maverick2076 said:
K2-HMFIC said:
bobbranco said:
K2-HMFIC said:
bobbranco said:
K2-HMFIC said:
agent-maroon said:
Quote:
So…you don't want merit based promotion.
Understood.
You seem to be waiting for the "gotcha" trap to spring before you share your superior knowledge about the promotion process. Why don't you just proceed with the lecture and stop putting words in other's mouths?
BTW - I have a couple of extended family members that have shared their thoughts on the supposed "merit based promotions" process. Anything above the level of colonel is mostly political, but it's military political with some civilian political influence vs strictly civilian political. Neither has had any trouble finding consulting work in their respective areas of expertise.
"Say you don't know anything about the General Officer promotion process without saying you don't know anything about the General Officer promotion process."
Anyone who says promotion to GO is political…is butchering the word beyond all belief. There are absolutely internal politics (ie Combat Arms over support) but in order to be a GO you have basically had to kill it at every single level.
They had to be stratified in the top of their BDE or WG command tour…they have to be in the right jobs…getting GO is a lot of luck and timing but all merit.
The ones who say it's all politics are the ones who got passed over for being mid.
Now do Mark Milley, and Lloyd Austin. LOL.
Pointing to Milley and Austin like they're evidence the system is broken is a strange argument. You don't get two outliers and call that analysis of a pipeline that filters thousands down to a handful.
The reality is the opposite…the system is brutally selective. By the time you're even in the conversation for GO, you've already survived multiple command gates, stratifications, and years of performance sorting. Timing, job sequencing, and yes, internal politics matter…but that's not the same thing as saying merit doesn't.
If anything, citing two people who made it through that gauntlet kind of proves the bar exists. Using Milley and Austin as proof the system is broken is like pointing at Ryan Leaf and JaMarcus Russel then concluding football doesn't evaluate talent.
Neither were merit base promotions beyond O-9.
Not merit-based beyond O-9' is a wild take. You don't just stumble into four stars. By that point you have already cleared multiple command gates, been stratified at the top repeatedly, and survived decades of brutal sorting.
What changes at that level is not that merit disappears. It is that everyone left is already elite, so now you are choosing among the top one percent based on experience, timing, and what the job actually requires. That is not a broken system, that is what selection looks like at the very top.
If your argument is that senior picks involve judgment and some politics, sure. If your argument is that the system is broken because two guys you do not like made it, that is not analysis, that is just coping.
And what clears those command gates and stratification? Not rocking the boat. Avoiding risk. Not taking chances. Going along with your rater/senior rater and their politics/preferences/leadership styles. Avoiding investigations, either by not making unpopular decisions or by transferring out problems instead of enforcing standards.
Its not solely that the selection of GO's is political...its that the entire process from being selected for O-5 command to GO is so heavily influenced by politics that it negatively affects which leaders even make it to GO selection.
That's a better critique, but it still overstates what's actually happening.
Yes, the system rewards judgment and not being reckless. That's not the same as rewarding cowardice or blind conformity. 'Not rocking the boat' might keep you out of trouble early, but it does not get you top blocks, key commands, and repeated selection over decades. Senior raters are staking their own credibility on those strats…they want people who get stuff done.
Look at the actual officers coming out of the system.
George commanded the 4th Infantry Division after a career in the 75th Ranger Regiment and Joint Special Operations Command. That is not a 'play it safe' environment and those communities do not tolerate passengers.
Could the system bias toward certain leadership styles or career paths? Sure.
Every large institution does. But that is very different from saying it is politically captured or primarily driven by ideology.
And more importantly, that critique still does not support politicizing promotions. If anything, it argues for tighter standards and better evaluation, not injecting partisan alignment into the process.
One is a refinement problem. The other breaks the profession.