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FYI - If we lose a game... we will fall WAY down, not like #4 Bama

6,240 Views | 70 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by Heineken-Ashi
jturner181
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AG
Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.
Bag
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If you lose 2/3 you are out of the playoffs

Thar said I like is going 12-0
Crazy Ag 97
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If we lose either SEC game they will drop us far enough to be first out. We have zero room for error.
W
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AG
new CFP commissioner now -- right?

SEC/Arkansas guy

edit...chairman now
gigemags-99
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Good thing we will never have to find out.
83Aggie
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We are a bad match up for tu. I was worried about the game earlier in the season. Not so much now.

I think our Offense can put 30 + on them.
Im Gipper
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jturner181 said:

Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.


This is silliness.


Grow a pair.

I'm Gipper
sixpakdad
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gigemags-99 said:

Good thing we will never have to find out.

Heck yeah, these negative Nancys need to lighten up and enjoy the present time
schmellba99
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Im Gipper said:

jturner181 said:

Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.


This is silliness.


Grow a pair.


No, it really isnt. We lose and we drop likely to 10 or worse.

The cardinal sin in CFB is losing late in tge season. You can lose early and make up fr it, losing late is different. You dont have time to climb back up and most of the time the voters hit harder late in the season.
tk for tu juan
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halfastros81
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AG
Simple solution for that problem.
Gaius Rufus
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schmellba99 said:

Im Gipper said:

jturner181 said:

Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.


This is silliness.


Grow a pair.


No, it really isnt. We lose and we drop likely to 10 or worse.

The cardinal sin in CFB is losing late in tge season. You can lose early and make up fr it, losing late is different. You dont have time to climb back up and most of the time the voters hit harder late in the season.


If texas beats UGA, they will be 6 or 7. If they beat us, we swap places with them.

If texas loses to UGA, then beats us, we probably drop to 7-9. Texas won't drop far after they lose to UGA.

If texas loses to UGA and pig, they won't beat us.

For the record, I don't think they beat us in any scenario.
BGAg1997
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We wont lose again through January 2026.
Jack Ruby
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Im as cynical as they come vis-a-vis A&M football, but a lot of yall make me look like a sunshine pumper.

Chill.
Im Gipper
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schmellba99 said:

Im Gipper said:

jturner181 said:

Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.


This is silliness.


Grow a pair.


No, it really isnt. We lose and we drop likely to 10 or worse.

The cardinal sin in CFB is losing late in tge season. You can lose early and make up fr it, losing late is different. You dont have time to climb back up and most of the time the voters hit harder late in the season.


Yes, it really is.

We won't be behind the sips or Irish with 1 loss.

I'm Gipper
usmcbrooks
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I bet you're fun at parties.
5 Dollar Footlong
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First win on Saturday then you are in ( even the most BAS afflicted among us don't disagree, right?)

Then you go into sip free and easy and you just have to execute. We're the better team

If we lose and we drop a lot I am not sure how much I would blame anyone but us. There is absolutely NO EXCUSE to lose Saturday. Period.
greg.w.h
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schmellba99 said:

Im Gipper said:

jturner181 said:

Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.


This is silliness.


Grow a pair.


No, it really isnt. We lose and we drop likely to 10 or worse.

The cardinal sin in CFB is losing late in tge season. You can lose early and make up fr it, losing late is different. You dont have time to climb back up and most of the time the voters hit harder late in the season.
Its failure to implement an understandable strength of record system. Yes, it's stupid, but the previous standard was no losses and the early season loss was a way to sort multi-loss teams.
Who?mikejones!
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Bag said:

If you lose 2/3 you are out of the playoffs

Thar said I like is going 12-0


Lol. 10- 2 makes the playoffs
Jarrin Jay
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We will be 11-1 at worst. However, if our only win in the last 3 is SAMFORD we are still in the CFP, period. Though playing on the road likely. Out strength of schedule and strength of record would get us in.

Every single playoff predictor results in the above.

It won't matter after Sat. about 2:00 when we walk off the field 10-0.
Jeeper79
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schmellba99 said:

Im Gipper said:

jturner181 said:

Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.


This is silliness.


Grow a pair.


No, it really isnt. We lose and we drop likely to 10 or worse.

The cardinal sin in CFB is losing late in tge season. You can lose early and make up fr it, losing late is different. You dont have time to climb back up and most of the time the voters hit harder late in the season.
Is this a troll post? Can't be serious.
leftlane4passing
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Crazy Ag 97 said:

If we lose either SEC game they will drop us far enough to be first out. We have zero room for error.


We're 100% in at 13-0, 12-1, 11-1. We're 95% in at 10-2.
superunknown
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We could win the next 10 NCs and people would still be sobbing about big bad texas doing this or that.
'03ag
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These guys have the committee nailed. There are no "long conversations" or "eye tests" it's just a formula. Every explanation they give is just to give talk shows and message boards something talk about.

The committee formula is using insane SOS metrics that have us at 80th. 60 spots lower than most every other calculation. Missing the playoff at 10-2 is a very real possibility.



AggieMD95
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'03ag said:

These guys have the committee nailed. There are no "long conversations" or "eye tests" it's just a formula. Every explanation they give is just to give talk shows and message boards something talk about.

The committee formula is using insane SOS metrics that have us at 80th. 60 spots lower than most every other calculation. Missing the playoff at 10-2 is a very real possibility.






Idiotic take
StrykerAg
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jturner181 said:

Just prepare yourselves... The bias against A&M is high, the value of a late season loss is high if not named ND, Bama, Georgia, OSU, etc - (a recent title winner)

We won't be slated as the 4 or 5 team... they will be pushing us down below tu and ND.


1 loss to ND's two, with one of those losses being to us at home. I don't see it.

If our one loss is tu and they managed to beat us AND Georgia, then yes I can see that.
'03ag
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They've predicted all the committee rankings with near 100% accuracy for a decade now. You should go let them know they're idiots.
AozorAg
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Anybody here who thinks we make the playoffs at 10-2 is delusional. Not a chance.
Logos Stick
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Where are they getting that SOS?! Makes no sense.
'03ag
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Logos Stick said:

Where are they getting that SOS?! Makes no sense.
I don't know and when pressed on Twitter to explain it they just said "it's not our metric"

It's completely insane. What makes it worse is we're number one in SOR.

So the committee is using metrics that directly contradict each other. You can't say that Indiana's schedule is 50 spots harder than ours, and then say that it's harder to go undefeated against our schedule than theirs. One of your models is wrong and you need to do something about it.

MD1993
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Man, I thought I stumbled upon a sissy boy forum. But I double-checked and I am logged into the # 1 Fight'n Texas Aggie Football Forum. Y'all need to go see your therapist and show them on a doll where someone hurt you at.
phatbeast
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'03ag said:

They've predicted all the committee rankings with near 100% accuracy for a decade now. You should go let them know they're idiots.

That makes a lot of sense if the committee is also full of idiots.
TyperWoods
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OP is correct.

We lose once we are dropping to around 10th behind tu and ND. We lose twice we are probably out of the playoffs and tu and ND get in.

Don't be naive.

Name 1 time we have been given the benefit of the doubt with these clowns doing polls, rankings, or whatever.
WhoopAg09
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tu was a tough matchup for us on paper, and I was nervous about it earlier in the year. Now, I'm not nearly as concerned.
Tergdor
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The simple fact that Alabama is rated as having better game control means that those stats are bunk. Alabama has been in close games, A&M's only close game was ND. The only way you get GC that convoluted is if you're somehow calculating in talent or record of opponent into ToP, which makes no sense.

It's also impossible to have a bottom half schedule in the SEC with ND as a non-conference opponent. Talent composite alone would prevent that.

Their refusal to name where their calcs come from is just icing on the cake.
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