Texas Early Voting Stats Through Monday

5,085 Views | 65 Replies | Last: 44 min ago by Gigem314
e=mc2
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Thunderstruck xx said:

Are most people on F16 voting Paxton to primary Cornyn?

Or does Paxton also suck? I haven't really been following this.

I'm voting for Hunt. I think he's by far the best candidate.
Jugstore Cowboy
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Go vote, folks!

Early Voting ends tomorrow at 7PM.

My ballot in Harris County had 104 pages to click through and confirm.

MelvinUdall
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e=mc2 said:

Thunderstruck xx said:

Are most people on F16 voting Paxton to primary Cornyn?

Or does Paxton also suck? I haven't really been following this.

I'm voting for Hunt. I think he's by far the best candidate.


I did this as well.
AgDad121619
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LegalDrugPusher said:


prob dems voting as republicans in the primaries

But on a serious note , the Pravda networks are working hard as hell to convince everyone again that Texas is going blue.
Ryan the Temp
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Jugstore Cowboy said:

Go vote, folks!

Early Voting ends tomorrow at 7PM.

My ballot in Harris County had 104 pages to click through and confirm.

I skipped anyone who was uncontested. Saved a lot of time.
Jugstore Cowboy
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Of course. Still have to touch the next button for each item.
I did cast a nostalgic vote for Radack even though his race was uncontested.
Jinx
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AgDad121619 said:



But on a serious note , the Pravda networks are working hard as hell to convince everyone again that Texas is going blue.


You guys have nothing to worry about and everyone knows it.
BusterAg
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Ag with kids said:

BigRobSA said:

Ag87H2O said:

Despite the naysayers, Texas is firmly RED.


Don't you see that map!?

Looks like some pink, maroon, fuchsia mixed in there. Still work to do for "firmly red"!!!



;-)

You know the name of this...this...I can only assume it's a color because your comment...

AND you know what COLOR it actually is?

You know how I know you're out of the closet now...

I only know the word Fuchsia because I watched a Tim Allen and John Lithgow movie about Santa Clause when I was a kid.
BusterAg
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e=mc2 said:

Thunderstruck xx said:

Are most people on F16 voting Paxton to primary Cornyn?

Or does Paxton also suck? I haven't really been following this.

I'm voting for Hunt. I think he's by far the best candidate.

Hunt actually knocked on my door on Labor Day when he was running for the House. Dressed in a suit, nice tie, American flag pendant.

He asked if I would vote for him. I asked him about his positions. He gave me a flier. I asked why he supported 2nd amendment rights. He said:

1) Cops don't protect people, they solve crimes;
2) People need guns to protect themselves from criminals;
3) The nation needs guns to protect themselves from the government if it gets out of control.


That was enough for me. Voted for him every time I could ever since.
Jugstore Cowboy
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Quote:

Quote:

You know the name of this...this...I can only assume it's a color because your comment...

AND you know what COLOR it actually is?

You know how I know you're out of the closet now...


I only know the word Fuchsia because I watched a Tim Allen and John Lithgow movie about Santa Clause when I was a kid.

I was surprised one time that my b-i-l knew what chartreuse was (I learned it from taking shots at Fitzwilly's), and learned that bubbas know all kinds of obscure colors from picking out fishing lures.
aggie93
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Rapier108 said:

Old McDonald said:

Rapier108 said:

Captn_Ag05 said:

Slight improvement for Rs



2022- Biden in the White House

2026- Trump in the White House

The party out of power during the midterms is always more motivated to vote.

except 2022 was a famously poor showing for republicans

Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization was the main cause that year. All the baby killers voted to make sure they could keep up their sacrifices to Molech.

Just like in 2002, the main cause for the Republicans gaining seats was 9/11.

Actually 2002 was the last time the Dems had this kind of turnout in the primaries. This is how it worked out:
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."

Ronald Reagan
Thunderstruck xx
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e=mc2 said:

Thunderstruck xx said:

Are most people on F16 voting Paxton to primary Cornyn?

Or does Paxton also suck? I haven't really been following this.

I'm voting for Hunt. I think he's by far the best candidate.


Do we think enough people think the same to kick Cornyn to the curb, or is that vote better spent towards Paxton?
Who?mikejones!
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Talarico and Crockett are driving the high turnout along with trump.
DonHenley
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Voted for Hunt in primary knowing ill have to pick between Cornyn and Paxton in the runoff. Hunt won't make it
IMnAg79
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Voted Paxton..Hunt would have been my second choice.
aggie93
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Who?mikejones! said:

Talarico and Crockett are driving the high turnout along with trump.

Sure but the numbers are still small in omparison to the General, that's the point. In 2002 the Dems were saying the same things at the same time and got absolutely destroyed in the General. Should Republicans be complacent? Of course not. Are some people upset with the lack of results? Sure. I don't see us going Leftist suddenly though and "Texas turning Blue!" has been screamed ever since it turned Red in the '90s and it just keeps getting Redder.
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."

Ronald Reagan
BMX Bandit
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It looks like democrats will have more primary voters than republican voters.

By comparison to past primaries in mm:
2024: 2.2 to 0.96
2022: 1.9 to 1
2020: 1.9 to 1.8
2018: 1.5 to 1


This is not to say Texas was a going to be blue in November. But Republicans need to wake up. Democrats are motivated and sense blood in the water, right or wrong.
We have the numbers. We can't waste them.

Whether it's Cornyn or Paxton, get out and vote for him. Don't cry in your cereal.
ts5641
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BMX Bandit said:

It looks like democrats will have more primary voters than republican voters.

By comparison to past primaries in mm:
2024: 2.2 to 0.96
2022: 1.9 to 1
2020: 1.9 to 1.8
2018: 1.5 to 1


This is not to say Texas was a going to be blue in November. But Republicans need to wake up. Democrats are motivated and sense blood in the water, right or wrong.
We have the numbers. We can't waste them.

Whether it's Cornyn or Paxton, get out and vote for him. Don't cry in your cereal.

This is what the nonstop drumbeat of "Trump is literally Hitler" does to those in the squishy middle. A lot of Republicans aren't as ideological and are affected the the constant rhetoric that you're bad if you vote Republican.
aggie93
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BMX Bandit said:

It looks like democrats will have more primary voters than republican voters.

By comparison to past primaries in mm:
2024: 2.2 to 0.96
2022: 1.9 to 1
2020: 1.9 to 1.8
2018: 1.5 to 1


This is not to say Texas was a going to be blue in November. But Republicans need to wake up. Democrats are motivated and sense blood in the water, right or wrong.
We have the numbers. We can't waste them.

Whether it's Cornyn or Paxton, get out and vote for him. Don't cry in your cereal.

I agree (and I voted). That said the GOP has quite a cushion to work with. The biggest things are really the mediocre record of getting bills passed in the Texas Leg with our RINO House Speaker and on a national level issues like the SAVE Act. Add in that we haven't lost a Statewide race since '94 and complacency is always possible.

That said Texas is about +12 to +15 GOP so there is a lot of room. I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play. Unfortunately the GOP is spending their money for now on trying to protect Cornyn and Trump groups are spending their money trying to take out Chip Roy.

I mean this clip alone is enough to sink Talarico:

"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."

Ronald Reagan
Gigem314
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Quote:

I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play.

Yeah I'm just not buying the Talarico hype. I think he's the last person you'd want trying to motivate the dem base to turn out in November. He's not going to draw as much OOS money like Beto did or move the needle with the national party that helps support them. The 'moderates' in Texas who love him likely already voted Allred in the last Senate race. I just don't think he motivates the base or gets enough new voters.
twk
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Gigem314 said:

Quote:

I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play.

Yeah I'm just not buying the Talarico hype. I think he's the last person you'd want trying to motivate the dem base to turn out in November. He's not going to draw as much OOS money like Beto did or move the needle with the national party that helps support them. The 'moderates' in Texas who love him likely already voted Allred in the last Senate race. I just don't think he motivates the base or gets enough new voters.

Talarico won't have to be as "appealing" as Beto if his opponent is Paxton. He just has to be the lesser of two evils, or persuade enough people to stay home.
Gigem314
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twk said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play.

Yeah I'm just not buying the Talarico hype. I think he's the last person you'd want trying to motivate the dem base to turn out in November. He's not going to draw as much OOS money like Beto did or move the needle with the national party that helps support them. The 'moderates' in Texas who love him likely already voted Allred in the last Senate race. I just don't think he motivates the base or gets enough new voters.

Talarico won't have to be as "appealing" as Beto if his opponent is Paxton. He just has to be the lesser of two evils, or persuade enough people to stay home.
Could be, but Paxton is far from a certainty at this point and I think Talarico is just as likely to persuade the hardcore Dem base to stay home.
twk
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Gigem314 said:

twk said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play.

Yeah I'm just not buying the Talarico hype. I think he's the last person you'd want trying to motivate the dem base to turn out in November. He's not going to draw as much OOS money like Beto did or move the needle with the national party that helps support them. The 'moderates' in Texas who love him likely already voted Allred in the last Senate race. I just don't think he motivates the base or gets enough new voters.

Talarico won't have to be as "appealing" as Beto if his opponent is Paxton. He just has to be the lesser of two evils, or persuade enough people to stay home.

Could be, but Paxton is far from a certainty at this point and I think Talarico is just as likely to persuade the hardcore Dem base to stay home.

All they have to do to get most of the Dem base out is run a bunch of anti-Trump ads. We've seen this before in 2018. If the Republicans run candidates that only appeal to the hardcore base, we are going to lose. I'd vote for Paxton in a general election, but there are a lot of people who just won't bother to turn out if that is the headline race on the ballot.
Gigem314
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twk said:

Gigem314 said:

twk said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play.

Yeah I'm just not buying the Talarico hype. I think he's the last person you'd want trying to motivate the dem base to turn out in November. He's not going to draw as much OOS money like Beto did or move the needle with the national party that helps support them. The 'moderates' in Texas who love him likely already voted Allred in the last Senate race. I just don't think he motivates the base or gets enough new voters.

Talarico won't have to be as "appealing" as Beto if his opponent is Paxton. He just has to be the lesser of two evils, or persuade enough people to stay home.

Could be, but Paxton is far from a certainty at this point and I think Talarico is just as likely to persuade the hardcore Dem base to stay home.

All they have to do to get most of the Dem base out is run a bunch of anti-Trump ads. We've seen this before in 2018.

They also did in 2024. I'm sure they will try, but I question whether there's as much motivation or fervor like we saw in 2018. The Dems don't have anyone appealing. And even then, in Texas, Cruz won.
twk
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Cruz was a much better candidate than Paxton. Ted may not be very likeable, but there is no comparison between him and Paxton.
Charpie
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twk said:

Cruz was a much better candidate than Paxton. Ted may not be very likeable, but there is no comparison between him and Paxton.

Not to mention that Allred sucked
Captn_Ag05
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Paxton's baggage will be a major issue in the general. Expect six months of all his ****ty behavor with Angela to be put on blast.
Rapier108
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twk said:

Gigem314 said:

twk said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play.

Yeah I'm just not buying the Talarico hype. I think he's the last person you'd want trying to motivate the dem base to turn out in November. He's not going to draw as much OOS money like Beto did or move the needle with the national party that helps support them. The 'moderates' in Texas who love him likely already voted Allred in the last Senate race. I just don't think he motivates the base or gets enough new voters.

Talarico won't have to be as "appealing" as Beto if his opponent is Paxton. He just has to be the lesser of two evils, or persuade enough people to stay home.

Could be, but Paxton is far from a certainty at this point and I think Talarico is just as likely to persuade the hardcore Dem base to stay home.

All they have to do to get most of the Dem base out is run a bunch of anti-Trump ads. We've seen this before in 2018. If the Republicans run candidates that only appeal to the hardcore base, we are going to lose. I'd vote for Paxton in a general election, but there are a lot of people who just won't bother to turn out if that is the headline race on the ballot.

And tons of Republicans who won last night ran on "I'm MAGA and love Trump, vote for me."

They had no platform other than MAGA based platitudes and going to DC to "back/support Trump."
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Gigem314
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twk said:

Cruz was a much better candidate than Paxton. Ted may not be very likeable, but there is no comparison between him and Paxton.

Beto was also a much better candidate than Talarico. Point being, even with the negative ads and personality contrast (Cruz was portayed as unlikable while Beto was portrayed as youthful and fresh) it still didn't work. Cruz also didn't run the most intentional campaign either.

Paxton has more baggage, no doubt. At this point I'd be mildly surprised if beats Cornyn.

I just think Talarcio is more hype/hope at this point.
fc2112
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Beto was running against a much stronger candidate. I think Beto would give Cornyn a run for his money.
Gigem314
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Rapier108 said:

twk said:

Gigem314 said:

twk said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

I also don't think Talarico is even close to Beto, he isn't that cool and fun candidate and I don't see him inspiring a lot of young voters. Dude is awkward and he's said some really weird stuff like how Jesus was in favor of abortion and trans rights that isn't going to play.

Yeah I'm just not buying the Talarico hype. I think he's the last person you'd want trying to motivate the dem base to turn out in November. He's not going to draw as much OOS money like Beto did or move the needle with the national party that helps support them. The 'moderates' in Texas who love him likely already voted Allred in the last Senate race. I just don't think he motivates the base or gets enough new voters.

Talarico won't have to be as "appealing" as Beto if his opponent is Paxton. He just has to be the lesser of two evils, or persuade enough people to stay home.

Could be, but Paxton is far from a certainty at this point and I think Talarico is just as likely to persuade the hardcore Dem base to stay home.

All they have to do to get most of the Dem base out is run a bunch of anti-Trump ads. We've seen this before in 2018. If the Republicans run candidates that only appeal to the hardcore base, we are going to lose. I'd vote for Paxton in a general election, but there are a lot of people who just won't bother to turn out if that is the headline race on the ballot.

And tons of Republicans who won last night ran on "I'm MAGA and love Trump, vote for me."

They had no platform other than MAGA based platitudes and going to DC to "back/support Trump."

Because their target for the Republican primary were...Republican primary voters. The Democrats ran on "I'm not Trump, vote for me" - and will continue with that shallow approach in the general. Especially in Texas, where they can't be honest about their party's platform.
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