Let's assume no major injuries, drug addictions, leg-mangling car accidents related to drug addictions, or other things of that nature.

He's turning 29 in a month. Most majors are won between 25-35, with another large drop at age 40.

What's your prediction? 6? 7? Could he get to 10?

I'm not really a fan. Nothing against him, other than he's a bit of a bore and running away with tournaments isn't entertaining to watch.

That said, what he's doing is legitimately reminiscent of Tiger. He could easily get to 10 barring any major setbacks.

I can see him getting to 20 easily.

Rory had 4 by age 25 (now 36)
Spieth had 3 by age 24 (now 32)
Phil didn't win his first until age 33

Scottie got a late start (relative to the greats) but he's clearly in a league of his own at the moment.

I think he gets more than 6 but less than 10. He's got 10-13 primes years to win at Augusta, alone.

I want Rahm and Bryson back on tour, add in Xander, Morikawa, JT and even Brooks…those are the guys I want to see on Sunday at a major.

Not sure how many, probably 8-10.

With his crazy foot movements, I think there's a chance once it goes awry, it will go quickly…almost like a David Duval type. Not expecting it in the next few years though

I think he gets 3-5 more. I don't think his footwork is sustainable as he gets older. He has it all timed up perfectly now, but father time will alter it and he will be chasing his timing. He will have spurts of fantastic golf, but won't be able to sustain it the way he is currently.

Kansas Kid said:

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I will go with 6. Too much competition these days and we have had others with the can't miss predictions that missed (Rory, Spieth, Daly, etc). That said, he does look the closest to Tiger 2000-2006 that we have seen in the last 25 years although there is still a big gap to the GOAT.

ETA. I also assume he doesn't get put in the slammer which is a risk with him.

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Is or isn't? He's probably one of the straightest edge guys on top. Married. Kiddo. Wife is an Aggie. Sister an Aggie. Devout Christian.

Louisville PD might have a different opinion.

But 7 would be a monster haul. It always seems like these guys will rattle them off in days after a win, but it's never that easy. I do think he'll at least get 6, though.

I think he wins another 4 between now and 2028. Then sharp decline winning maybe 2 more the rest of his career.

9

If he could snag a US Open and an Open in the next 2-3 years id peg it at 8 or 9. Can win a few more Masters.

19… suck it Jack and Tiger

I'd say probably somewhere in the 10-12 range.

But this brings up an interesting discussion I had with some buddies recently...

Is what Scottie doing now more impressive than what Tiger did in his prime because of the level of competition difference?

Is it fair to assess competition or talent across eras of golf or because everyone is playing with the same equipment, technology, training, analytics, etc. at that time then it's all an even playing field?

This is why I'm not really a fan of GOAT debates in any sports. Yes in golf there is some wiggle room because the four majors are used across various generations, but I've always leaned towards the mindset of 'greatest of an era' or something like that.

People are amazing relatively to their time, because with so many variables, factors and characteristics that are changed within a sport, the advantages/disadvantages are completely different when being compared to a great from another era.

When Demaret won 3 green jackets, the greens were significantly different than now. Another example is not long after I discovered golf they banned anchored putting, but prior to that it existed for generations.

ChoppinDs40 said:

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Kansas Kid said:

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I will go with 6. Too much competition these days and we have had others with the can't miss predictions that missed (Rory, Spieth, Daly, etc). That said, he does look the closest to Tiger 2000-2006 that we have seen in the last 25 years although there is still a big gap to the GOAT.

ETA. I also assume he doesn't get put in the slammer which is a risk with him.

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Is or isn't? He's probably one of the straightest edge guys on top. Married. Kiddo. Wife is an Aggie. Sister an Aggie. Devout Christian.

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I meant it in jest from his Louisville incident.

Unlike basketball and football players, I don't think many athletes in any sports, especially golf, are a risk to being arrested.

6 or 7 feels about right.

It's going to be interesting watching him age. Not sure his footwork is something he can maintain into his late 30s. But we'll see.

Quote:

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Is what Scottie doing now more impressive than what Tiger did in his prime because of the level of competition difference?

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IMO yes if he can push it to 8 over the next 3 years or so. The level of competition is so much different nowadays (thanks primarily to Tiger's influence on the game).

I've never seen a player hit better irons than Scottie. It's just unbelievable.

I'll say he caps out at 9

Ag_07 said:

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Is what Scottie doing now more impressive than what Tiger did in his prime because of the level of competition difference?

Is it fair to assess competition or talent across eras of golf or because everyone is playing with the same equipment, technology, training, analytics, etc. at that time then it's all an even playing field?

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Personally, I find it damn near impossible to compare with all the variables. Scottie has a long way to go before I would start comparing careers or even stretches with Tiger. That said, the run that Scottie is on is impressive as hell. Barring any injuries there's no reason he cant win several more majors. I would put the over/under around 8.5

To win a bunch you need to be able to do it in chunks and do it for a long time.

If he's going to win a chunk of them, the time is probably now. He's the best in the world and I think he needs to take advantage of this window. He's got three in four years which is obviously amazing but for him to get to 8+ I think he needs to win something like 3 of the next 8.

Time will tell but it's hard for me to see him having longevity as "best in the world" with that swing. Just seems to rely so heavily on raw athleticism that I don't think it'll work as well when he's 35.

Also his weakness has been his putter, and doesn't seem like a lot of players get better at putting as they age.

Plus Scottie is a new dad, so it wouldn't be surprising if his game takes a dip as his family grows. He's a great player, but double digit majors is a ton.

does he get the career grand slam? Which will be the last for him to get..The British Open or the US Open? I lean toward the British being his biggest challenge.

Exactly. Literally only three people have done it and one of those was about 100 years ago.

Seven puts you tied at 7th place all time.

Tiger's 82 wins really stands out. If Scheffler won 6 tournaments every year for the next 10 years (which would be would an incredible feat), he would still be 7 short of Tiger.

Scottie has played 20 majors as a pro:
- 14 top10
- 18 top25
- 1 MC and a T41

It's unreal, but I agree with some of you, his time is now and the next 5 years...as he will having timing issues as he gets older (and putting woes).

Some of the numbers here are insane, he is in all reality in a 'window' that could slow at any moment. His swing relies quite a bit on feel and can become very hard to sustain at this level.

Aggie95 said:

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does he get the career grand slam? Which will be the last for him to get..The British Open or the US Open? I lean toward the British being his biggest challenge.

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British. He's been very vocal about not liking when his ball does something else than he expects and links golf is basically that all day.

8

I can't believe some of you are still concerned with his footwork. He just won his 3rd major.

Also, he's 15th in strokes gained putting.

Any other made up flaws out there?

I don't think anyone is saying his footwork is an issue now.

I think the concern is how does his footwork hold up over the length of his career as he ages. When he's 35+ and the body doesn't move as quickly as it does now how will that footwork hold up?

That's a legit discussion point.