Who could have predicted

2,600 Views | 15 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by halfastros81
agspirit_09
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AG
5 games into conference play we would be 1 free throw away from 5-0?!

I was optimistic about Bucky but even I didn't think this was possible. I was just hoping we'd be competitive and showing progress. I'm blown away at how quickly he's gotten things rolling
Zachary Klement
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AG
All without our best player.

Bucky is LEGIT!
AgLA06
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AG
agspirit_09 said:

5 games into conference play we would be 1 free throw away from 5-0?!

I was optimistic about Bucky but even I didn't think this was possible. I was just hoping we'd be competitive and showing progress. I'm blown away at how quickly he's gotten things rolling

There was a lot more involved in the last 3 minutes collapse than just a free throw. It was a pretty big failure not to close that out from any of the multiple ways (offensive rebounds, turn overs, missed free throws, etc.) from an exhausted team that really needed to avoid overtime.

Hopefully that TU game is a learning opportunity in the end that provides much more value than just a W for this team on how to close out games. tu was better, but still not quite where it needs to be. Yet.

agspirit_09
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AG
AgLA06 said:

agspirit_09 said:

5 games into conference play we would be 1 free throw away from 5-0?!

I was optimistic about Bucky but even I didn't think this was possible. I was just hoping we'd be competitive and showing progress. I'm blown away at how quickly he's gotten things rolling

There was a lot more involved in the last 3 minutes collapse than just a free throw. It was a pretty big failure not to close that out from any of the multiple ways (offensive rebounds, turn overs, missed free throws, etc.) from an exhausted team that really needed to avoid overtime.

Hopefully that TU game is a learning opportunity in the end that provides much more value than just a W for this team on how to close out games. tu was better, but still not quite where it needs to be. Yet.




I completely agree with you, the end of games and closing out vs opponents in tight late game situations has been a cause for concern, there were definitely several things that could have led to a win vs UT, but the fact remains that one of the 5 missed free throws late would have sealed it for us. Still overall I'm beyond thrilled at what Bucky and the boys have been able to do this season!
PJYoung
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Divining Rod
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I've been all-in on Mc from day 1, but not in my wildest....
Divining Rod
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there's UT and there's tu.

When did we play Trinity?
bobinator
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We need to settle on an updated version of this. I'd probably:

  • Move State to "protect Reed Arena"
  • Make the middle two sections one big section of "toss up games"
  • Move Georgia to "Major upset"
So then you'd need 6 of 6 in "protect Reed Arena"
3 of 6 in "toss up games"
1 of 6 in "major upsets"

Right now we'd be favored by at least 7 or so against Missouri and probably 3 or 4 against Kentucky so it's hard to call that "stealing" a game right?
Complete Idiot
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PJYoung said:



Might shuffle some teams among these buckets at this point in SEC play. Swap Ole Miss and State? Might move Missouri to a toss up. or even to "protect Reed" at this point?

Edit: Damnit, I did not see reply right before mine.
halfastros81
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Agree with your assessment except I think Georgia should remain in the "Find a way to steal a few " vs "Major upset " category .

I think most likely end outcome is still 9-9 or 10-8 in conference play tho. 11-7 would be majorly exceeding expectations but having said that … that's what they have done so far in conference play to date … majorly exceeded expectations.
bobinator
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Well in mine I'm killing off "steal a few" completely. But the line is likely to be bigger in the Georgia game than it is the Florida game.

By style of play I agree it's probably more likely we beat Georgia than Florida but for the sake of simplicity I would just group all of the "unlikely to win" games in the same category.
halfastros81
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Yes , I understand you suggest merging the 2 middle categories and I think that's very reasonable. I just think beating Georgia at Georgia wouldn't be what I'd call a major upset at this point anyway. Their recent loss to Ole Miss at home being a data point that steers me that way.

Somewhat unrelated but Georgia's next 4 games are a gauntlet .

bobinator
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Yeah I'd probably just call that whole group "unlikely to win." at Bama and at Vandy are really on tier all by themselves where we're likely going to be double digit underdogs.
halfastros81
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This is just me but I'd say we are more likely to win @ Vandy or especially @ Bama than beating Florida at Reed. Florida is just a really really bad matchup for us imo.
bobinator
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Oh I definitely agree on that, but I think breaking them down by playing styles is getting a little in the weeds if the whole point of this graphic is for casuals.

That's why I'd just group all of those games together as "unlikely to win".
halfastros81
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Agree with you there
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