still, SA lost two very close games @ Memphis- 2 pts and 3 pts I think. Won 1 close one in SA and won one by a large margin.
One of those close losses on road was without Duncan, Leonard, and Ginobili.
All in all, I think the Spurs will match up pretty well. OKC hung pretty tough with a severely hampered team. I think Spurs will have a lot more weapons to bring to bear, and a much better game plan. They won't let Randolph just back them down and spin left for short lay-ins.
There will be a lot more pressure on Memphis now that they are at a stage they've never been.
Spurs in 7.
[This message has been edited by AnalogyAg (edited 5/16/2013 1:00a).]
But I was concerned how great Memphis has been playing (8 of 9). I went back and looked at the Spur-Grizzly games this year (boxscores), and was pleasantly surprised how well Duncan and Splitter did against their frontcourt- shooting a high percentage while limiting Gasol and Randolph to relatively poor shooting. I think Memphis was below 40% and Spurs frontline over 50%.
Now, the trading of Rudy Gay in January is a factor. He was the one guy for Memphis that shot well against the Spurs. But, they've seemed to gelled now since his departure and other role players are stepping up.
Still, SA lost two very close games @ Memphis- 2 pts and 3 pts I think. Won 1 close one in SA and won one by a large margin.
One of those close losses on road was without Duncan, Leonard, and Ginobili.
All in all, I think the Spurs will match up pretty well. OKC hung pretty tough with a severely hampered team. I think Spurs will have a lot more weapons to bring to bear, and a much better game plan. They won't let Randolph just back them down and spin left for short lay-ins.
There will be a lot more pressure on Memphis now that they are at a stage they've never been.
Spurs in 7.
[This message has been edited by AnalogyAg (edited 5/16/2013 1:00a).]