corleonequote:
Rangers would have to find a taker for Rios and either Holland or Ogando according to Evan.
I haven't seen\heard that. Rios is on for $13M in 2014. A club option for 2015 ($13.5M; 1M buyout).
Ogando begins Arb years for 1st of 3.
Holland is owed $5.4M ('14), $7.4M, $10M ('16) with options for $11M and $11.5M for '17 and '18.
Some believe the signing of Choo was an indication they go beyond the prescribed $125M (flat from 2013). It will certainly impact long-term if they backload.
Having said that... if they do sign Tanaka... that will likely facilitate a trade, which may or may not have to do with payroll. As mentioned many times...
Darvish-Holland-Perez are a solid 3 for the next 3 (opt-out in '17), 4 (club options) and 5+ years. Then you have Harrison, Ogando, Tepesch, Ross (stretched out this winter), Scheppers (stretched out this winter), and Luke Jackson (22-AA). Tanaka would either put Ogando in the BP, or send him out on a trade. Ross will likely be in the BP in 2014, but I don't see him being there in 2015. Size is his issue. I don't know if Tepesch is as near a mainstay in the Rangers rotation, but would likely be interesting to a Tampa, Oakland, etc. Scheppers is behind Feliz and Soria for the Closer role, and he has always been a question mark as a SP (durability). Luke may be 2015. So, while you can stake AAA-RR with a rotation of Tepesch, Ross, Scheppers and Jackson... all 4 would seem to be in a MLB rotation in 2015. Of course, I'm the optimist homer.
Token - You have a better feel if Cashman will bust the bank and go over the $189M. If A-Rod plays in 2014, I don't see how they stay under. $177M for 15 signed players, already (per COTs). At league minimum those 10 players are $5M.
TMACEvery indication I've seen is $100M. Darvish was at $110M comined with posting. At $100M+posting... $120M, however because you have so many teams able to post-to-play... it will drive it much higher. Loser sign Garza, Santana or Burnett.
Orquote:
Dofferent world now with the new money. Also completely different negotiating with all teams versus just one.
Agreed. He is a big arm who doesn't cost draft picks or prospects to obtain. Likely has 1 year of transition, but should be serviceable in 2014.
Probably close to $20M/yr, regardless of years. It will likely come down to playing for a contender... playing in an environment he can adjust to... oh and the number of years. Starting at 5yr... a team will stretch to 6, which will take out some teams. Then, he'll likely get 7 years, which will narrow it to 2-3 teams.
