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I don't totally discount some of your arguments and I'll give you the Dirk comparison to a degree, but he was still never able to run the break like KD can. Maybe the best way to put it is that KD makes plays in the open court that guys his size just don't usually make. He can run the break, initiate the offense, stretch the floor, and also score from the post. If not for the presence of Lebron, we'd be talking about KD as the guy to compare to MJ.
I do agree that KD is an absolutely elite player that does stuff other guys can't do. His shooting is on par with Dirk, but is a much better offensive weapon in most other offensive facets of the game.
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You're obviously all on board with Scoot, which is fine, if the Spurs draft him I hope he's a HOF talent.
He certainly has the physical tools to be a player like Ja or a smarter Westbrook.
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In this new era of positionless basketball I think you're putting too much thought into this idea of "lead" guard as well. As long as you can get the ball up the court and into your offense you're good. Today that happens in many different ways, just look at Jokic for proof of that.
You still need ball handlers. You can run the entire offense through Jokic, but Murray is still bringing the ball up the court.
Top West teams:
- DEN: Jokic is their best playmaker, but Murray is a 20/6/4 player.
- MEM: Ja Morant is the most similar player to what I think Scoot will be.
- SAC: Sabonis is a poor man's Jokic, but they also have Swiper putting up 24/6/4.
- DAL: Luka and Kyrie. Kyrie is more of a traditional PG, and Luka is more like the modern bigger playmaker.
- PHX: Point God.
- LAC: I think a big part of the Clippers struggles have been their lack of a primary ball handler and their reliance of PG13 and QuittinKawhi to be their primary playmakers. That's probably why they just made the moves to get Bones Hyland.
Top East Teams:
- BOS: Tatum and Brown are their superstars, but they have surrounded them with Smart, White, and Brogdon to run the point.
- MIL: Giannis can do it all, but they still traded Bledsoe and a dozen firsts for Jrue Holiday to run the point. And the pushed them to a title.
- 76ers: Had Simmons as a non-traditional PG and moved to Harden as more of a traditional scoring PG.
- CLE: Darius Garland running the point with DM at SG.
- MIA: They are struggling and I think a part of it is Lowry being so much less effective than he was with the Raptors. When they went to the Finals last, Butler was better as lead playmaker and they had Dragic, too.
- NYK: Essentially their best season since early Melo years. They paid up for Brunson and it has worked out.
It's more positionless in that you can run the point from multiple places, but even teams with great playmaking bigs like Jokic and Giannis are paying a lot to get a great PG next to them.
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The real key for Scoot will be if he makes the guys around him better. Maybe he will and maybe he won't. And if John Wall is the comp, then that doesn't really get me excited. If you gave me a choice of KD or Wall, I take KD 100% of the time.
Sure, KD and Wall are vastly different players. Talking about a MVP vs an All-Star. KD also spent most of his career with pretty great coaches. Donovan, Kerr, Nash.Also, Durant spent his entire career with elite teammates. Wall was the only person for Washington. Durant played with Russ, Harden, Ibaka, Enes Freedom, Adams, Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond, Iggy, Kyrie Irving, DeAndre Jordan, TheMarcus, Blake Griffin - and now Chris Paul, Devin Booker, and Ayton. Wall had Gortet and pre-AS Beal with ****ty coaches.
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Finally, if you're so concerned with injuries, Ja is an interesting comp to bring in. The whole playoffs last year the commentators were talking about how Ja won't last in the league unless he learns to play more under control. I love highlight dunks as much as the next guy, but don't show a dunk from Scoot in the G league as proof of his stardom. Lots of guys can dunk and fly when they are young, but they are just as likely to get injured and lose that explosion as they get older. Blake Griffin can barely get down the court let alone dunk now, John Wall has also lost most of the explosion that made him great. A dunk no matter how great is only worth 2 points.
It's simply an example of his athleticism. It is something that many guys don't have.
Griffin is about to turn 34 and is a PF. He sprained his left knee then tore cartilage in his right knee as a fish at OU. He had arthroscopic surgery on his knee and OU rushed him back before he was ready. Then his rookie year, he blew out his knee before his first game. Before he turned 20, he had surgery on both knees.
Sure, Wall lost his athleticism after multiple injuries and some athletic guys like him or Rose have injuries. Just the nature of the beast in sports.
But there are also lots of extremely athletic guys in that 6'2-6'6 range that never have debilitating injuries. Westbrook still had his explosiveness in his 13th year, when he averaged a triple-double at 22/12/12.
Jordan still led the league in scoring in his last year in Chicago. Not counting the half-baseball season, it was 10-straight seasons where he led the league. He missed 7 games over those 10 years.
But there is not a single 7'3 or taller player in NBA history that has played at an All-NBA-level for a bunch of years. To expect a guy that is 7'4 and possibly growing to have a Durant-type career when he already has had major back problems and lower leg stress fractures is unrealistic.
Sure, a player of any size can be hurt. But there are lots of guys in the sub-6'6 range with very healthy careers. There isn't a single guy above 7'2 that you can say that about.
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Feel free to bookmark this, but I'm on record that Scoot is more likely to be a guy who can fill it up and get his than a guy that leads you to championships.
I just hope he doesn't end up in one of the black hole franchises where talent goes to die.