Half of UK could be infected

2,263 Views | 8 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Gizzards
AustinAG
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1:43p, 3/24/20
AG
This is very interesting. I wonder how it will shake out.

https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b

Quote:
Coronavirus may have infected half of UK population Oxford study

New epidemiological model shows vast majority of people suffer little or no illness
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CT'97
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1:44p, 3/24/20
AG
To achieve herd immunity, and thus stop the virus prior to a vacine, the entire world will need to get to 50% infection.
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Rapier108
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1:45p, 3/24/20
And it could have only infected 10%.

All of these models are just guesses at best.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
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P.U.T.U
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1:47p, 3/24/20
AG
I know 2 people in the UK and one of them has it and the other does not. So far their study is spot on...

This is how media sampling works.
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AustinAg2K
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1:48p, 3/24/20
I highly doubt this. If 50% of the UK is infected, they should have a massive spike in pneumonia cases, even if most people show no symptoms.
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MasterAggie
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1:49p, 3/24/20
AG
Funny but true
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Tumble Weed
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1:52p, 3/24/20
The British might just be day drunk, or they could be asphyxiated. Only time will tell.
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Ulrich
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8:48p, 3/24/20
If it turns out that stouts, porters, and brown ales mitigate coronavirus, I'm going to be fine.
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Windy City Ag
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8:58p, 3/24/20
AG
Quote:
I highly doubt this. If 50% of the UK is infected, they should have a massive spike in pneumonia cases, even if most people show no symptoms.
There is no accurate "they should have had" . . . .we are all in the dark regarding the true number of cases which is the authors point. He claims potentially 1 out of 1,000 would need hospitalization.

Anyway, his main point is that without significant field research on who has already the bug we won't know anything. Not exactly groundbreaking research . . .just testing theoretical possibilities.
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Gizzards
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12:00p, 3/25/20
AG
Half of any location will likely eventually have it.
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