ESiPN Analytics are Crap!

tamc91

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9:21a, 11/28/25

AG

So, Ohio State (11-0, #1) playing on the road at Michigan (9-2, #15) has a 78.2% chance of winning per "ESPN Analytics." However, Texas A&M (11-0, #3, best SOR) only has a 48.5% chance of beating the steers (9-3, #16).

They don't even try to hide their bias and mental gymnastics they go through to prop up t.u.

It's a good thing Elko and Co. Have made a habit of proving these clowns wrong all year! BTHO t.u.!

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SanDiegoAg12

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9:24a, 11/28/25

AG

Vegas has our game much closer than OSU and UM… I don't think the analytics are that crazy for this game, especially with us showing different versions of our team all season

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BMX Bandit

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9:25a, 11/28/25

Crazy how a 9.5 point favorite has a better chance to win on the road than a 2.5 point favorite.

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WC94

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In reply to SanDiegoAg12 • 9:25a, 11/28/25

AG

SanDiegoAg12 said:
Vegas has our game much closer than OSU and UM… I don't think the analytics are that crazy for this game, especially with us showing different versions of our team all season

You mean the version of winning every game despite the location and opponent?

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greg.w.h

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9:28a, 11/28/25

AG

Ever notice the first four letter of analytics???

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GoodAg Paulie

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In reply to BMX Bandit • 9:57a, 11/28/25

AG

BMX Bandit said:
Crazy how a 9.5 point favorite has a better chance to win on the road than a 2.5 point favorite.

Crazy how a 2.5 pt favorite has less than a 50% chance to win the game per their analytics. How you suspect that math works??

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BMX Bandit

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In reply to GoodAg Paulie • 10:08a, 11/28/25

GoodAg Paulie said:
BMX Bandit said:
Crazy how a 9.5 point favorite has a better chance to win on the road than a 2.5 point favorite.

Crazy how a 2.5 pt favorite has less than a 50% chance to win the game per their analytics. How you suspect that math works??

That's a valid point.

Comparing our game to the Ohio state v Michigan game is stupid. Completely different scenarios.

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merch

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10:16a, 11/28/25

Games not the same. Michigan has played 2 teams that you could consider pretty good. They got beat both times. They barely beat some bad teams. They have zero good wins.
Texas would beat Michigan.

Nothing looks more foolish than tradition to those who have none.

AggieDub14

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In reply to tamc91 • 10:16a, 11/28/25

AG

Just that much sweeter when we win and they eat crow. Also, show me on the doll where the FPI win % touched you.

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Off_The_Wood

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In reply to WC94 • 10:19a, 11/28/25

AG

WC94 said:
SanDiegoAg12 said:
Vegas has our game much closer than OSU and UM… I don't think the analytics are that crazy for this game, especially with us showing different versions of our team all season

You mean the version of winning every game despite the location and opponent?

The delta between this team's ceiling and floor is quite wide. It's okay to acknowledge that.

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jrgypsum

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In reply to tamc91 • 10:22a, 11/28/25

AG

We have the perfect chance to prove them flawed in a few hours!

Gig'em and BTHOtu

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TAMUallen

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10:23a, 11/28/25

AG

We hear about how awful the teams we've played are in the SEC

Bama only favored by 5.5 against Auburn

Mizzou -2.5 against Arkie

Florida -1.5 against FSU

OU by 11.5 against a coachless LSU is a bit big

USCe -3.5 against Clemson

Ole Miss by a touchdown over Cowbell

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oneeyedag

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10:45a, 11/28/25

This is a game where, and I know it hurts from some to hear, but points, records, recruits, location, stats, really dont matter.

Where a Wing and a Prayer: is answered on a 109 yard kick six field goal return sends you to the sec championships game on a

AggieUSMC

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10:58a, 11/28/25

AG

We'll find out tonight how accurate their analysts are.

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Heineken-Ashi

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In reply to TAMUallen • 11:03a, 11/28/25

TAMUallen said:
We hear about how awful the teams we've played are in the SEC

Bama only favored by 5.5 against Auburn

Mizzou -2.5 against Arkie

Florida -1.5 against FSU

OU by 11.5 against a coachless LSU is a bit big

USCe -3.5 against Clemson

Ole Miss by a touchdown over Cowbell

Nobody thinks those teams are as bad as they are claiming.

Before we played them, we were on upset watch every single time.

It's just the only thing they have left to discount us.

A&M couldn't possibly do what they all claimed we would never do. It has to be that the rest of the SEC is historically down.

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Blonde Coffee Beans

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11:03a, 11/28/25

ESPN knows Texas politics, t.u law school etc

"I don't care about your feelings OP. I'm not going to let fandom replace reason, thought, and history"

turboboost

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11:05a, 11/28/25

AG

Despite the bias that we all see, you can't take away the FACT that tu is playing their biggest rival. Oh darn, that can't be right though because they do say that Texas Aggies are not their rival. What was I thinking.

Despite those clowns saying this, I bet we get their best effort of the season. It will be the toughest game played all season (until the playoffs). BTHOtu! Crush them, dismantle them, and make the media eat their words. I wish I could play because no one in dookie orange will survive my rage!!!

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Cromagnum

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11:07a, 11/28/25

AG

So when we knock sip all the way out of rankings, they'll just be another win over an unranked team.

- ESsipN, probably.

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JohnClark929

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11:08a, 11/28/25

If all gamblers (except me) used ESPN analytics for their bets, I would be a Trillionaire.

Aggie__11

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In reply to BMX Bandit • 11:09a, 11/28/25

BMX Bandit said:
Crazy how a 9.5 point favorite has a better chance to win on the road than a 2.5 point favorite.

You realize how betting lines work?

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WorkTogetherAgs

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11:12a, 11/28/25

AG

ESPN = obsessed w/ horns

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Demo_Slug

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12:28p, 11/28/25

AG

Arguing our schedule is splitting hairs between should we be 3rd or 1st in the CFP. Normally an undefeated team in the SEC should be a lock at number 1.

But Anyone leveraging that conversion for comparison to other then the top 3 teams has lost the point

Gilligan67

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5:08p, 11/28/25

Just win!

1 - 0 a week at a time.

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The12thMan!

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5:19p, 11/28/25

Actually, those analytics have proven to be just as solid at the betting lines.

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Im Gipper

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In reply to The12thMan! • 5:22p, 11/28/25

The12thMan! said:
Actually, those analytics have proven to be just as solid at the betting lines.

Can't only go UP from this terrible first post!

I'm Gipper

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NWE

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In reply to greg.w.h • 5:27p, 11/28/25

AG

greg.w.h said:
Ever notice the first four letter of analytics???

he's right you know

sharpdressedman

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5:30p, 11/28/25

Our team has not played a complete game in all three phases the entire season. Concerns about performance vs. a talented rival on the road are legitimate.

Play a complete game and the Ags win by double digits.