A&M Favored by 7.5 Points Over Mississippi State

2,663 Views | 30 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by jeremy
mikesyracuse1
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5:05p, 1/20/26
Opening Consensus Line
Aggies -7.5
Total is 158.5

That's about what I expected on the opening line. We seem to be getting into a little tighter SEC game rotation and hopefully we'll keep getting production across the board. Miss St has a DAWG guard in Hubbard who can create his own shot and shots for his teammates. Hopefully our depth and pressure defense can wear him down as the game progresses.

Just Win!

Mikesyracuse1
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jeremy
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6:29p, 1/20/26
AG
Every game is stressful until we blow someone out. I'll be happy to win.
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taylorswift13_
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6:35p, 1/20/26
AG
Vegas tired of us beating the spread
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Method Man
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7:02p, 1/20/26
Can't have it be close late with Hubbard
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halfastros81
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7:17p, 1/20/26
AG
Seems like a reasonable line but the over/under strikes me as very low , like 8-10 pts low
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Method Man
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7:31p, 1/20/26
What's their pace this season?
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halfastros81
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In reply to Method Man • 7:38p, 1/20/26
AG
. they average almost 80 ppg. They've had a few OT games that bring the average up. I think we'll speed them up because they know they have to keep pace
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Michael Cera Palin
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7:40p, 1/20/26
AG
Curious to see how Hubbard handles our press. I feel like he's got the talent to break it down and initiate their offense, but maybe we wear him down
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bobinator
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7:41p, 1/20/26
AG
They're not super fast but their tempo is a little higher than average.
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bobinator
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In reply to Michael Cera Palin • 7:42p, 1/20/26
AG
Yeah we need him to have to work as hard as Pack did.
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halfastros81
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In reply to bobinator • 7:56p, 1/20/26
AG
Hubbard has played almost 33 mpg. Granted getting pressed is a different beast.

That'd be an interesting study imo if it hasn't already been done . How many incremental steps per min played do players take playing against a full court press vs not. Would probably suggest you need depth to have relative success vs the press which seems intuitively obvious .
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taylorswift13_
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7:58p, 1/20/26
AG
Gotta play extremely fast and force Hubbard into hurried shots
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bobinator
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In reply to halfastros81 • 8:33p, 1/20/26
AG
Pack plays 30 mins a game too but he was absolutely exhausted by the end of that game from how hard he was having to work to basically break the press by himself and then move around on offense to get open.

But like Pack, Hubbard is going to get his, what you can't do is get so focused on him you let everyone else heat up.
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Rec
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In reply to Method Man • 8:51p, 1/20/26
AG
Method Man said:
Can't have it be close late with Hubbard


Like last Saturday at home vs Ole Miss?
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Method Man
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8:55p, 1/20/26
halfastros81
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In reply to bobinator • 9:33p, 1/20/26
AG
I think we've had this convo before and I agree.
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CactusThomas
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10:11p, 1/20/26
AG
We're going to score a hundred
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mikesyracuse1
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12:01p, 1/21/26
Consensus line is now
Aggies -8.5
Total is 163.5

Mikesyracuse1
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Complete Idiot
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12:28p, 1/21/26
MSU is usually a mean, bully team in the Jans years. Gonna be physical.
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Method Man
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In reply to CactusThomas • 1:01p, 1/21/26
CactusThomas said:
We're going to score a hundred

Good bit!
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Rec
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1:42p, 1/21/26
AG
I don't think we cover, but we win
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DTP02
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In reply to halfastros81 • 1:54p, 1/21/26
AG
halfastros81 said:
Hubbard has played almost 33 mpg. Granted getting pressed is a different beast.

That'd be an interesting study imo if it hasn't already been done . How many incremental steps per min played do players take playing against a full court press vs not. Would probably suggest you need depth to have relative success vs the press which seems intuitively obvious .


I don't think the number of steps is the critical differentiator. It's the constant pressure, the amount of exertion required under stress, that wears you down at least as much as it is the number of miles you're moving.

It's like in baseball how they talk about pitching in high leverage situations being so much more taxing than pitching with a lead and the bases empty.
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CactusThomas
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In reply to Method Man • 2:59p, 1/21/26
AG
Tonight's the night
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NyAggie
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In reply to DTP02 • 3:35p, 1/21/26
AG
DTP02 said:
halfastros81 said:
Hubbard has played almost 33 mpg. Granted getting pressed is a different beast.

That'd be an interesting study imo if it hasn't already been done . How many incremental steps per min played do players take playing against a full court press vs not. Would probably suggest you need depth to have relative success vs the press which seems intuitively obvious .


I don't think the number of steps is the critical differentiator. It's the constant pressure, the amount of exertion required under stress, that wears you down at least as much as it is the number of miles you're moving.

It's like in baseball how they talk about pitching in high leverage situations being so much more taxing than pitching with a lead and the bases empty.


Yep

The press makes you work harder and move faster more often than you are used to

Definitely more to it than number of steps
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Complete Idiot
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3:51p, 1/21/26
What happened to our "beat/bash/bruise/blast/blemish the Bulldogs" guy?
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greg.w.h
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In reply to taylorswift13_ • 5:15p, 1/21/26
AG
taylorswift13_ said:
Vegas tired of us beating the spread
They dont care unless the positions aren't balanced enough…
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halfastros81
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In reply to DTP02 • 6:29p, 1/21/26
AG
Probably true but exertion and mental stress are harder to count .
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R-Dog
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10:14p, 1/21/26
AG
Good teams win. Great teams cover.
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t - cam
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In reply to jeremy • 10:16p, 1/21/26
AG
jeremy said:
Every game is stressful until we blow someone out. I'll be happy to win.


Stress free
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Complete Idiot
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In reply to t - cam • 10:27p, 1/21/26
t - cam said:
jeremy said:
Every game is stressful until we blow someone out. I'll be happy to win.


Stress free


A stress free SEC game - no opponent runs or threats - is a rare treat.
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jeremy
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In reply to Complete Idiot • 11:18p, 1/21/26
AG
Complete Idiot said:
t - cam said:
jeremy said:
Every game is stressful until we blow someone out. I'll be happy to win.


Stress free



Preach it!
A stress free SEC game - no opponent runs or threats - is a rare treat.
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