Carvana

2,792 Views | 18 Replies | Last: 12 days ago by Martin Q. Blank
TitanAGGIE09
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AG
https://tscsw.substack.com/p/carvana-is-worth-zero

For anyone keeping up with Carvana the last few weeks have been a wild ride again. The Garcia's sold and pulled out 5.8 billion in stock sales prior to the biggest drops. Over the years the cash injections kept coming and they "somehow" kept growing when the market wasn't. Pretty fascinating and going to make TriColor look pedestrian at some point. Carvana never was or will be an actual auto retailer. It's just a house of cards built on the reselling of loans and there have been plenty of whistle blowing over the years that has come and gone, but it seems to be catching up to them finally.
Buck Turgidson
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Somehow we have two trucks in our driveway from that fake dealer. Both were good experiences. They may not be a profitable business in the long run but Id buy from them again in the future.
LCE
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Went w my son to pick up his first car from them a few years ago. Didn't want them talking him into some BS deal. They tossed him the keys and said if you don't return it within 7 days we'll process the sell. In and out in 8 minutes.
@NFLPlayerProps
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Their biggest problem is offering way too much on trade-ins. I've bought two cars from them and the process was completely seamless, great experience. But in both transactions they outbid carmax and givemethevin for the trade-in by several thousand dollars. It was weird.
Buck Compton
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They're basically a bank that makes money on the loans. Kind of like an airline that makes far more money from credit card fees than they do actually flying people around (hint, this is every major domestic carrier).

Selling cars is just how they corner a market for loans. The same way operating flights and offering loyalty points is a way to corner a set of credit card users.

I don't think they're long for this world and definitely VERY exposed to rates more than a normal dealer, but not as "fake" as that substack leads to believe. But multiple things can be true, because their market cap is well beyond what they're actually worth.
bigtruckguy3500
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I think CarMax is also struggling pretty bad. Sitting on large inventory that they can't sell without taking huge losses. Probably a different issue than what's going on with Carvana.

I think there was a dealership in Houston years ago that sold everything on sticker price, no negotiations. Supposed to be a good deal. But I guess people like thinking they're getting a good deal by negotiations.
txyaloo
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bigtruckguy3500 said:

I think CarMax is also struggling pretty bad. Sitting on large inventory that they can't sell without taking huge losses. Probably a different issue than what's going on with Carvana.

I think there was a dealership in Houston years ago that sold everything on sticker price, no negotiations. Supposed to be a good deal. But I guess people like thinking they're getting a good deal by negotiations.

Doug Demuro had an interesting segment recently about the downfall of Carmax. I had no idea Carmax was founded by Circuit City.

Teslag
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Buck Turgidson said:

Somehow we have two trucks in our driveway from that fake dealer. Both were good experiences. They may not be a profitable business in the long run but Id buy from them again in the future.


Same have had several good experiences with them both as buyer and seller.

Carvana has also started selling new Jeep/Rams in the DFW area as they expand into new vehicle sales.

Everyone who hates dealers and salesmen should be cheering on Carvana. I am.
91AggieLawyer
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Teslag said:

Buck Turgidson said:

Somehow we have two trucks in our driveway from that fake dealer. Both were good experiences. They may not be a profitable business in the long run but Id buy from them again in the future.


Same have had several good experiences with them both as buyer and seller.

Carvana has also started selling new Jeep/Rams in the DFW area as they expand into new vehicle sales.

Everyone who hates dealers and salesmen should be cheering on Carvana. I am.


Several problems.

1. Where will you test drive? YOU may know what you want or even what trim, but a lot of buyers don't. With carvana, you order it and get it. If you're going to go jerk a dealer around driving his cars, you'd like find out that they'd offer you whatever deal you think you'd get at Carvana.

2. In a lot of cases, maybe not all, the dealership price is actually cheaper. Here is one example of what is clearly the exact same vehicle.

Carvana: https://www.carvana.com/vehicle/4209574?refSource=srp

DFW Dealership: https://www.autonationchryslerdodgejeepramnorthrichlandhills.com/inventory/new-2026-jeep-wrangler-sport-four-wheel-drive-sport-utility-1c4pjxanxtw160144/

The dealership, by their ad, is $2500 cheaper. I'd bet you can get a lower negotiated price inside. That's just one example. I found others where the pricing discrepancy was as much as 10 grand in the dealership's favor, but I couldn't confirm trim levels. So it might not have been quite that much, but it was lower.

3. While you can probably get more on any trade with carvana, you can do that without buying from them. I told my last dealer to go jump in the lake on their trade offer; got 50% more from Car Max -- but I did buy the car I was looking at from them.

4. Every new car, and most used cars, I've bought in the last 25 years (approximately 10) have had some form of service special included. Toyotas included at least a year, maybe 2, of service. While you can argue they build that price in, I got pretty decent deals in both cases. I bought a new 4Runner, traded it for a Tacoma, and didn't pay for an oil change for close to 4 years.

5. Dealers suck because they don't make any money on the sales floor. They make their money in service and other areas. Thus, they're a pain to deal with in many ways. But that's due to intense competition. When Carvana has to compete, and I mean REALLY compete, I can assure you the experience won't be as great as you think it is.
Teslag
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Quote:

I'd bet you can get a lower negotiated price inside.


First, the Carvana jeep has a $1200 higher sticker price so it's only $1,400 different. Second, your link is from AutoNation, who I've also bought from. They too are a one price no negotiation dealer. No haggling there.

The dealer model is antiquated and sales managers, salesmen, and the finance guy are all human garbage. Just terrible awful people. Anything that puts them out of work is a step in the right direction.

Tesla by far and away has it right. Small show rooms where you can test drive. Configure what you want online, order, delivered to central location. You arrive, speak to someone for a few minutes, open you phone app, sign paperwork in app, app turns into a key, drive off.

No human garbage, just get your car.
austinag1997
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So has anyone had challenges getting a title from Carvana?
Mookie
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Teslag said:

Quote:

I'd bet you can get a lower negotiated price inside.


The dealer model is antiquated and sales managers, salesmen, and the finance guy are all human garbage. Just terrible awful people. Anything that puts them out of work is a step in the right direction.

No human garbage, just get your car.
AggieJames09
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Few weeks ago I posted my truck on here for sale with not much interest. I reached out to a local dealer, givemethevin, carfax and Carvana…. Carvana was 12% higher than all other bids. I sold them my truck through my phone in about 5 minutes. Scary how easy awesome the process was.
Buck Compton
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Read my post above. For them, It's a feature, not a bug. They don't care if they make money selling the loan or selling the car. It's all one transaction for them. Most dealers aren't also the bank. And if they are the bank, they typically don't have the ability to package and sell the loans.

So if they can have more transactions by paying a bit extra for trade-ins, they will. In the meantime, take advantage of their model and sell to caravans almost exclusively if your car falls within their criteria.

I don't think it's a long term winner, but it's a different strategy.
Mas89
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Curious how close to your asking price they were. I got an online bid from Carvana for an 18 Chevy 2500 gas today and I thought they were way low. But it does have a cracked windshield, a few dings, and 180k miles.
FIDO*98*
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Teslag said:


The dealer model is antiquated and sales managers, salesmen, and the guy are all human garbage. Just terrible awful people. Anything that puts them out of work is a step in the right direction.

Tesla by far and away has it right. Small show rooms where you can test drive. Configure what you want online, order, delivered to central location. You arrive, speak to someone for a few minutes, open you phone app, sign paperwork in app, app turns into a key, drive off.

No human garbage, just get your car.


Every time you post about dealers makes me wonder if you sought out the worst dealers out there when you bought your last ICE vehicle. Between myself, wife, and kids I've bought 7 cars going all the way back to 2011and haven't had a single bad experience. 3 of those have been delivered to my house and paperwork done in 5 minutes. The ones we picked up had everything handled over the phone/email and we drove off almost immediately.

I actually got to be friends with the GM of the Honda dealership when we realized our kids went to school together. He's one of the most genuinely nicest and generous people I know. The owner dealership I bought my Ram from goes to our church and donates a car for a fundraiser every year.
Teslag
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Last ICE vehicle purchase was a 2025 Corvette from James Woods in Decatur. They weren't terrible but still tried to play some games.

All dealers are flatout bad at heart.
AggieJames09
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I posted the truck here and one other forum for 37k private. Didn't get any offers.

Got multiple 31k offers through the online places. Carvana paid me 34,300, then I got about 1700 back from Ford warranty prorated on unused extended mile warranty.

I searched Carvana later curios what they would get for it, to see them list the truck for 37,800? I think, and it sold in a day.
Martin Q. Blank
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Quote:

All dealers are flatout bad at heart.

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