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But there's a lot of nuance to this. For one, if Beryl does weaken as expected, this would have only a modest impact on the final track, keeping it south across the Yucatan and into Mexico. If Beryl does stay stronger than forecast or somehow intensifies as it comes west into the Gulf, it would be more apt to "feel" the stronger trough and come north. You can see this on the Euro ensemble where stronger outcomes are mostly skewed north and weaker outcomes are mostly skewed south.

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texasaggie2015 said:

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So, basically, who knows?

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Beat40 said:

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texasaggie2015 said:

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So, basically, who knows?

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Yup. Looks like going to have to wait until Thursday evening, really, to have a good idea of what's going to happen.

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Red Pear Realty said:

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In that case let's do a dead pool. Post where you think the eye makes landfall. The winner gets one Brazilian internet points.

I'll go first. Matamoros, Mexico.

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jetch17 said:

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F me in the goat ass.

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BayAg_14 said:

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I'm guessing mets in Texas will start to raise some awareness if the 18Z GFS keeps it sliding north into Texas.

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jetch17 said:

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F me in the goat ass.

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Anti-taxxer said:

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I'm in.

Direct hit on Katy.

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jetch17 said:

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F me in the goat ass.

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