Moderna vaccine 100% effective at preventing severe cases

2,937 Views | 12 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Muy
Nosmo
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https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/covid-19-moderna-submits-vaccine-fda-regulatory-approval-n1249323

Quote:

Moderna will submit its coronavirus vaccine for regulatory approval on Monday, the company said the second leading drug to pass the milestone this month.

The Massachusetts biotech firm said it will ask the Food and Drug Administration for emergency use authorization after completing its Phase 3 trial, finding the vaccine was 94.1 percent effective against Covid-19.

Moreover, Moderna said the vaccine was 100 percent effective at preventing severe cases of the disease.

These results were the same across all age, race and gender categories, the company said in a statement. There have been no serious safety concerns so far, it added, with the most common side effects being fatigue, headaches, and muscle and joint pain.

Moderna said it expects the FDA's Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee to convene on Dec. 17 to discuss its submission. That is a week after the FDA is expected to discuss another candidate, developed by the U.S. pharma giant Pfizer and its German partner BioNTech, which has also applied for regulatory approval having observed a similar level of efficacy.

Both the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech drugs involve inserting special code called mRNA into the body, tricking it into developing an immune response. No mRNA-based drug has ever won approval before.

Hajo Zeeb, a professor at Germany's Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology, said it's hugely encouraging that two separate studies both found similar high levels of success.

"I would be surprised if something different came out in the FDA process, and I think these are highly likely to be approved," he said.

Though optimistic, Zeeb cautioned that the exact percentages may change once hundreds of millions, rather than tens of thousands, of people start taking the vaccine.

"These are still small numbers overall," he said of the trial's sample size, "but the reduction in severe cases is exactly what we want to see. If it's just a mild virus, we can live with that."

Moderna received more than $1 billion in U.S. federal government funding to develop and produce its candidate, and another $1.5 billion to supply it to the American public.
Quote:

Its trial involved 30,000 people, half of whom were given the vaccine candidate and other half a placebo. Of this group, the scientists recorded 196 cases of Covid-19, only 11 of whom were from the group that had been given the vaccine. There were 30 cases of serious illness all of them in the placebo group.

So of the 15,000 people given the vaccine, not one became seriously ill with Covid-19 during the trial period, the company said.
agsalaska
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Bring it on.
AgsMyDude
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Any chance it's approved on the 10th along with Phizer?

Nvm, looks like the 17th

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KidDoc
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Good thing I made a $10,000 stock gamble months ago when it was @ $70 per unit!
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Mr President Elect
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Not sure how they say the vaccine is 100% effective at preventing severe cases. Based on the number of people vaccinated that came down with covid, you would only expect 2 to develop a severe case. This just seems like a statistical insignificant number of patients coming down with covid in the vaccine group due to it being 94.5% effective (which is a great thing).
KidDoc
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Mr President Elect said:

Not sure how they say the vaccine is 100% effective at preventing severe cases. Based on the number of people vaccinated that came down with covid, you would only expect 2 to develop a severe case. This just seems like a statistical insignificant number of patients coming down with covid in the vaccine group due to it being 94.5% effective (which is a great thing).
They state exactly what it did. "IN THE STUDY" it was 100% effective at preventing severe cases. The media will extrapolate or not depending on what they are pushing but that is a fact in the current study of 30k people.

edit: 30k not 35k people.
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CowtownEng
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SoupNazi2001 said:

AgsMyDude said:

Any chance it's approved on the 10th along with Phizer?

Nvm, looks like the 17th




Less than 200 events is considered statistically significant for a population of 7 billion people?


I could be wrong, but I am pretty sure the sampling population in the trial is less than 7 billion.
Harry Stone
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KidDoc said:

Good thing I made a $10,000 stock gamble months ago when it was @ $70 per unit!


i wish i had the money to invest. i was following this in january when stock was at $20
Mr President Elect
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KidDoc said:

Mr President Elect said:

Not sure how they say the vaccine is 100% effective at preventing severe cases. Based on the number of people vaccinated that came down with covid, you would only expect 2 to develop a severe case. This just seems like a statistical insignificant number of patients coming down with covid in the vaccine group due to it being 94.5% effective (which is a great thing).
They state exactly what it did. "IN THE STUDY" it was 100% effective at preventing severe cases. The media will extrapolate or not depending on what they are pushing but that is a fact in the current study of 30k people.

Based on an expected number of severe covid cases of one to two if proportional to the number in the placebo group that got covid. Again it's good that so few got covid and by that it was very effective, but to say that it is 94.5% effective at preventing getting covid AND it is 100% effective "IN THE STUDY" at preventing severe cases is a bit (very) misleading. I mean you have an expected number of one to two and got zero. Not really worth arguing about because the numbers look great, but just seems they are taking some numerical liberties here.
agsalaska
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I understood it.
borski99
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talking to some MD friends, there is some concern regarding the novelty of mRNA vaccines and no longitudinal data. So the first year or two will be a phase 4 study where we find out whether the disease becomes like Dengue where successive illnesses become worse
KidDoc
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borski99 said:

talking to some MD friends, there is some concern regarding the novelty of mRNA vaccines and no longitudinal data. So the first year or two will be a phase 4 study where we find out whether the disease becomes like Dengue where successive illnesses become worse
The current data shows that the vaccine does not seem to accentuate the cytokine storm in patients who had COVID after vaccine.

It is 100% true that there is no data on long term side effects or efficacy and only time will tell.
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Muy
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Pray this works
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