What says you?
I would not take the chance. I'm sorry. Can't do it.

100 grapes 🍇 1 poisoned ☠️ $100K per bite 💵 What’s your move? 😰

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— Three Knockdown Rule (@3KRpodcast) January 25, 2026

Two different oncologists wanted me to take a chemo drug that, in clinical trials, resulted in death for 2.5% of patients.

So 2.5 grapes out of a hundred.

Nope. I refused. One oncologist explained why he would have me take it and how people in clinical trials are in worse shape than I was so the numbers are skewed.

Other oncologist fired me as a patient for not following her recommendation.

1% chance on that grape is still too high.

toucan82 said:

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How much poison are we talking about?

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The video said instant death.

Chat GPT

Quote:

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Nope.

Here's why, in plain English: you're playing Russian roulette with grapes, except the "bullet" isn't rare enough to ignore.

• There are 100 grapes and 1 kills you instantly.
• If you ever hit the bad one, your family gets $0 so the only way money matters is if you stop before dying.

If you try to "just eat a few," the math is still ugly:

• Eat 1 grape:
  
  • Chance you live = 99/100 = 99%
  • Expected payout (since you only get it if you live) = 0.99 $100,000 = $99,000
• Eat 10 grapes:
  
  • Chance you live = 99/100 98/99 … 90/91 = 90% (because you must avoid the one poison grape in the first 10)
  • Expected payout = 0.90 $1,000,000 = $900,000
• Eat 50 grapes:
  
  • Chance you live = 50%
  • Expected payout = 0.50 $5,000,000 = $2.5M
• Eat 99 grapes:
  
  • Chance you live = 1%
  • Expected payout = 0.01 $9.9M = $99,000
• Eat 100 grapes:
  
  • Chance you live = 0%
  • Expected payout = $0 (you will die)

So even the best expected-value play is around eating 50 grapes, where you're basically flipping a coin on dying instantly for a shot at $5M, but with no consolation prize if it goes wrong. That's not "risk," that's "your spouse becomes a widow for nothing."

If you let me reframe it: would you accept a deal where there's a 50% chance you drop dead today, and if you do, your family gets nothing, but if you don't, you get rich? Most people with people who love them should pass.

My answer: I'm out.

If "death = zero payout" and you can't control the stopping point safely, the "expected money" isn't the question the question is whether you'd accept a coin flip for your life.

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I'll do it.

I'd rather be dead than poor.

Is it a painless death? Seedless? 50, let's do this ***t.

It would be exciting to eat one. 99% chance of driving off with $100k. Not life changing, but I'd stop for a good steak and a Playstation 5 with a couple of games on the way home. Plan a couple of nice weekend get-a-ways, get some new tires, and bank the rest.

Green grapes or red grapes? If I'm risking my life, I'd request green. (sweeter)

Somewhere out there is a duck from an old lame joke that has been waiting for this moment his entire ducking life.

$100K? LOL
A month's pay isn't worth 1% chance of dying.

I would eat 2.

the odds don't reset after each grape, as you go the percentage increases

I saw this hypothetical a while back except it was 1000 grapes instead of 100.

I spent the last few years building up an immunity to iocane powder. I'm about to be rich.

I'll take 10 to walk away with $1,000,000 with a 10% chance of death, but they must be seedless grapes - Life is very valuable and I wouldn't want to choke to death on a seed.

An whole new meaning to 'The Grapes of Wrath'.

And consider the upcoming sequel:

Return to the Planet of the Apes of Wrath.

In the distant future, a huge dust storm results in an ape migration to California, and upon arrival, they are forced to pick fruit.

How many I'd eat would depend on what life stage I'm at.

Before I got married: I'd probably eat 10
Married no kids: I'd eat 3 or 4
With kids: zero
Retired: Give me 10 again

I would modify my answer from Bruce same basic premise of life stages

Is it tax-free?

AtticusMatlock said:

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Is it tax-free?

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I'm in for 3, maybe more, sight unseen.
It'll either solve some of my problems, or all of my problems

If we get a good look at the set, I may do up to 10. Start with the grossest looking one and keep picking based on that. They're going to make the tainted grape look as normal as possible.

What if, instead of poison, one of the grapes is poop from the animal of your choosing, but it just looks identical to the other grapes. And it is only $100 per grape eaten. How many you got?

So a grape sized poop for $10K? Yeah I'd probably eat it.

Drink a 44 oz Dr. Pepper. Eat an XL or 2 Snickers. Eat all the grapes. **** out your insides. (Literally) Profit.