Texas R Number

2,358 Views | 7 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by HIT TO KILL
HIT TO KILL
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8:20p, 7/21/20
Sorry if already asked, but I watched the Texas R number and all through July, it barely went over 1. It had to have been quite a bit greater than 1 to multiply like it did, but it never did that. Does anyone if the calculation makes any sense?
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9:17p, 7/21/20
HIT TO KILL
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9:49p, 7/21/20
Nbcdfw.com
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HIT TO KILL
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9:51p, 7/21/20
https://rt.live/us/TX
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HIT TO KILL
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9:53p, 7/21/20
I guess they get it from Rt live. It doesn't make sense that number of cases jumps 4x quickly and the reproduction is only around 1.3. There must be a big exponential on the Rt
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cdhaggie07
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11:02p, 7/21/20
AG
Any R value above 1 is exponential, it's just a matter of how steep. An R value of 1.3 means you'll have double the number of cases in about 3 infection periods, or 15 days if the average infection period is 5 days.
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HotardAg07
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11:45p, 7/21/20
AG
Another nice estimate of R_t over time on this model.

https://covid19-projections.com/us-tx

Shows R dipping below 1 again
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jpb1999
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In reply to HIT TO KILL • 11:15a, 7/22/20
AG
HIT TO KILL said:
I guess they get it from Rt live. It doesn't make sense that number of cases jumps 4x quickly and the reproduction is only around 1.3. There must be a big exponential on the Rt
The more we test, the more cases there will be.
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HIT TO KILL
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6:54p, 7/22/20
Thanks. Answers my question.
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