mosdefn14 said:
Does Prince_Ahmed carry home, auto, disability, life, or health insurance?
And those are all for catastrophic needs you can't really plan for. I mentioned life already, but consider health insurance. You don't buy it for the expected needs of going to the doctor or breaking an arm - you buy it to insure against the very unlikely chance you'll have a catastrophic expense.
Same thing with home - you don't buy it to cover a roof replacement, even though it will cover that. If that was all you were worried about, it would make more sense to set those premiums aside and have plenty to cover a few roof replacements over the lifetime of your house. You buy it to insure against the small chance of catastrophic expenses.
All those make sense because the insurance you're purchasing is to cover large events with a low risk of occurring. but for the handful of people that do need it, the premiums of the many cover the expenses of the few.
LTC is entirely different. Many people will need it, so the premiums of the many cover the expenses of the... many. Yes, most people (or at least households) will need it eventually, which means the insurance company has an extremely high expectation purchasers will use it... without even taking adverse selection of people who seek it out into consideration.
So, if I'm an insurance company and need to make this proposition profitable, then I basically need to charge enough that I can pay out a benefit for almost every person who enrolls. Do the math on that, taking into account a healthy margin for agents, the insurance company, and market risk for their pool of assets.
Everyone wins except the consumer.