94chem said:
Agree. And the further, the sport won't have any more room for late bloomers. It will be populated by automatons who have been bred for baseball, held out a year in middle school for sports, and arriving at campus as 20 YO freshmen.
At least in baseball, they won't have to compete against pros from Europe or Africa.
Again, I disagree.
Those "late bloomers" will go to juco or lower-level programs to mature and they either raise the level of play at those programs and stay there or go to the big-time programs.
The level of play at top jucos is on par with all but the best P5 programs. I know San Jac routinely plays fall ball games against the likes of Rice, UH, Lamar, and so on and beats them.
My position is that a lot of players who are "over-recruited" and go to top tier programs to end up sitting will go to lower level programs, play early, and develop which will cause a ripple effect. A kid like Targac goes to Texas State instead of A&M and makes their program better. But he takes a spot from a kid who ends up at Lamar and that kid makes Lamar better. But he's taken a spot from another kid who ends up at Angelo State (D2), and so on and so forth.
And those D2 & D3 programs (NAIA too) all have the ability to package scholarships and grants that generally cover pretty close to the full freight of college costs. Plus, the new roster size limits only apply to D1 programs. My nephew plays football at D2 Southern Arkansas University which has a very baseball program (26 conference titles, 3 NAIA CWS, one NCAA D2 CWS, and 15 NCAA tournament appearances since joining the NCAA D2 in 1996). D2 programs are limited to 9 scholarships but not for grants or academic scholarships so most of the 56 kids on their roster pay almost nothing to go to school there.
It's about like a kid who is a really good HS athlete but gets caught up in the numbers at a HS like Allen that has over 7000 students so he moves to Prosper and elevates that program a little bit. Before long even more kids who aren't the total studs to outshine the sheer numbers move to Prosper and then Prosper becomes a highly successful program (I have no idea if Prosper is actually good at anything, just using a big HS vs. a smaller one).