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0% chance we play ND. We play Bama, OU or TxTech depending on SEC and Big 12 game:

5,820 Views | 48 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by aggiehawg
Divining Rod
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Committee has already worked this out to avoid rematch.


Bama and Tech both win, Bama jumps us and ND, pushing us to 8 to play OU at 9.

Bama and Tech both lose, BYU jumps us, Bama to 10. ND 9, and Tech moves behind us at 8. We play Bama.

Bama wins, Tech loses, BYU and Bama jump us, but Tech is put just behind us. We move to 8 and play Tech at 9. ND is out. (yes, they really will be)

Bama loses, Tech wins, Bama and ND switch places and we play Bama.

RecklessAg
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AG
Good breakdown, and hope youre correct. I just dont trust this committee to use logic or forethought.
LB12Diamond
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AG
Kind of agree but not sure they move Bama down if they lose and Tech wins. More llikely they finally put Miami in front of ND.
Gig ‘Em Baby!
BMX Bandit
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RecklessAg said:

Good breakdown, and hope youre correct. I just dont trust this committee to use logic or forethought.


Forethought is why they swapped the tide & Irish. Protecting them from dropping out if they lose SECCG
BTKAG97
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AG
What will really throw a wrench in the committee's schemeing is if Indiana loses by 20+.

Though I wouldn't be shocked if the Big Ten already told both teams not to run up the score.
BMX Bandit
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Even then, Indiana is still getting a bye.

They aren't going to put them behind Oregon
Divining Rod
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Yes, the indiana/OSU thing is basically musical chairs with tje 2 and 3 spot. if indiana loses- they go to 3. if Osu loses, they go to 2 or 3. depending on how Ga looks.
Onionman
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The sad thing is I could see the committee still keeping T Tech ahead of us even if they lose.

They would claim it was a conf champ game so they shouldn't drop too much.

Meanwhile T Tech would have a worse record and a worse strength of schedule but be ahead of us.
Jbob04
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AG
I think bama beats Georgia and we get ou.
Jbob04
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AG
Onionman said:

The sad thing is I could see the committee still keeping T Tech ahead of us even if they lose.

They would claim it was a conf champ game so they shouldn't drop too much.

Meanwhile T Tech would have a worse record and a worse strength of schedule but be ahead of us.

I could see that as well but I really don't see byu hanging with tech
MisterJones
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AG
All yall trying to prognosticate are nuts.

The committee has already proven they're not using logic to make these picks.

We're all better off just waiting and seeing how the final cards are dealt and then complaining about it.
npc
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IMO, literally any other matchup is better than ND, sans OSU. Hope you're right.
Warsteiner
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MisterJones said:

All yall trying to prognosticate are nuts.

The committee has already proven they're not using logic to make these picks.

We're all better off just waiting and seeing how the final cards are dealt and then complaining about it.


This
Wabs
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AG
BYU wins (highly unlikely IMO) & Bama wins

1. OSU
2. IU
3. UGA
4. Oregon
5. Tech
6.Ole Miss
7. Bama
8. BYU
9. A&M
10. Miami/ND
11. Conf Champ
12. Conf Champ

Road against BYU. Would you take that over home game against ND or Bama?
WC94
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AG
If BYU loses, they will 100% put Texas in, so expect BYU to lose.
BMX Bandit
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WC94 said:

If BYU loses, they will 100% put Texas in, so expect BYU to lose.

this is so dumb



stop trying to make texas in the playoffs a thing.
Wabs
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AG
WC94 said:

If BYU loses, they will 100% put Texas in, so expect BYU to lose.

Over who?
LB12Diamond
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AG
WC94 said:

If BYU loses, they will 100% put Texas in, so expect BYU to lose.

Hey

Post less, your posts are just as embarrassing as Sark's crying!

It's better to keep quiet and thought a poosay, then Sark and remove all doubt!
Gig ‘Em Baby!
Logos Stick
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Hope you're right because I'd rather play anyone than ND. I don't think they should be in the playoffs in the first place.
LB12Diamond
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AG
Logos Stick said:

Hope you're right because I'd rather play anyone than ND. I don't think they should be in the playoffs in the first place.

Them being above Miami is even worse than they hosed us in 2020!
Gig ‘Em Baby!
JournoAG
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AG
Divining Rod said:

Committee has already worked this out to avoid rematch.


Bama and Tech both win, Bama jumps us and ND, pushing us to 8 to play OU at 9.

Bama and Tech both lose, BYU jumps us, Bama to 10. ND 9, and Tech moves behind us at 8. We play Bama.

Bama wins, Tech loses, BYU and Bama jump us, but Tech is put just behind us. We move to 8 and play Tech at 9. ND is out. (yes, they really will be)

Bama loses, Tech wins, Bama and ND switch places and we play Bama.



I think this is generally right. Also I think there's a good chance that if Bama moves and ND and Miami are right next to each other, then Miami jumps them.

The question to me is who do we want to play? Home v. Oklahoma feels to me like our best matchup, but it would mean dropping to 8 and having OSU likely waiting for us in round two. Bama always scares me cause it's Bama. I'd like our chances against Tech and Miami, though I don't think any are anywhere close to easy wins.
Lilly Biucci
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AG
I'm just praying for the scenario where Tech looks terrible vs BYU and we jump back to the 6 seed. Hey, a man can dream, can't he?
kevmiller
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Bama to 10 creates a possible Bama-Georgia rematch in the quarterfinals

I initially though the same thing...Bama moved up so they are protected and fall to 10 if/when the lose to Georgia.
But would committee really have scenario where if Bama beats us (or whoever the 7 seed is) and plays Georgia again foire the 3rd time this season and that means Georgia would play Bama in back to back games

I don't see them putting that scenario in place. Georgia and Bama IMO wouldn't meet until semifinal or finals . I just don't see them putting them in a possible situation to play in the quarterfinals
rootube
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AG
They can't even work out that if you have two 2 loss teams and one beat the other which is better. How the hell are they going to predict a future game that has not been played?
Sq 17
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Lilly Biucci said:

I'm just praying for the scenario where Tech looks terrible vs BYU and we jump back to the 6 seed. Hey, a man can dream, can't he?


6 is the sweet spot assuming IU ends up in the three hole

I like your thinking, certainly in the most plausible way we end up at six
oneeyedag
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The committee is using eyeballs, ratings and who can put butts in seats and bring in revenue for network cable. 1-4 is a has to ranking, anything above 4, is cable ratings and seat ratings
Loftin
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AG
The current rankings have two regular season rematches in round 1 (A&M-ND and Bama-OU). I really hope that doesn't end up being the case. Boring. OU and Bama may be SEC as well, but at least we haven't played them this year.
Sgt. Schultz
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AG
Imagine if we went back to the old BCS system with conference tie-ins to the bowls, where they actually meant something. Afterwards, do a "plus 1" game for the natty a week later. Move national signing day and the transfer portal to February so coaches won't be leaving in the middle of the season. The old way might actually be better.

If not, do a 24 team playoff with byes and shorten the regular season back to 11 games. That way there is the potential for hosting multiple playoff games.
SWAGBOT
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AG
If the committee holds true to conference championship game losers not being punished (not that they've kept their word on anything), then I don't think Tech would drop below us for losing.
Im Gipper
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Do you have a link to that promise?

From what I have seen, its seems it will be another factor to look at, but they will also take in to consideration that the team played and extra game and don't want to be punitive.

I'm Gipper
one safe place
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Sgt. Schultz said:

Move national signing day and the transfer portal to February so coaches won't be leaving in the middle of the season.

This needs to be done tomorrow. No movement until after the championship game, not for players, not for coaches.
SigAg6
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AG
Just win
dixichkn
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AG
They're going to try to eliminate as many SEC teams as possible, as early as possible. It'll be Bama or paperclip
Muy
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AG
Jbob04 said:

I think bama beats Georgia and we get ou.


OU is who I prefer the most
El Chupacabra
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I want maximum chaos. That is all.
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