The Athletic writers are picking the Rangers to win the ALCS.
It was 61% Rangers, 39% Astros.
It seems like there is still a lot of Astros butthurt. I'm looking at you Ken Rosenthal and Jayson Stark.
Astros-Rangers ALCS predictions: Our experts make their World Series pick
The American League Championship Series will be an old-fashioned Texas showdown to decide who will represent the junior circuit in the World Series. We all saw that coming on Opening Day, right?
The
Texas Rangers stumbled into the postseason, only to breeze through
five straight wins to go from the lowest AL playoff seed to being four wins away from winning the pennant. The Houston Astros weren't as dominant in the regular season as they have been in the recent past, but they still staked claim to another AL West title and flexed their muscle in the Division Series in
a 3-1 series win over the
Minnesota Twins.
So which Texas team will play for all the marbles? We polled 23 of
The Athletic's
MLB experts to get their thoughts on who will advance and who will be vowing revenge next spring.
Katie Woo (Texas): It's the managerial showdown of our dreams, and if
Max Scherzer is cleared, it'll be the pitching showdown of our dreams as well. There's no true front-runner in this series, but it's hard to ignore how dominant Texas has been this October. When you're hot, you're hot, and there's no hotter team right now than the Rangers.
Eno Sarris (Texas): The Rangers lineup is inevitable. Just as importantly, the Rangers are using the Nationals' roadmap of slimming the pitching staff down to the very few trustable arms, and it just feels like we're going to get a Max Scherzer/Willis Reed moment in this series, as well.
Sahadev Sharma (Texas): Is it insane to pick against the
Astros in the postseason? Probably, but it's also boring to pick them and the Rangers are rolling.
Will Sammon (Houston): Every year, people try to talk themselves out of picking the Astros. Yet it seems every year they get here. Usually I rely on numbers for these picks, but it appears Houston has tapped into what makes it go at precisely the right time. The Astros' experience should help them in what should be a fun series. Plus, we have to be due for a repeat World Series winner, right?
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Stephen J. Nesbitt (Houston): The Astros won nine of 13 games against the Rangers in the regular season, including six of their last seven matchups. And my crystal ball here says the Rangers' pitching, which has performed wonderfully this postseason, will come apart a bit over a seven-game series. The Rangers' lineup is formidable and firing on all cylinders. They have power. They have speed. They have
two catchers who mash. The Rangers' hitters can and likely will make life miserable for the Astros' pitching staff. But the Astros' bats are going now, too, and all it takes is jumping on
Jordan Montgomery or
Nathan Eovaldi early to send the Rangers scrambling to rearrange their pitching plans.
Chad Jennings (Texas): The Astros have been so consistent every postseason, it's hard to bet against them. But the Rangers have invested heavily the past few years, and it feels like we're seeing all of that investment come together and pay off at the right time. Also, there's just something about Nathan Eovaldi in October. That guy feels like a difference-maker to me.
Patrick Mooney (Houston): Even as free agents leave and managers and executives come and go, the Astros just keep winning.
Sam Blum (Texas): I picked against the Rangers the past two series and they haven't lost a playoff game yet. Their offense is clicking. The maligned bullpen has been good in the postseason. There can only be one star in this state, and it'll be the Rangers.
Tyler Kepner (Texas): This should be a great matchup of two Lone Star State teams with Texas-sized confidence to match. Since Bruce Bochy never loses in the LCS (4-0 with
San Diego and
San Francisco), I'll give his Rangers the edge in seven.
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Jayson Stark (Texas): I know I've seen a Bruce Bochy team lose a postseason series, but it's hard to remember! He always has his teams so ready to play. And this version of the Rangers is the most complete and dangerous version we've seen all year, I think. So Texas in seven in a great series.
Grant Brisbee (Texas): Bruce Bochy isn't a wizard, but he's an excellent manager. I have seen him win a championship with the Giants. Dusty Baker isn't a wizard, but he's an excellent manager. I have not seen him win a championship with the Giants. You might think this is lazy analysis, and you're right, but there's no sense in pretending that you can escape confirmation bias. I say lay back and enjoy it. It's a hell of a toboggan ride.
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Chris Kirschner (Houston): The Rangers employ
Aroldis Chapman. By law, if he's employed by a team facing the Astros in the playoffs then that team will not advance.
Chris Strauss (Houston): Astros. October.
Levi Weaver (Texas): I (rightly) caught flak for incorrectly picking the
Orioles to beat the Rangers, so I'm not making that mistake again. The Texas offense has looked unstoppable so far this postseason. The Astros are (still) the team to beat, but the mojo has been on the Rangers' side so far.
Melissa Lockard (Texas): I've picked against the Rangers in the past two series. I won't make the same mistake thrice.
Ken Rosenthal (Texas): Just feel it's their time … whatever that means!