COVID-19 Projections

1,352 Views | 4 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by HotardAg07
boulderaggie
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AG
Howdy,

My son is studying healthcare analytics and passed this along to me (I did not see it posted before). It's an up-to-date data visualization of COVID-19 projections by state and across the U.S.

http://covid19.healthdata.org/

STAFF: I believe the source is legit, but if not, please remove.

Hope this proves to be helpful.

Stay safe and healthy.
Federale01
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AG
I posted this a few days ago. It's legit, but it's only a forecasting model from one health institute so it has limitations.
Mr President Elect
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AG
yikes... saw this a few days ago and the curve for my state (Colorado) was below the capacities. Now they are all above and the death toll is projected to be about 80% higher.
Fitch
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AG
This site and agency was referenced at the President's daily briefings as matching the federal projections (as of last Sunday).

As mentioned, they appear to be constantly revising the inputs with new data. I also like they show the confidence intervals, sort of a "cone of uncertainty" with hurricanes.

The data really shouldn't be tracked day to day. The big thing here is the overall trend.

boulderaggie
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AG
Sorry i missed your post the other day. I did a forum search on the url before posting. I just tried it again and my post did not show up in the search results.
HotardAg07
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AG
Really good article on the difficulty of COVID-19 models:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-its-so-freaking-hard-to-make-a-good-covid-19-model/

In reality, those areas for error should be 10x larger.
Shaun Shaikh '07
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