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July Housing Data Across Texas

2,472 Views | 12 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by Red Pear Realty
Red Pear Realty
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Houston

  • The big story for me this past month is that it seems as if all the folks fighting against each other to BUY houses are now fighting against each other to RENT houses. A lot of my seller clients have converted their for sale listings to for rent listings and have done well recently. As an example, I listed a nice home for lease in Prestonwood Forest at peak rental pricing per the comps, and within 24 hours had about 5 rental applications with the winner ultimately offering to pay about 10% over asking price. I've been leasing homes since 2008 and I've never seen anything like this. If you've got a home, now is a great time to rent it.
  • Inventory is still favorable to sellers, with 2.5 months worth of housing available in Houston as of July. (If 6 months is equilibrium, we still have roughly 2.4 buyers out there for every active listing).
  • I am also still putting homes under contract to sell. I had a home in the Heights listed at over $1M that was on the market for 45 days, then received multiple offers on the same day this week at great terms.





Quote:

HOUSTON (August 10, 2022) The frenetic pace of home sales that dominated the Houston housing market throughout most of the pandemic continues to slow its roll. Some consumers, facing record pricing, rising interest rates and limited inventory, have moved to the sidelines or opted to rent. Home sales experienced their fourth consecutive monthly decline in July, while new listings buoyed inventory to the highest level in two years.

According to the Houston Association of Realtors' (HAR) July 2022 Market Update, single-family home sales dropped 17.1 percent, with 8,370 units sold compared to 10,102 in July 2021. That is the lowest one-month sales volume since January 2022. On a year-to-date basis, the market is now trailing 2021's record-setting pace by 1.3 percent.

https://www.har.com/content/department/newsroom?pid=1869
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Texasclipper
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Red Pear Realty
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CPI - 8.5%

PPI - 9.8%

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm
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Red Pear Jack
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North Texas:

  • Although overall inventory continues to rise in North Texas (equilibrium is 6 months), this is not the case for properties located closer to the city centers of Dallas & Fort Worth. For example, Collin County inventory rose 1.1 to 2.3 months year-over-year, whereas Dallas County remained relatively unchanged at 1.8 months (1.5 months in 2021).
  • Pricing seems to be sticking in high demand neighborhoods that check all the boxes (great schools, large backyards, newer homes), however, the buyer pool continues to thin out. Previously those houses would commonly attract 10+ seller friendly offers and now it seems that is less than 5 and in some price ranges just 1 or 2.
  • Homebuilders are still having trouble sourcing trades and construction timelines are still stretched due to labor & supply chain constraints, exacerbating the inventory problem.



Dallas County:


Tarrant County:


Collin County:


Denton County:


Rockwall County:


Parker County:
Red Pear Felipe
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https://www.abor.com/july-2022-central-texas-housing-market-report

Quote:

The Austin-Round Rock MSA housing market continued to trend towards more normal and sustainable levels in July, according to the Austin Board of REALTORS July 2022 Central Texas Housing Report. Median price grew by only 8% year over year to $515,000, a record for the month of July but the first-time home price growth has been in the single digits since June 2020. The region's housing inventory reached 2.7 months the highest level of inventory since November 2018.

Ryan Leahy, regional president for Austin mortgage lending company HomeTown Texas and an ABoR Affiliate member, sees corresponding levels of activity occurring on the lending side of real estate transactions.

"The Austin real estate market's inventory and mortgage interest rates have returned to pre-pandemic levels in recent months. It's not the intense sellers' market it was a few months ago and sellers should reset their expectations. For the first time in a long time, buyers have more flexibility and leverage in the transaction."



I've done six open houses in the past three weeks and there has been a big change in traffic. Very few people came to see the houses. As the article mentioned, we are not in the seller's housing frenzy that we were in 4-6 months ago where seller's could overprice their homes and still get it sold. As a real estate agent, we must do our best to price our homes competitively in way to get traffic and get them sold. We are seeing a lot houses starting to sit for longer than in the past months. Here's an example of an agent using housing data from 6 months ago. I wouldn't doubt if this house sat for longer than 45 days if not more.

  • 78737 House: Recently purchased in '21 for $685k. Now listed for $1.2 million.

Buyers are really starting to negotiate a lot more with success. I recently was able to get a house for $19K under listing price for my clients in South Austin. They wanted a house that was close to MoPac, in an established neighborhood, and near good schools.


Austin-Round Rock



Bastrop



Caldwell



City of Austin



Hays



Travis



Williamson




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Diggity
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you guys have done a great job of carrying the torch on these posts, and I love looking at them every month.

We're obviously not on the busiest forum of texags, but I do think something can be gleaned by the engagement of these threads.

I think we can illustrate the peak of market fervor for this cycle as May 2022

Red Pear Realty
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I love that you did a data post about the data post! How meta is that, ha!
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Sea Speed
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These are regularly some of my favorite threads on all of texags and I truly do wish this board was busier. Thanks again all the Red Pear folks for chiming in on these, especially OP.
Red Pear Realty
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Houston Rental Data (probably pretty similar across Texas)



Quote:

Single-family rentals continue to provide a critical alternative to would-be Houston homebuyers discouraged by limited inventory and escalating home prices and interest rates. According to the Houston Association of Realtors' July 2022 Rental Market Update, single-family home rentals rose 14.5 percent year-over-year, with the average rent climbing 6.2 percent to an all-time high of $2,296. A total of 3,706 leases were signed versus 3,236 in July 2021.

"For consumers in need of a roof over their head, Houston's most accessible housing commodity right now appears to be the single-family rental home," said HAR Chair Jennifer Wauhob with Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate Gary Greene. "The supply of rental homes is plentiful, however rental prices are steadily climbing, so it will be interesting to see at what point the pendulum may swing back in favor of for-sale homes."



https://www.har.com/content/department/newsroom?pid=1876


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mwp02ag
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Red Pear Realty said:

I love that you did a data post about the data post! How meta is that, ha!
I like that the title says Housting so that I am not sure if it was meant to be for Houston or for Housing.
Diggity
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Damn. Inventory building quickly.

That might put a damper on some of the rapid appreciation we've seen.

500,000ags
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Is there a working assumption on home price appreciation in Texas metros thru 2023? I heard some realtors say high single digits up to about a month ago.
Red Pear Realty
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Wisdom of the crowd Q3:
https://texags.com/forums/59/topics/3296069

Wisdom of the crowd Q1:
https://texags.com/forums/59/topics/3277475
Sponsor Message: We Split Commissions. Full Service Agents in Austin, Bryan-College Station, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Red Pear Realty
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