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June Housing Data Across Texas

3,635 Views | 16 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by The Fife
Red Pear Realty
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CPI - 9.1% (a 41 year high!)

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm


PPI - 11.3%

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm
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jja79
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Are you seeing a lot of fallout on agreed to contracts? I haven't but I've read that it's becoming an issue.
KvS
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I had accepted an all cash offer in June and the buyer backed out on the last day of the option period. I was at a loss for words.
Red Pear Realty
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Yep. I've had it happen to two of my sellers. I will no longer give a vote of confidence to any of the iBuyers to my sellers because I had two drop out of deals 5 minutes before the option expired last week.
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Red Pear Luke
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Here are the DFW Numbers for June:

North Texas:



Collin County:



Dallas County:



Denton County:



Rockwall County:



Tarrant County:




Interesting Stories:

DFW Real Estate Market Is Finally Showing Signs of Cooling

Home Inventory Growing but Higher Rates are Holding Back Buyers

Personal Deal Situations:
  • Listed a house for a Red Pear Client $10/sf lower than the comps in a North Dallas Suburb. 3500sf house, single story with 4beds and 4 baths on a larger sized lot. The house was on the market for 15 days and less than 10 showings. Ended up with two offers, one cash and the other 50% down but contingent. Seller ended up taking the lower cash offer which gave a 14-day close.
  • Very tough for buyers out there with rates - have a few clients waiting for new builds getting antsy watching rates move.
jja79
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I personally haven't seen any with our borrowers but I've talked to a few lenders I've known for years that say they are starting to lose some clients who can't qualify with the DTI increases due to rates.
SteveBott
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AG
That the first report I've seen with more then 2 month inventory in a long time for the metro.
Red Pear Realty
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Houston

  • This is a weird market right now. 3 months ago, an aggressively priced home would sell in 3 days for 10%+ above asking price with 100% seller friendly terms. Today, I'm hearing lots of sellers say things like "If I don't hit my number, I'm fine holding it vacant or even renting it until I do hit my number." And so far, they haven't really budged. On the other side, I believe many buyers have been scared away, not primarily because of interest rates, but because of the overall status of the economy, inflation, stock market, and possibility of losing jobs in the future.
  • TWO different iBuyers backed out of contracts with my sellers this month. No more deals for them from me.
  • Inventory up roughly 30% YOY, but still in strong sellers market territory. I'm still getting showings and offers on houses, but houses aren't selling in 3 days for stupid amounts anymore.
  • Inventory at 2.0 months. 6 months is considered equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
  • Pricing up 11% / 13.2% YOY.
  • Seems like we are actually in the midst of future interest rate hikes, so in typical realtor fashion, I'm going to say, "now is probably the best time to buy for the next few years when interest rates are higher...until the Fed crushes the economy by raising them to 15%+".




Quote:

As summer temperatures soared to record highs in June, Houston's sizzling housing market began a long-anticipated cooldown. Home sales experienced their first significant decline of 2022, reflecting a perfect storm that had been brewing for months: the combination of diminished inventory, record-high prices and, more recently, rising interest rates on top of a climate of growing inflation. However, the sales slowdown and a steady supply of new listings helped boost inventory to a 2.0-months supply the most plentiful supply of homes since November 2020.

Quote:

A continued lack of homes priced below $250,000 left consumers no choice but to weigh more expensive property options, shift their focus to rental homes or postpone any plans to buy or rent. [HAR's Monthly Rental Home Update for June will be released next Wednesday, July 20]. Some relief came after the June home sales numbers were tallied. During the first week of July, mortgage rates finally reversed course, with Freddie Mac reporting that the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan fell from 5.7 to 5.3 percent the biggest decline since 2008.

However, an average rate of 5.3 percent is well above the average rate of 2.67% on 30-year fixed-rate loans that prevailed in December 2020. It is still higher than rates have been over the course of most of the past decade.

Quote:

For the third consecutive month, the 'Close to Original List Price Ratio' for single-family homes surpassed the 100 percent mark, rising to 100.1 percent in June. That means that a majority of buyers paid above list price for homes on the market. The ratio first broke the 100 percent mark last summer, as high-dollar buying became prevalent throughout the market. The ratio was up 100.9 percent last month the highest ever.

https://www.har.com/content/newsroom
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Red Pear Felipe
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Austin

The biggest news coming from June is housing inventory. Housing inventory for Austin-RR jumped up from 0.6 homes of inventory to 2.1 months from last year! What does this mean? It means that there were about 10 buyers to every home last June to now 3 buyers for every home.

Quote:

"These numbers are a breath of fresh air for a housing market that has been holding its breath," Cord Shiflet, 2022 ABoR president, said. "The trajectory of our market over the last two years was unsustainable and it was in no way going to last. The resurgence of activity after the COVID-19 pandemic, historically low interest rates and massive job growth created record-high housing demand in our market. We are now seeing a move more towards pre-pandemic sales activity and inventory.

"The Austin market is by no means balanced and it still favors sellers, but buyers have more bargaining power now than at any point since before the pandemic. Homes still closed at over 100% of the list price on average last month, but REALTORS have started seeing lower list prices and therefore sale prices, over the last few weeks."



Austin-Round Rock



Bastrop County



Caldwell County



City of Austin



Hays County



Travis County



Williamson County



Personal Deals:
  • Listed a duplex for sale in June at a competitive price due to what the market was giving. The duplex ended up going for less than asking. There were only three showings!
  • Took a buyer client to see a home in Cedar Park. The seller reduced the price by $100K in the two weeks that it was listed.
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Red Pear Realty
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Bryan-College Station

  • We should be announcing a new Red Pear agent in the BCS market in the next month or so. Who's ready to save some money buying or selling in BCS? Depending on timing, this might be my last time covering the BCS market in these updates!
  • Inventory is ticking up
  • I had an extremely difficult time placing buyer clients in BCS this spring/summer. Seems like the inventory problems may be easing.








https://www.bcsrealtor.com/stats
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Red Pear Medina
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Quote:

Home sales in Bexar County saw a decrease of 10.3 percent in June 2022. In total, 2,560 homes were sold in the area. 101.2 percent of homes were sold for list price and the price per square foot increased to $180. The average home price for the area increased 16.9 percent to $374,455 and the median price increased 18.2 percent to $325,000. Other major counties in the state also reported an increase in median home prices. Travis County is sitting at $649,863, Harris Co. at $343,000, and Dallas Co. at $400,000 in median home prices.
San Antonio Area:



New Braunfels:



Guadalupe County:



Comal County:



Spring Branch:



Schertz:


SABOR Market Reports
Four Rivers Market Reports
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AW 1880
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Thanks for providing. Any info on Tyler or East Texas?
Red Pear Realty
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AW 1880 said:

Thanks for providing. Any info on Tyler or East Texas?

Tyler

  • Prices up slightly
  • Overall supply made a strong move down
  • Number of transactions are way down also. We are seeing this across Texas.











https://dds.terradatum.com/public/market-area-trends/greater-tyler-association-of-realtors/MTEvMjE=/?mlsId=TYLER&search=normal&timePeriod=mth&timePeriodValue=13&areaType=ALL&areaValueList=ALL&propertyTypeList=5,10,15,20,25,30,215,310,315,320,405,505,510,515,905&areaValuesDisplayText=ALL&propertyTypeDisplayText=Single%20Family%20Detached,Manufactured(Mobile)%20Home,Condominium,Garden%20Home,Town%20Home,Modular%20Home,Residential,Single%20Family%20Detached,Manufactured(Mobile)%20Home,Modular%20Home,Rural%20Acreage,Duplex,Fourplex,Triplex,Commercial&search_enable_flag=MQ==
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Red Pear Realty
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Rental Market (Houston--but I'm also seeing similar trends across the state)

  • Many of my sellers are converting their "For Sale" listings to "For Rent" listings, and are signing leases quickly at very good terms.
  • New listings are up 37%
  • Pricing is up roughly 8%

Quote:

"Single-family rentals continued to attract most of the consumers that have pulled out of the sale market, so our Realtor members that specialize in those properties had a very busy June," said HAR Chair Jennifer Wauhob with Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate Gary Greene. "New listings of single-family and townhome/condo rentals rose significantly in June, meaning there are plenty of properties available to those still looking."



https://www.har.com/content/department/newsroom?pid=1868
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Red Pear Realty
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And this is one of the most telling pieces of analysis I've seen on the status of the market in one place. Good info:

https://www.harconnect.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/har_weeklystats22-28.pdf
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Diggity
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that is good info. Like seeing week to week info. Year over Year has its purpose but can mask a lot of changes.

I was a bit surprised at the variance in closing from one part of the month to the next. I'm seeing close to a 30% variance from peak to trough intra-month.

Guess I never noticed how big the swings were from beginning of month to end.
The Fife
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$332 median sale price in Caldwell County. Never thought I'd have seen the day.
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