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What are your chances of advancement?

1,990 Views | 17 Replies | Last: 5 days ago by one safe place
TheBonifaceOption
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I think it looks something like this:

R1: 70%
Qf: 35%
Sf: 25%
NC: 20%

How about you?

The reason the semis and NCG are not coinflips, or worse, is because if we get passed UM and tOSU it means we are playing at a high level. I think UGA/OM would have difficulty beating us in the semis, and OU/Indy would fold.

But again, if we fail in R1 or the quarterfinals, we failed to put it all together and the point is moot.
Muy
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AG
Rd 1: 89% chance

Whooooooop!!! A A A A A!!!!
the more coolest guy
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My chances? Stellar dude, stellar.
BigN--00
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AG
Muy said:

Rd 1: 89% chance

Whooooooop!!! A A A A A!!!!

This is just redass as they come!

Also, Rd 1: 2000% chance

Whoooooop!!! AAAAA!!!
4
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AG
I'd say strong to... really strong?
AozorAg
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I'll go 40% chance we advance out of the first round.
Ginormus Ag
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AG
I would say 60% of the time we advance every time.
Spicewood Aggie
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My take is that there is a ton of parity at the top of college football these days and about seven or so teams could realistically put a run together. I'd say we would win like 40% of the time vs OSU and Indiana, 50/50 against UGA, TT, and Oregon, and we'd win 55-60% of the time against Ole Miss, Miami, OU, and Bama. I don't think anybody has that much separation on the field.
Zackdh9
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AG
100%
200%
300%
400%
Muy
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AG
BigN--00 said:

Muy said:

Rd 1: 89% chance

Whooooooop!!! A A A A A!!!!

This is just redass as they come!

Also, Rd 1: 2000% chance

Whoooooop!!! AAAAA!!!


About time some other Ags embrace it like you just did.
Muy
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AG
Gameday looks like perfectly splendid weather to beat the hell outta that egret, or pelican, or whatever that stupid thing is.
HarryRocket
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AozorAg said:

I'll go 40% chance we advance out of the first round.


Sadly I'm onboard with this

The tu game showed us a lot about how this team is going to perform in the biggest of moments. Everyone wants to look the other way but the problem at QB is there. His last 3 games have been mostly awful. Take the Samson out, he's played 75% bad football.
JDCAG (NOT Colin)
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AG
I'm at a coinflip.

I just don't know if I can trust this team. The last good game we played was Missouri.

What's strange is I could see going into Ohio State with more confidence than the game against Miami simply because it will likely mean we finally played a good game again, and if I believe we can do that, it changes the whole outlook.
TAMU74
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AG
1st Round 50%
2nd Round 50%
Have to wait and see who we would play to make any more advanced decision.
Ag Tag
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Muy said:

Gameday looks like perfectly splendid weather to beat the hell outta that egret, or pelican, or whatever that stupid thing is.

I think it's an ibis.
Jason Ag
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AG
Experts say there is a 50/50 chance, but only a 10% chance of that.
4
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AG
Jason Ag said:

Experts say there is a 50/50 chance, but only a 10% chance of that.

And don't call me Shirley
one safe place
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TheBonifaceOption said:

I think it looks something like this:

R1: 70%
Qf: 35%
Sf: 25%
NC: 20%

How about you?


I wonder why chances or odds always end in 0 or 5, that is 75% or 40% rather than 72.5% or 16.72347%? I guess it is because there is not really anything behind those numbers, so a round amount is chosen.

I'd say, odds are 80% 78.423% I am correct.
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