I get that it's a reasonable assumption to think that 100K gathering will cause some spread. But then again, is it? I'd still like some actual numbers. As selfish and insensitive as this sounds, I'd hate to cancel the football season over a few cases. We can't go 100% full all out to stop this thing. It needs to be treated as every other disease at this point. Yes, take the proper precautions. Keep monitoring hospitals and their supplies. But in general, begin to move on with life.
So I'd really like to know. In the 100 degree Texas heat, what are the odds it's even in Texas(and the majority of the country) at that time, and if it is ever so slightly, will a few people exposing themselves cause a major outbreak to risk overwhelming the hospitals in the Summer or even early fall? Again, even if there are 100K, the odds of actual exposure to someone with the virus is probably still quite low. I'd be shocked if more than a couple dozen had it, and even more shocked if they gave it to multiple people.
Remember, we aren't trying to eradicate this thing. Nothing short of a vaccine or her immunity over 2-3 years will do that. We are trying to make sure not to overwhelm the hospitals and in 99% of the country, we haven't come close, nor will we ever come close even with sporting events this fall IMO. But please run the numbers with the best data we can.