Uptick in COVID-19 admissions. Different source...

9,045 Views | 37 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by bigtruckguy3500
Marcus Aurelius
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Like many regions we are seeing a major increase in admits the last five days. Whereas our last surge was patients from local SNFs, now it seems most of these patients are transfers from smaller hospitals that are ICU overloaded and diverting. From smaller communities outside the region, including several hrs away. I believe this is not unexpected.
KlinkerAg11
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What are your thoughts on the massive amount of young folks with it?

Any guess when it's "runs it's course" or is that wishful thinking?

Thanks again for what you do.
Marcus Aurelius
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I'm seeing large amounts of young people getting infected. First hand my oldest dtr has coworker who tested pos. My dtr getting swabbed today. My good friend's son's best friend (in TX) tested pos. Now my friend's son getting swabbed. It's infiltrating young people with larger gatherings. Less adherence to earlier mitigation recommendations.
Tom Cardy
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Obviously more cases in younger people will have some correlation to more icu/hospital presence, but are you seeing it at the same rate as the initial wave?
Marcus Aurelius
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Similar to onset of COVID. If not worse. Think this is still first wave however.
KlinkerAg11
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I guess the only positive is a better playbook to treat by.
DCAggie13y
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Marcus Aurelius said:

Similar to onset of COVID. If not worse. Think this is still first wave however.
Just looking at the data it seems like Texas has a ways to go before the 1st wave is over. Right now Texas has had fewer deaths per capita than 39 other states. Most of the states in the Northeast are seeing significant declines which is probably why deaths are declining overall in the US even though they are increasing in the South.
Duncan Idaho
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It is only going to get worse as the larger churches open. If church of the highlands, briarwood and the other big churches in town fully open, this area is going to be like new york with the subways running.
Not a Bot
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I work in a medium sized hospital and we are holding multiple people in the ER every night due to lack of bed availability. The other night we were holding 17 patients who needed at least telemetry or stepdown status, and three ICU level patients.

Our issue is not lack of physical space, it is actually lack of nurses. Our ICU probably has the best staffing in the hospital and they have been full for the last week or two, although mostly with non-Covid patients.

I posted in another thread we've seen an uptick in people coming to the hospital after not going to the doctor for several months and either running out of medication or ignoring health issues because they were scared to get treatment.
DrEvazanPhD
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Now do protests
Duncan Idaho
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DrEvazanPhD said:

Now do protests

One group of bug chasers is as bad as any other.
Detmersdislocatedshoulder
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Duncan Idaho said:

DrEvazanPhD said:

Now do protests

One group of bug chasers is as bad as any other.


I would have to disagree. It is interesting that you lead with churches as the problem as mass riots/ protests have erupted all over our country and now two weeks later there is an increase in cases. Texas started opening up early May as did much of the south. At that point and through May there was never the increase people expected until the protests started. Now magically two to three weeks after they start there is an increase and you believe that churches are the issue. Agree to disagree.
Premium
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Duncan Idaho said:

It is only going to get worse as the larger churches open. If church of the highlands, briarwood and the other big churches in town fully open, this area is going to be like new york with the subways running.


How many weeks would you estimate?
Barnyard96
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Duncan Idaho said:

It is only going to get worse as the larger churches open. If church of the highlands, briarwood and the other big churches in town fully open, this area is going to be like new york with the subways running.
I am not familiar with this area. Can you go ahead and list all the churches you have issue?
bay fan
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S
What is an acceptable wait for test results? My daughter was tested in Dallas a week ago, told 2-3 days and 8 days later still waiting. Her friends who she was with, felt sick, tested positive early last week and have no been cleared to return to work. She has not felt sick, was exposed at same time as them and has isolated longer. It is wearing on her incredibly. Is it safe to conclude she should be safe to leave her apartment without results since she has never had symptoms and her friends with confirmed cases have been released? Thanks for your input.
agforlife97
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Detmersdislocatedshoulder said:

Duncan Idaho said:

DrEvazanPhD said:

Now do protests

One group of bug chasers is as bad as any other.


I would have to disagree. It is interesting that you lead with churches as the problem as mass riots/ protests have erupted all over our country and now two weeks later there is an increase in cases. Texas started opening up early May as did much of the south. At that point and through May there was never the increase people expected until the protests started. Now magically two to three weeks after they start there is an increase and you believe that churches are the issue. Agree to disagree.
I agree that this is strange. We did Phase 2 re-openings about one month ago, which allowed restaurants to go to 50% and bars to open at 25%. So why a month delay in the spike of cases? Protests were around 2 weeks ago, so that makes some intuitive sense, although people don't think the virus spreads well outdoors. It's confusing, and it makes you wonder how the virus really spreads.
RandyAg98
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Quote:

Protests were around 2 weeks ago, so that makes some intuitive sense, although people don't think the virus spreads well outdoors. It's confusing
It doesn't spread as well outdoors in normal circumstances. When 50,000 people are nuts to butts screaming and yelling, it likely spreads quite easily.

Which, unfortunately, probably means no fans at sports for awhile.

What I will be interested to see, however, is the mental gymnastics that will be required to convince us sheep that outdoor protests could not have led to the spike, but outdoor sporting events inevitably will.
Bert315
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RandyAg98 said:

Quote:

Protests were around 2 weeks ago, so that makes some intuitive sense, although people don't think the virus spreads well outdoors. It's confusing
It doesn't spread as well outdoors in normal circumstances. When 50,000 people are butts to nuts screaming and yelling, it likely spreads quite easily.

Which unfortunately, probably means no fans at sports for awhile.

What I will be interested to see, however, is the mental gymnastics that will be required to convince us sheep that outdoor protests could not have led to the spike, but outdoor sporting events inevitably will.


The last part is the most interesting. I work in healthcare and the mental gymnastics I see doctors going through to try and not put any of the surge on the protests is mind boggling. You cannot on one hand condemn little league teeball and soccer games and on the other say the protests cannot cause an increase. I really believe most are scared to be called a racist for pointing out the obvious.

Do I think it's only protestors getting sick, absolutely not. At the same time it is hard to deny that we know large gatherings can spread this thing like wildfire. The virus doesn't pick and choose who it infects by what they are doing.
agforlife97
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RandyAg98 said:



What I will be interested to see, however, is the mental gymnastics that will be required to convince us sheep that outdoor protests could not have led to the spike, but outdoor sporting events inevitably will.
One of the reasons that people aren't taking it seriously and are getting covid fatigue is the flip flopping. Ron Nirnberg, SA Mayor has been getting on TV and sanctimoniously lecturing everyone about wearing masks, but 2 weeks ago he was out pandering to the protesters.
Barnyard96
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agforlife97 said:

RandyAg98 said:



What I will be interested to see, however, is the mental gymnastics that will be required to convince us sheep that outdoor protests could not have led to the spike, but outdoor sporting events inevitably will.
One of the reasons that people aren't taking it seriously and are getting covid fatigue is the flip flopping. Ron Nirnberg, SA Mayor has been getting on TV and sanctimoniously lecturing everyone about wearing masks, but 2 weeks ago he was out pandering to the protesters.
This ^2
fightingfarmer09
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I've seen multiple reports of a lot of positives on police forces because the protesters have taken to spitting on those against them.
Marcus Aurelius
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Yes the hypocrisy of this situation is unreal. As someone posted in F16 yesterday there is a city in Oregon that mandated masks in public for everyone except "people of color" - optional for them if they feel "repressed" being forced to wear a mask.
Bird Poo
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Duncan Idaho said:

It is only going to get worse as the larger churches open. If church of the highlands, briarwood and the other big churches in town fully open, this area is going to be like new york with the subways running.
As an atheist, you have no idea what safety precautions churches are requiring for worship. Take your anti-Christian BS somewhere else.
Pasquale Liucci
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Marcus, out the surge you are seeing, how many follow same profile as before vs being young and fit? Also are you seeing the young/fit that weren't hospitalized as much in the first wave fare better and spend less time in hospital?
Marcus Aurelius
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Still mainly old and in firmed. Have one 44 y/o. However seeing a lot of outpt pos 15-40.
Pasquale Liucci
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Thanks. Very interested to see, as pop skews younger, if we see resulting decrease in dwell time for in patient.

I was looking through AZ DHS data and something is not matching up. Discharges are up and admits are down relative to discharge yet state is showing increase in COVID hospitalized.
Duncan Idaho
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PearlJammin said:

Duncan Idaho said:

It is only going to get worse as the larger churches open. If church of the highlands, briarwood and the other big churches in town fully open, this area is going to be like new york with the subways running.
As an atheist, you have no idea what safety precautions churches are requiring for worship. Take your anti-Christian BS somewhere else.

Please feel free to explain any antichrostian bias in thst post?
Flavius Agximus
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Los Angeles County public health director: 'Highly likely' George Floyd protests caused coronavirus spike.'

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/la-county-public-health-director-highly-likely-george-floyd-protests-caused-coronavirus-spike

All the charts showing an uptick since the Phase I and Phase II openings should also be updated to show the dates of the mass gatherings and marches in late May/early June.
Robk
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On your original post. I live in Brewster county and our small regional hospital has 25 beds and 2 icu. This hospital serves Brewster, Presidio, and Jeff Davis county. Over the past weeks we have gone from 1 to 61 cases and 75 in the tri county area. Over 950 people were tested Thursday thru Monday. I have a feeling we will be sending patients out soon. And as for the other talk on the tread. Can not blame our uptick on protesting.
valverde03
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So what caused the uptick in Alpine? Was there a festival or something? Seems like a huge increase for an area that is naturally social distanced.
Robk
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valverde03 said:

So what caused the uptick in Alpine? Was there a festival or something? Seems like a huge increase for an area that is naturally social distanced.


Opening back up and tourists would be my guess.
BadMoonRisin
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BQAg84 said:

Los Angeles County public health director: 'Highly likely' George Floyd protests caused coronavirus spike.'

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/la-county-public-health-director-highly-likely-george-floyd-protests-caused-coronavirus-spike

All the charts showing an uptick since the Phase I and Phase II openings should also be updated to show the dates of the mass gatherings and marches in late May/early June.
But how?
?w=800&r=16%3A9



Doesn't look like anything to me.
gonemaroon
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the higher spike in young people - protesting and then regathering at bars and restaurants - easy combo to see.
agforlife97
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Marcus Aurelius
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But the inane CNN article referencing a "study" obviously not peer reviewed, already published a couple of weeks after protests, that showed "BLM protests do not lead to COVID transmission." Absolutely incredulous. Look at those photos above. Nothing ceases to amaze me today. Nothing.

When I was in academics (basic science genetics), we would submit original research papers to journals for publication often. It took weeks/months, with back and forth communication/revisions to get approval. Even longer to get print. LOL. 2 weeks. Whew.


https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/24/us/coronavirus-cases-protests-black-lives-matter-trnd/index.html
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