If we win the last two, we will finish either 6th or tied for 5th with a top 40 rpi. Does that get us in?

I'm going to go ahead and say, with great confidence, that it's a definite

Maybe.

[This message has been edited by gobluwolverine (edited 11/23/2009 1:30p).]

If we win the last two, we'll be 11-9. Oklahoma has to play tu and ISU...that looks like two losses to me...if so, they end up 11-9. Baylor is 10-9 now. If they beat Missouri, they end up 11-9. If Baylor loses, the Tigers will be 10-9 going into the Aggie match, meaning they could end up 11-9 if they beat us.

Put it all together...the girls will be tied for fourth if they win out. If Baylor loses on Wednesday, Missouri could tie for fourth with Oklahoma if they beat A&M.

[This message has been edited by JackBlack (edited 11/24/2009 9:10p).]

JackBlack, I'm pretty sure you just made my head explode.

Sooo, any lower than 4th we're probably out. If we tie for 4th, do you think we're in?

The most likely scenario is A&M, Oklahoma, and Baylor tie for fourth with 11-9 records. (We have to win our last two, Oklahoma has to lose their last two, and Baylor has to beat Missouri...all very possible)

However, if Baylor loses tonight, Missouri has a chance to tie Oklahoma at 11-9 provided they beat the Aggies next Saturday.

All of this can be botched up in the unlikely chance that Colorado beats the Ags, or the Sooners beat Texas, or the Sooners beat ISU.

All that said, we have a really decent chance of finishing 4th in the Big 12, with wins over Nebraska, Baylor, Northern Iowa, and Oklahoma, and a fairly good RPI around 40. That, in a normal year, puts the Ags in the tournament. I'm going to try and be optimistic.

what are the odds baylor gets in?

Baylor is in. Count on it.