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And could be. Although, Georgia is still not a blue state. They won that seat by deception and Trump being a dumbass and telling people to not vote in that election because it was all rigged.

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Trump was a dumbass for backing Herschel Walker.

Slicer97 said:

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Ag98and03 said:

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All the Rs need to be cleaned out. Spineless cowards that allow wholesale grifting, waring, and not holding Trump to account.

They have given up the power of Congress to an autocrat. They should all go.

The general 20 point shift D will be very interesting in Nov. To this date, I don't think Rs have flipped a single blue state in state or federal elections.

I hope we finally get sense back in Texas, but we are too busy trying to force 10 Commandments into classrooms, rather than worrying about affordability.

We have an entire generation of young adults who have no hope in the American dream. I'm not sure if they will get out and vote, but they are generally cynical about literally ever affording a house, making a living wage, etc.

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You're worried about affordability and you want to elect more democrats? Well, that's a choice, I guess...

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You are correct to say it would be stupid to elect more democrats if you care about fiscal sanity. What boggles my mind is concluding that therefore republicans are the sane choice if you care about fiscal sanity. That requires ignoring record appalling deficit spending under Republican rule. If you're arguing who is better in our two party system, the answer is our overlords, not us.

nortex97 said:

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Ag98and03 said:

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All the Rs need to be cleaned out. Spineless cowards that allow wholesale grifting, waring, and not holding Trump to account.

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This is laughable, at best. Santos (R) was expelled before convicted. Swalwell was still in Congress with Ilhan Omar (married her brother & has 2 non-existent companies that made $30M), Cherfilus-McCormick stole $5M in FEMA money & 25 ethics violations, McIver charged with assaulting LE. And we really do know now that Democrats were aware of Swalwell's disgusting behavior the whole time, and ignored it until he needed to be kicked out of the governors race.

Republicans need to pass the Save America act to support secure elections again in this country, over the objection of corrupt Democrats.

And utter slimeball Newsom (D) delayed a special election to fill an empty US House seat (due to the death of LaMalfa) until the last possible date allowed by law, in August, leaving Californians without representation most of the year.

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Pass the save act and the senate is a lock for Rs and it puts the house back in play

Need Virginia to vote no on redistricting

But Rs are weak and the Save act will not be passed

John Thune is pathetic, and is worse than Mitch by a large margin. At least Mitch pushed Judge confirmations through and rammed it down the Dems throats

Windy City Ag said:

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And could be. Although, Georgia is still not a blue state. They won that seat by deception and Trump being a dumbass and telling people to not vote in that election because it was all rigged.

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Trump was a dumbass for backing Herschel Walker.

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I agree. I guess he thought the celebrity status of Walker would cause people to vote for him...but, Walker just was not a good candidate at all.

I fear North Carolina has gone the way of Virginia. Collins time may finally be up in Maine. Why is Alaska this close?

Well, that makes one of us. None of those are foregone conclusions, and I am optimistic that the Democrats will go with the (open) jihadist nominee in Michigan, making that a likely pick up, if true.

El-Sayed's chances rise as McMorrow's drops.

Rogers has to like that a lot. https://t.co/ftmyhlUxp0 pic.twitter.com/CRmbhN4QRC

— CA ET Nerd (@earlyvotedata) April 16, 2026

The GOP has a roughly billion dollar war chest, which I think they should prudently spend in races such as Georgia, Maine, NC and Michigan, as well as NH. They should win around half of those, if it is spent wisely imho.

News - Republicans have a $500M dollar advantage going into the 2026 midterms

🔴 GOP/Trump: $807.8M
🔵 Democrats: $240.7M (after DNC debt) pic.twitter.com/7hMF2tPLsC

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) April 21, 2026

Trump, GOP Stockpile $1 Billion in Cash Ahead of Midterms - Bloomberg https://t.co/oNPxphyhs7

— Sean Spicer (@seanspicer) April 21, 2026

This will make the moslem Democrat much more likely to win the primary in Michigan, which is great news for GOP candidate Mike Rogers imho.

Per CNN: ‘Make me miss California’: In deleted tweets, Senate candidate Mallory McMorrow disparaged Middle America

“As Democrats brace for a bruising primary in Michigan’s US Senate race, Mallory McMorrow, one of the party’s top contenders, has quietly deleted thousands of old… pic.twitter.com/paPfZOmIZn

— Steve Guest (@SteveGuest) April 29, 2026

What a fraud. A GOP pick up in MI would be huge.

possibly lose Maine and North Carolina. (potential gain in michigan)

Outside shot to lose Ohio.

Real chance its closer than anyone wants to admit. Both R candidates have major baggage. Cornyn a washington lifer but probably would have cruised by jimmy if trump had endorsed him early. Paxton part of a failed generation in the texas gop who isnt afraid to bang a lobbyist.

Outside shot at least to pick up NH and Georgia as well. Won't really know until the summer on those. I think Collins in Georgia will surge, though he is at a financial disadvantage.

The redistricting wars in some states with senate races might also energize one side or the other more than expected (example, Democrats might realize in urban cores like Atlanta they are losing their US rep and either turn out, or not in November). The same could be true for Republicans energized to flip their US House delegations (or protect them, such as in Virginia). This could also scramble senate race spending plans.

Malibu said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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By the way this no hope of the American dream is a joke and has been consistently shown as not true. Now if you are an lol fat or go around pretending to be a they maybe you don't. If you are out protesting while running up student debt and not bettering yourself then maybe not.

Millions of young people are living the American dream. They aren't putting Ukraine flags on facebook and double masking their fat worthless bodies. They are out working, finding things they excel at and bettering themselves. Young people who sit behind a keyboard or a protest sign screaming life isn't fair are the ones failing. That's always been the case. There are winners and losers. Losers blame others while winners continue to work even when they are successful. Which one are you? Which one are your kids? Given that you have been proven to be a hypocrite I bet I can guess.

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Personal responsibility and locus of control still exist. That can be true while recognizing the underlying economics of buying a single family home as a percentage of income and raising kids as a percentage of income have shot up asked asymtotically. The average young worker will have to work far more hours for the same lifestyle their parents and grandparents had.

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The housing affordability question is going to be solved by the same thing that solves a lot of our problems, the boomers dying off. They own roughly 40% of all existing homes and are buying at a higher rate than any other generation. My own family has four houses owned by family 73 and older with five potential heirs. Of the heirs two of them have probably no hope of owning a house on their own and would sell an inherited one to avoid the responsibility. One of the other three definitely wants to be able to own a home in the next few years, the 4th is getting married this year and will likely buy the home they currently live in and the last one I'm not sure on. Point being the market is distorted right now by the amount of inventory owned by a generation that's no longer upwardly mobile and thus are not looking to churn their existing homes into a new one. There's a shortage of total inventory and a shortage of motivated sellers and here we are. It won't last forever, though it will feel like an eternity to Gen Z looking to make that first purchase.

What in the hell? @realDonaldTrump is being "advised" to endorse Mitch McConnell's protege in the Kentucky Senate primary. Nate Morris is who Charlie Kirk had backed. Andy Barr is McConnell's hand-chosen successor. Wants to destroy Trump.https://t.co/moBmloyvE0

— Cernovich (@Cernovich) April 30, 2026

Never, ever under-estimate the GOP's ability to screw up a primary.

I think Vindman makes it closer in Florida than we'd like or expect.

Liberal/progressive "hero," with a chance for an angry D surge vs Ashley Moody, who's been very quiet and unnoticeable as Rubio's appointed replacement.

Governor Janet Mills dropped out of the Democrat primary to challenge Susan Collins.

This leaves commie Graham Platner and his Nazi tattoo as the de facto nominee.

Malibu said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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By the way this no hope of the American dream is a joke and has been consistently shown as not true. Now if you are an lol fat or go around pretending to be a they maybe you don't. If you are out protesting while running up student debt and not bettering yourself then maybe not.

Millions of young people are living the American dream. They aren't putting Ukraine flags on facebook and double masking their fat worthless bodies. They are out working, finding things they excel at and bettering themselves. Young people who sit behind a keyboard or a protest sign screaming life isn't fair are the ones failing. That's always been the case. There are winners and losers. Losers blame others while winners continue to work even when they are successful. Which one are you? Which one are your kids? Given that you have been proven to be a hypocrite I bet I can guess.

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Personal responsibility and locus of control still exist. That can be true while recognizing the underlying economics of buying a single family home as a percentage of income and raising kids as a percentage of income have shot up asked asym[p]totically. The average young worker will have to work far more hours for the same lifestyle their parents and grandparents had.

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In fact, the average American adult today works seven more hours per week than in the 1950's. This is because as women entered the work force or moved from part-time to full time, men's hours were not reduced enough to balance it out.

You can blame feminism for the increased cost of living.

1. Susan Collins (R-ME)
2. Thom Tillis (R-NC)
3. Dan Sullivan (R-AK)

Rapier108 said:

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Governor Janet Mills dropped out of the Democrat primary to challenge Susan Collins.

This leaves commie Graham Platner and his Nazi tattoo as the de facto nominee.

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I started reading up on Platner. That guy is all over the place, a total loose cannon that I could see winning. Scary.

nortex97 said:

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Well, that makes one of us. None of those are foregone conclusions, and I am optimistic that the Democrats will go with the (open) jihadist nominee in Michigan, making that a likely pick up, if true.

El-Sayed's chances rise as McMorrow's drops.

Rogers has to like that a lot. https://t.co/ftmyhlUxp0 pic.twitter.com/CRmbhN4QRC

— CA ET Nerd (@earlyvotedata) April 16, 2026

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That would make Michigan a lot easier to pick up. Really looking forward to seeing more polling in NH and Georgia senate races.

Georgia will be interesting. Perdue beat Ossoff by over 100k votes with the max turnout (first go around) and illegal 2020 election where Atlanta cheated. dumbass Trump degraded the turnout for the run off and Atlanta cheated, Ossoff won by 55k votes

Well Atlanta cheat will not be there this time around, and Trump will be campaigning for the R, I expect large turnout for the Rs

Georgia could go either way but I am leaning R here

Kemp won the state by 300k last election and Trump won by over 100k

Guess it all depends on which party turnout the most in this state

Sumlins Pool Guy said:

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Real chance its closer than anyone wants to admit. Both R candidates have major baggage. Cornyn a washington lifer but probably would have cruised by jimmy if trump had endorsed him early. Paxton part of a failed generation in the texas gop who isnt afraid to bang a lobbyist.

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Trump won Texas by 1.6 million. Texas is getting more Red. Cruz beat a lot more popular guy in Beto, who had a huge advantage with money, AND Cruz did not campaign much at all and that was in lesser Red Texas. He still beat Beto by over 200k.

John Cornyn won by over a million votes in 2020

Either of the Rs will bury the Dem, it is funny to think otherwise

A gay white guy will not get a large turnout from Black Dems, and Dem Hispanics will not overly turnout for gay pastor

I see the R winning by at least 300k

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I see the R winning by at least 300k

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Winning by 300,000 votes would be a bad outcome & get more and more spending for 2030 against Cruz

Let's hope it's closer to 900,000

The dem primary winner in Maine is very likely to be a nazi tattooed ultra progressive. The other dem dropped out today.

And Susan Collins has been predicted wide and far to lose in november every 6 years going back at least 3 cycles.

nortex97 said:

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Outside shot at least to pick up NH and Georgia as well. Won't really know until the summer on those. I think Collins in Georgia will surge, though he is at a financial disadvantage.

The redistricting wars in some states with senate races might also energize one side or the other more than expected (example, Democrats might realize in urban cores like Atlanta they are losing their US rep and either turn out, or not in November). The same could be true for Republicans energized to flip their US House delegations (or protect them, such as in Virginia). This could also scramble senate race spending plans.

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See my above post about Georgia. Atlanta cheated in 2020 on top of bad Trump telling people to stay home. Perdue would have won if not for Trump and the Atlanta cheat.

One thing to consider this election is Atlanta even without the cheat will probably turnout in big numbers due to a black woman running for Governor

It will be a close election and probably depend on which party turns out more.

BMX Bandit said:

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I see the R winning by at least 300k

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Winning by 300,000 votes would be a bad outcome & get more and more spending for 2030 against Cruz

Let's hope it's closer to 900,000

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I was being VERY conservative on that lol

Silent For Too Long said:

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Susan Collins?

Thom Tillis?

Others?

I keep seeing Texas as the Dems ever present pipe dream but I just don't see it happening.

They need 4 to flip it. I keep seeing this doom/wish casting that its going happen and I'm just curious about the actual data at this point.

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There are 2 things that matter between now and November. What happens in the Economy and what happens in Iran. How those 2 things are going will determine everything. The SAVE Act would have been awesome but I don't see it happening. Trump and the GOP in Congress aren't popular but the Dems are also extremely unpopular, especially with the folks in the middle. It's not about what the news says either it will be about people's perceptions. We can guess at what that will be but no one knows.

great to see the leftist commies putting up Platner with his Nazi SS rune tattoos.

Susan Collins should be able to hold that seat.

nortex97 said:

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And Susan Collins has been predicted wide and far to lose in november every 6 years going back at least 3 cycles.

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Damn did not know that. She has been a warrior in a deep blue state. People talk crap about her but she at least votes with Rs 90% of the time

She is an asset, not a drain like people think

Murk and Mitch are drains, same with Thune to a certain extent. South Dakota can do a lot better, same with Kentucky

Alaska is weird state, that seems to be getting more blue, after NC and Maine, that is my next state I worry about. The Dem candidate seems to be popular up there

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Alaska is weird state, that seems to be getting more blue, after NC and Maine, that is my next state I worry about. The Dem candidate seems to be popular up there

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Haven't checked lately, does Alaska still have that crappy ranked choice voting system that no one understands?

aggie93 said:

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Silent For Too Long said:

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Susan Collins?

Thom Tillis?

Others?

I keep seeing Texas as the Dems ever present pipe dream but I just don't see it happening.

They need 4 to flip it. I keep seeing this doom/wish casting that its going happen and I'm just curious about the actual data at this point.

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There are 2 things that matter between now and November. What happens in the Economy and what happens in Iran. How those 2 things are going will determine everything. The SAVE Act would have been awesome but I don't see it happening. Trump and the GOP in Congress aren't popular but the Dems are also extremely unpopular, especially with the folks in the middle. It's not about what the news says either it will be about people's perceptions. We can guess at what that will be but no one knows.

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Gas needs to be around $3 average by the elections and stock market needs to be on the rise, Dow needs to hit 50k and stay above that, Trumps main focus at this time should be getting the strait open without the help from Iran

Grocery prices should also be a top focus for him, he needs to lower the tariffs on all food products to 0 until after the election

Gas and Groceries are what people notice the most, he needs to figure it out and quick

LMCane said:

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great to see the leftist commies putting up Platner with his Nazi SS rune tattoos.

Susan Collins should be able to hold that seat.

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IDK Planter seems to be very popular even with the Nazi Tattoo being known, hes blowing out Mills with regards to polls

Guess people in Maine are racist

aggiehawg said:

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Alaska is weird state, that seems to be getting more blue, after NC and Maine, that is my next state I worry about. The Dem candidate seems to be popular up there

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Haven't checked lately, does Alaska still have that crappy ranked choice voting system that no one understands?

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Yes, it does. Unfortunately. Still shouldn't be a real issue this cycle. They are trying to repeal it this year (again), but as always have screwed around in doing so.

aggiehawg said:

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Alaska is weird state, that seems to be getting more blue, after NC and Maine, that is my next state I worry about. The Dem candidate seems to be popular up there

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Haven't checked lately, does Alaska still have that crappy ranked choice voting system that no one understands?

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It's called Instant Runoff Voting (IRV).

And it's a terrible system because a candidate who's everybody's second choice will be eliminated for lack of first-choice votes, which is exactly what happened in Alaska.

Condorcet voting (aka Instant Round Robin, where a candidate who beats all the others pairwise wins), or the Borda Count (N points for first choice, N-1 for second choice, N-2 for third, etc.) don't have this problem.

2026NCAggies said:

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LMCane said:

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great to see the leftist commies putting up Platner with his Nazi SS rune tattoos.

Susan Collins should be able to hold that seat.

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IDK Planter seems to be very popular even with the Nazi Tattoo being known, hes blowing out Mills with regards to polls

Guess people in Maine are racist

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Of course he's popular. Socialism and progressive policies are easy to sell to the young and stupid.

That whole system was set up to protect Murkowski