My outlook to Rio...
100- No American can beat Yohan Blake if he runs his race. Usain says he'll be back, too. Keston Bledman (T&T) will be 28, he's twice ran a sub 9.8 this year. Jamaica also has Nickel Ashmeade who has runs sub 10.0 right now. And then it was another Jamaican who won the NCAAs. Ryan Bailey is probably the top hope for the podium. I don't have much faith in Walter Dix at this point. Team GB has the boy wonder Ryan Gemili, but the USA has three juniors running sub 10.2. They could be very, very good in 4 years. Goal will be one on the podium and top 2 in the relay.
200: Same story for Bolt and Blake. Warren Weir (bronze) will be 26, and the 4th fasted man this year was a 21 year old Jamaican. Ashmeade and Christpohe Lemaitre can run it under 20 seconds.
Spearmon and Dix might be too old, Harry Adams and Maurice Mitchell will be there. Tyreek Hill is the world's leading junior, he got bronze at the world championships and Aaron Earnest got silver. Goal will be to get Hill or Earnest in position for the podium.
400: The gold and silver medalists were teenagers. Everyone else from the final will be back except Chris Brown (Bahamas, 4th place). All of our current runners will be able to give it a go, I think the 400 has the best outlook for Rio. Alrdrich Bailey (an Aggie) and Arman Hall (Florida) are two of the 4 or 5 best guys that havn't made their senior debuts yet. Goal is two on the podium and they should definitely be capable of winning the relay.
Overall outlook is...meh. It should be better than London, but I think the reality is the rest of the world has caught up to us. Maybe we'll be in a better position in 8 years.
[This message has been edited by TXAggie2011 (edited 8/11/2012 10:27p).]