UK had 50,000 more deaths than usual in March & April vs 27,000 reported Covid deaths

2,849 Views | 16 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by normaleagle05
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
terradactylexpress
How long do you want to ignore this user?
NVM I see how the chart is laid out
Carolin_Gallego
How long do you want to ignore this user?
On the optimistic side of things, those graphs show the UK and other European nations to have peaked with the death rate subsiding.

The US graph shows no such peak.
We believe progress is made through MORE discussion, not LESS, and we believe that to be true even if the topics are uncomfortable and we occasionally disagree with one another. - TexAgs
The name-calling technique making false associations is a child's game. The propagandist who uses this technique hopes that the audience will reject a person and their argument on this false basis.
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Carolin_Gallego said:

On the optimistic side of things, those graphs show the UK and other European nations to have peaked with the death rate subsiding.

The US graph shows no such peak.

We hadn't peaked as of April 11th, no.
Carolin_Gallego
How long do you want to ignore this user?
PJYoung said:

Carolin_Gallego said:

On the optimistic side of things, those graphs show the UK and other European nations to have peaked with the death rate subsiding.

The US graph shows no such peak.

We hadn't peaked as of April 11th, no.
Oh, good catch. US data is a bit behind in that graphic.
We believe progress is made through MORE discussion, not LESS, and we believe that to be true even if the topics are uncomfortable and we occasionally disagree with one another. - TexAgs
The name-calling technique making false associations is a child's game. The propagandist who uses this technique hopes that the audience will reject a person and their argument on this false basis.
normaleagle05
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Quote:

There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered and analysed data on excess mortality the numbers of deaths over and above the historical average across the globe, and has found that death tolls in some countries are more than 50 per cent higher than usual. In many countries, these excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid-19 deaths by large margins.

Click through to the excess mortality article and you'll see they're attributing 100% of the excess mortality to COVID-19. They completely ignore the the idea that a lot of people aren't doing well because they're too terrified of going to the doctor, or it's suddenly illegal to go to the doctor, and dying of whatever else ails them.

That's the kind of bad reporting that generates the lethal fear feedback loop.
GAC06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
But it's the "gold standard"
jenn96
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Yes. Certainly a lot of the excess deaths are due to COVID. But some percentage are due to the lockdowns as well. Patients with severe Non-COVID conditions were not being treated as usual and at least some of them died. A number of doctors have reported that; that the number of patients they're not seeing for serious conditions is concerning.
normaleagle05
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
GAC06 said:

But it's the "gold standard"

Trashing the gold standard was good enough for the Fed.
fightingfarmer09
How long do you want to ignore this user?
If you look carefully at those graphs you will see that even the light gray plots have massive peaks at different times.
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
fightingfarmer09 said:

If you look carefully at those graphs you will see that even the light gray plots have massive peaks at different times.

The 2010 heat wave did a number on Russia. 15,000 dead in Moscow and over 50,000 Russians dead overall.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Russian_wildfires
swc93
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
normaleagle05 said:

Quote:

There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered and analysed data on excess mortality the numbers of deaths over and above the historical average across the globe, and has found that death tolls in some countries are more than 50 per cent higher than usual. In many countries, these excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid-19 deaths by large margins.

Click through to the excess mortality article and you'll see they're attributing 100% of the excess mortality to COVID-19. They completely ignore the the idea that a lot of people aren't doing well because they're too terrified of going to the doctor, or it's suddenly illegal to go to the doctor, and dying of whatever else ails them.

That's the kind of bad reporting that generates the lethal fear feedback loop.
Counting is hard; and while things change; they really don't.

Quote:

The Spanish flu, also known as the 1918 flu pandemic, was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic caused by the H1N1 influenza A virus. Lasting more than 12 months from spring 1918 (northern hemisphere) to early summer 1919,[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu#cite_note-VojnosanitetskiPregled-2][2][/url][url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu#cite_note-CDCThreeWaves-3][3][/url] it infected 500 million people about a third of the world's population at the time.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu#cite_note-4][4][/url] The death toll is estimated to have been anywhere from 17 million to 50 million, and possibly as high as 100 million, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in human history.
~1st paragraph on the Wikipedia page
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
normaleagle05 said:

Quote:

There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered and analysed data on excess mortality the numbers of deaths over and above the historical average across the globe, and has found that death tolls in some countries are more than 50 per cent higher than usual. In many countries, these excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid-19 deaths by large margins.

Click through to the excess mortality article and you'll see they're attributing 100% of the excess mortality to COVID-19. They completely ignore the the idea that a lot of people aren't doing well because they're too terrified of going to the doctor, or it's suddenly illegal to go to the doctor, and dying of whatever else ails them.

That's the kind of bad reporting that generates the lethal fear feedback loop.

Can you cite what you're talking about?

I read the article and this is literally all I see:

Quote:

There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered and analysed data on excess mortality the numbers of deaths over and above the historical average across the globe, and has found that death tolls in some countries are more than 50 per cent higher than usual. In many countries, these excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid-19 deaths by large margins.
02skiag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
normaleagle05 said:

Quote:

There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered and analysed data on excess mortality the numbers of deaths over and above the historical average across the globe, and has found that death tolls in some countries are more than 50 per cent higher than usual. In many countries, these excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid-19 deaths by large margins.

Click through to the excess mortality article and you'll see they're attributing 100% of the excess mortality to COVID-19. They completely ignore the the idea that a lot of people aren't doing well because they're too terrified of going to the doctor, or it's suddenly illegal to go to the doctor, and dying of whatever else ails them.

That's the kind of bad reporting that generates the lethal fear feedback loop.


Exactly the problem with these reports. It could just as likely be the lockdown that's resulting in more deaths, not the virus itself.
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
02skiag said:

normaleagle05 said:

Quote:

There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered and analysed data on excess mortality the numbers of deaths over and above the historical average across the globe, and has found that death tolls in some countries are more than 50 per cent higher than usual. In many countries, these excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid-19 deaths by large margins.

Click through to the excess mortality article and you'll see they're attributing 100% of the excess mortality to COVID-19. They completely ignore the the idea that a lot of people aren't doing well because they're too terrified of going to the doctor, or it's suddenly illegal to go to the doctor, and dying of whatever else ails them.

That's the kind of bad reporting that generates the lethal fear feedback loop.


Exactly the problem with these reports. It could just as likely be the lockdown that's resulting in more deaths, not the virus itself.
But the report doesn't draw any conclusions like that (at least from what I saw).
Mordred
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
normaleagle05 said:

Quote:

There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered and analysed data on excess mortality the numbers of deaths over and above the historical average across the globe, and has found that death tolls in some countries are more than 50 per cent higher than usual. In many countries, these excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid-19 deaths by large margins.

Click through to the excess mortality article and you'll see they're attributing 100% of the excess mortality to COVID-19. They completely ignore the the idea that a lot of people aren't doing well because they're too terrified of going to the doctor, or it's suddenly illegal to go to the doctor, and dying of whatever else ails them.

That's the kind of bad reporting that generates the lethal fear feedback loop.
There's also going to be a decline in auto deaths and workplace deaths because people haven't been leaving their houses or doing other things that could also get them killed.
normaleagle05
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
The text I quoted has a link in it that takes you here:
https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c

They cite 122,000 excess deaths over the usual and 77,000 COVID deaths. 122k is a 60% increase over 77k and they're chicken littling that "The death toll from coronavirus may be almost 60 per cent higher than reported"!

That's a bad conclusion when arrived at using what they reported.
normaleagle05
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
True. But have they stopped having heart disease because the cardiologist is closed?
Refresh
Page 1 of 1
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.