I think it looks something like this:
R1: 70%
Qf: 35%
Sf: 25%
NC: 20%
How about you?
The reason the semis and NCG are not coinflips, or worse, is because if we get passed UM and tOSU it means we are playing at a high level. I think UGA/OM would have difficulty beating us in the semis, and OU/Indy would fold.
But again, if we fail in R1 or the quarterfinals, we failed to put it all together and the point is moot.
R1: 70%
Qf: 35%
Sf: 25%
NC: 20%
How about you?
The reason the semis and NCG are not coinflips, or worse, is because if we get passed UM and tOSU it means we are playing at a high level. I think UGA/OM would have difficulty beating us in the semis, and OU/Indy would fold.
But again, if we fail in R1 or the quarterfinals, we failed to put it all together and the point is moot.