Convention Center Viability in Brazos County

11,442 Views | 130 Replies | Last: 11 mo ago by UmustBKidding
Bob Yancy
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The City of College Station received the first phase of a Convention Center study last night conducted by a respected, independent consulting firm, Hunden Partners.

The first phase was a "demand" study. The study concludes there is significant demand. I had conducted a fractional analysis compared to this over a year ago and concluded the same thing. We are losing trade show business, ticketed entertainment events and more for a lack of space. The data are pretty clear that we are too dynamic and growing and exciting to not have a Convention Center.

All of that said, I as one member of council will not support the City of CS "going it alone" on this. Everyone in Brazos County, from all 3 governments to Blinn and Tamu and every single school system, public or private, would reap the rewards of having the space for our own needs and the benefit of the significant economic impact that would come from it.

Therefore, I encourage folks to go to the city's website and download the study which was publicly shown last night. Perhaps someday, we can come together as a community and rally the intergovernmental support needed to make it a reality.

Until then, the data is out there that I believe proves up and answers the question, "is there real demand for a convention and events center in Aggieland?"

I believe the answer is "yes."

Respectfully yours,

Yancy '95




My opinions are mine and should not be construed as those of city council or staff. I welcome robust debate but will cease communication on any thread in which colleagues or staff are personally criticized. I must refrain from comment on posted agenda items until after meetings are concluded. Bob Yancy 95
Tailgate88
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AG
I'll concede the demand is there. My concerns are

A) Should the city be in this business?
B) Will it operate at a profit?

I could be convinced on A if B is a certainty.
tu ag
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AG
Data says there is a demand. Ok.
Data also says that the VAST majority want lower taxes. In fact, I would argue that number is WAY higher than your number.

So...what is being done about that?
AgProgrammer
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AG
Convention centers are typically owned by cities, due to the benefits that events in the area have on hotel occupancy, butts in restaurants, etc. The number of privately owned stand-alone convention centers are few and far between (Plano Event Center, etc).

The other thing you typically see in major markets are convention centers that are part of a BIG hotel (Hyatt Regency, Omni, etc). We are not that big of a market for a Hyatt Regency, etc.
Brian Alg
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When you say profit, you talking about EBITDA type stuff or would you include CapEx? Because if you include the millions they are talking about spending on this thing, this is going to lose so much money it will make your head spin. On the order of a Macy's boondoggle every year. Seriously, Yancy's proposal is likely to lead to something like $5 million per year in losses.

If you exclude CapEx, though. This might only lose 1-2 million per year.
Brian Alg

My words are not intended to be disrespectful to any of the staid and venerable members of College Station City Council
Brian Alg
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Could you post a link to the presentation?
Brian Alg

My words are not intended to be disrespectful to any of the staid and venerable members of College Station City Council
b0ridi
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tu ag said:

Data says there is a demand. Ok.
Data also says that the VAST majority want lower taxes. In fact, I would argue that number is WAY higher than your number.

So...what is being done about that?
But the tax rate has never been lower!!
AgProgrammer
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AG
A convention center should make money for the city...and most do. Especially the ones that are well run.

So theoretically, a convention center should be a tax benefit. Meaning it should yield more income than it costs and that in turn should be a reason for lower taxes on citizens.

The reality is that the CAD would just love that additional money and not lower other tax revenue. But that's not a disfunction of a city owned convention center...that's the ongoing disfunction of central appraisal districts.
tu ag
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AG
You have a vested interest in having a Convention Center, correct?
Brian Alg
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Name one municipally owned and operated convention center, ideally one in a similarly situated city like Waco or something, that you believe is well run and an exemplar of what you want College Station to build.
Brian Alg

My words are not intended to be disrespectful to any of the staid and venerable members of College Station City Council
tu ag
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AG
FYI - I would LOVE to see what "make a profit" means for a Convention Center, because according to this article, "Profit is a fungible term for convention centers".
https://iavm.org/convention-centers-view-of-success/

In other words - they fudge the books and call it "profit" all while saying, but but but...it benefits the COMMUNITY!
Bob Yancy
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Brian Alg said:

Could you post a link to the presentation?


I tried. It's on my phone and won't post to Texags. I'll try to text it to you. And remember, it's not my proposal. I'd only support it if it were OUR proposal. As in a joint bond referendum split among multiple parties.

Respectfully

Yancy
My opinions are mine and should not be construed as those of city council or staff. I welcome robust debate but will cease communication on any thread in which colleagues or staff are personally criticized. I must refrain from comment on posted agenda items until after meetings are concluded. Bob Yancy 95
91_Aggie
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AG
where is the study at on the cstx.gov
I went to main site, but not sure where to go.
Search for "Convention Center" didn't turn up anything.

UmustBKidding
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We need the consultants to look at this. I hear the guys COCS used to conclude that the Northgate parking garage was going to be like a gold mine are still available. The consultants used for the previous convention center projects undertakings at Wolf Pin Drainage ditch, Joint Venture with Don Adam on University Drive and the Chimney Hill debacle are likely available also. COCS has a long history of convention center proposal failures, and for that I am grateful. We are only out a few million, if they had been brought to fruition I believe it would has been a few million lost per year. We already have the Expo running a $1.2M/yr deficit COCS really needs in on this action.




91_Aggie
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I went to Hunden Partners site.

So they do Economic Feasibility studies.

But they also offer services for "making your vision a reality"

Sorry, Bob... love you on everything you post here except this push for a convention center.

A consultant that does an economic feasibility study but also offers services for if that city starts doing what they recommend has inherent conflict of interest and skin in the game to provide an answer of "OH YES, College Station is missing out and needs this".

How much did the city pay for the study?
Brian Alg
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The study (thank you, Councilman Yancy):
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1F67wmFD_dAliS7SpMiYB3TlACoj8cm-F/view?usp=sharing

I would like to point out that page 10 indicates the revenues lost as a result of "the 62 events lost due to space constraints" is around $13.2 million across 2022-2024.

That is $4.4 million per year. Less than half of the average Chic-Fil-A's annual revenue. If you calculate out the sales tax revenue lost according to the feasibility consultants we are talking about something on the order of $66k (4.4 million x 1.5%) in annual tax revenue we are missing out on.

If they are talking about anything that costs more than $66k in O&M shortfall and amortized CapEx, this is a loser for taxpayers.

The proposal for a municipally owned and operated convention center was always and will always be a loser for taxpayers. Any further time spent on this is a distraction at best. Any further money spent on studying boondoggle feasibility is taxpayer money wasted.
Brian Alg

My words are not intended to be disrespectful to any of the staid and venerable members of College Station City Council
tu ag
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AG
Hunden Partners entire business model is based on having cities build more stuff.

I would love to know how many of these projects they advised cities NOT to build?
Gonna bet 0.
Bob Yancy
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tu ag said:

Hunden Partners entire business model is based on having cities build more stuff.

I would love to know how many of these projects they advised cities NOT to build?
Gonna bet 0.


I think Dime Box got shot down for one in the 80s… just kiddin. I got to bed at 3am.

Y'all be good.

Yancy out
Brian Alg
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UmustBKidding said:

We already have the Expo running a $1.2M/yr deficit COCS really needs in on this action.
$1.2M/yr in operating deficit. If I am not mistaken, there is also something like $50M in CapEx over the life of it.
Brian Alg

My words are not intended to be disrespectful to any of the staid and venerable members of College Station City Council
hopeandrealchange
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My question is why do we care if by chance there truly is a demand?
Why do we need to fill that need? Our town is already at max on roadways, hotel occupancy, restaurants and so on.
Why encourage more out of control growth.
I vote we discourage growth.
UmustBKidding
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Oh its got plenty of debt service left, but I saw this $1.2M annual operating loss in a recent commissioners meeting article. But at least they did say they are investigating ways to lower this number.
EBrazosAg
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AG
All these studies are done to give cover to leaders to do what the want to do….. then if it doesn't work they can say "but the consultants said it was a great idea !"
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Brian Alg
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91_Aggie said:

How much did the city pay for the study?
According to page 398 of yesterday's agenda, the convention consultants have cost the city $40,050 so far. Council gave the go-ahead on phase 2 which is estimated to be $32,875.

The YMCA study is "contracted for $180,768." My understanding is that is just for the current iteration (the one approved October 2023). (p. 397)
Brian Alg

My words are not intended to be disrespectful to any of the staid and venerable members of College Station City Council
Brian Alg
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That would make me so happy.

And like the Macy's, I suspect the best option to stop hemorrhaging money is to sell the asset. I don't know what the best use of that property is. But I am confident that the Commissioners Court is unlikely to do a better job than an entrepreneur with something to lose if things go sideways.
Brian Alg

My words are not intended to be disrespectful to any of the staid and venerable members of College Station City Council
Stucco
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The demand is only relevant if it is coming from those that would pay for it.

A convention center is nothing more than a retail/hotel/restaurant subsidy.

This study reads like a business plan. Where is the study on how a convention center will impact citizen qol and how many additional public funds will be required to restore it? That's what the city should be concerned with, even if a private company was bringing a convention center.

This is precisely why the city needs to get out and stay out. They are already spending money on a feasibility business plan instead of answering the most basic question of how will this benefit the citizens. Because it wont.

The only source of funding for the city should be the citizens. Money coming from elsewhere leads to diverging and conflicting goals.

Stop shopping and you will stop buying.
AgProgrammer
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AG
Not directly, but about the same as any hotel, restaurant, retail shop, construction company, etc…or lots of other business owners in area do.

Keep in mind, businesses also pay a rather large portion of the tax base, so increased opportunities for them are also a consideration in how that money should be reinvested into the city.
dubi
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AG
Quote:

Stop shopping and you will stop buying.
We need this painted on the side of city hall.

COCS leaders have proven they can not even competently buy empty land and empty mall sites. Why do you think you can run this at a profit? If a new convention center can't cover the debt service and the operating costs, then do not build it.
Stucco
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AgProgrammer said:

Keep in mind, businesses also pay a rather large portion of the tax base, so increased opportunities for them are also a consideration in how that money should be reinvested into the city.
Yes, this is the root of the problem. You cannot serve two masters.
tu ag
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AG
Since it directly benefits your business and could offer substantial income, I can see why you are an advocate.

The rest of us just get to pay for it.
woodiewood
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Brian Alg said:

Name one municipally owned and operated convention center, ideally one in a similarly situated city like Waco or something, that you believe is well run and an exemplar of what you want College Station to build.
There is one in Waco and they turned over the management to a private national company SM Global to "try to boast Events and Revenue."

At the city council meeting last night one of the council members commented that the convention center in conroe is losing millions of dollars annually.

Comparing the opportunities for a convention center here by illustrating the somewhat successful center in Waco might not be a valid comparison.

The Waco area has a population of about 340,000 persons and we have about 280,000 but probably 30,000 or so are college students.

Also, Waco has a lot more to market to groups considering locating a destination for conferences.

Waco has....

Fixer upper silo, Magnolia restaurants
Restaurants along river
River walk
Sunset River dinner cruise
Zoo
Mammoth natural museum
Water park
Dr. Pepper museum
Texas Ranger Museum
Texas Sports Hall of Fame
Balcones distillery and four vineyards
Heart of Texas speedway
Large lake around rolling hills
and....

We have Northgate and The Chicken
Bush Library
winery
?

techno-ag
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AG
Sounds great. Post Oak Convention Center. Throw in some retail to help make ends meet. Maybe bring in a hotel to help fill up some of that empty mall space. We could have a major destination right here.
The left cannot kill the Spirit of Charlie Kirk.
woodiewood
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EBrazosAg said:

All these studies are done to give cover to leaders to do what the want to do….. then if it doesn't work they can say "but the consultants said it was a great idea !"
Yep. It's like when an A&M department asks an outside focal groups or consultant group to evaluate a possible major project or expenditure. The hired consultant knows exactly what the department is looking for and collects the data and writes the report with the conclusions that the department is looking to get...wink, wink. Also, the consultant will always recommend that further investigations might be considered so as to generate furture work.

My prediction is that if we build a convention center in the next few years for a couple of hundred million $$ it will run at a loss for a decade or so.

At that time a consultant will say that we need to remodel and/or or add more square footage to it as that will make it more attractive to planners of larger conventions and we will spend another 100 million $$.

I also don't think that the city should have a hotel built on city property competing with the existing private hotels.

Not one shovel of dirt should be dug until the citizens have the opportunity to vote it up or vote it down.

techno-ag
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AG
woodiewood said:

EBrazosAg said:

All these studies are done to give cover to leaders to do what the want to do….. then if it doesn't work they can say "but the consultants said it was a great idea !"
Yep. It's like when an A&M department asks an outside focal groups or consultant group to evaluate a possible major project or expenditure. The hired consultant knows exactly what the department is looking for and collects the data and writes the report with the conclusions that the department is looking to get...wink, wink. Also, the consultant will always recommend that further investigations might be considered so as to generate furture work.

My prediction is that if we build a convention center in the next few years for a couple of hundred million $$ it will run at a loss for a decade or so.

At that time a consultant will say that we need to remodel and/or or add more square footage to it as that will make it more attractive to planners of larger conventions and we will spend another 100 million $$.

I also don't think that the city should have a hotel built on city property competing with the existing private hotels.


The city only owns Macy's old location. So a private developer could build something adjacent in POM and the city wouldn't have to fund it.
The left cannot kill the Spirit of Charlie Kirk.
woodiewood
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AgProgrammer said:

Not directly, but about the same as any hotel, restaurant, retail shop, construction company, etc…or lots of other business owners in area do.

Keep in mind, businesses also pay a rather large portion of the tax base, so increased opportunities for them are also a consideration in how that money should be reinvested into the city.
If it is such a boom of increased opportunities for businesses, why don't the businesses that will benefit form a partnership and build a private convention center and, as Waco had to do, hire a management company to run it?
Mathguy64
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AG
woodiewood said:

Brian Alg said:

Name one municipally owned and operated convention center, ideally one in a similarly situated city like Waco or something, that you believe is well run and an exemplar of what you want College Station to build.
There is one in Waco and they turned over the management to a private national company SM Global to try to boast Events and Revenue.

At the city council meeting last night one of the council members commented that the convention center in conroe is losing millions of dollars annually.

Comparing the opportunities for a convention center here by illustrating the somewhat successful center in Waco might not be a valid comparison.

The Waco area has a population of about 340,000 persons and we have about 280,000 but probably 30,000 or so are college students.

Also, Waco has a lot more to market to groups considering locating a destination for conferences.

Waco has....

Fixer upper silo, Magnolia restaurants
Restaurants along river
River walk
Sunset River dinner cruise
Zoo
Mammoth natural museum
Water park
Dr. Pepper museum
Texas Ranger Museum
Texas Sports Hall of Fame
Balcones distillery and four vineyards
Heart of Texas speedway
Large lake around rolling hills
and....

We have Northgate and The Chicken
Bush Library
winery
?




I recall the Perryman report saying bad things were in store for Waco is a certain conference change happened.

Reports commissioned like that often say what the commissioner wants them to say.
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