with the book that these folks supposedly had PPE shortage at the beginning and were exposed to much higher repeated viral loads than your average civilian, dealing with the speculated more severe Euro strain (that's now in NYC)

so this thing is just a complete reaper for 65 and older

Remarkable that I'm in the 0.10%, but people work with are over 12%

for example, if you take the 70-79 cohort out completely (don't let them in the hospital), the overall IFR drops 0.2%

if you take out the over 60s, it drops out to 0.1%

Under 60 would appear good-to-go.

what we can't take from here is hospitalization, so maybe we can use the NYC data as a heuristic (where hospitalizations are 4-5x higher than death rate)

make that 8x cuz viral load (?)

that makes a hospitalization rate under 60 of ~1%

kinda

i know you want the bug, but i would recommend still avoiding it when and where possible. you still want science to figure out more about how to treat it, what it actually does to you, etc.

but people under 60 without known comorbidities like BMI >30, hypertension, and diabetes can produce and consume with much higher confidence

what's the source for this? I know there have been well over 100 health care worker deaths in Italy as of 2 weeks ago or more.

Was this study just a portion of Italy's medical system?

cone said:

---

kinda

i know you want the bug, but i would recommend still avoiding it when and where possible. you still want science to figure out more about how to treat it, what it actually does to you, etc.

but people under 60 without known comorbidities like BMI >30, hypertension, and diabetes can produce and consume with much higher confidence

---

Under 50: check
BMI < 30: check

Unfortunately I have pre-hypertension Controlled by low dose medication and I also have beta thalassemia.

So good to go or not?

I imagine my risk level is still exceedingly low.