I have a lead I am working that seems like a deal, it's not a home run by any means, but its so close to being a deal. Here are the general specifics:
Given this my online calculator tells me I'd be sitting about $760 NOI and NEGATVIVE $100/m cash flow, obviously that doesn't work. Are my conservative numbers too tight? If I use $1600/m rent NOI goes to $850 but is still at or near $0/m cash flow.
If I can get the seller to $110k it starts to look better, cash flow gets to $50/m, I don't think he's going to get there yet. What else could I do to make a deal out of this?
- 2001 double wide sitting one 1.5 ac with county water supply
- 2128 SF 5 bed/2 bath, it's in good shape for the age
- Recent roof, new HVAC, new paint throughout, fresh appliances installed
- Needs flooring in three rooms, a window replaced and some exterior clean up, call that $10k
- Seller is tired landlord, needs cash to complete another project, don't think he has the cash to finish this one although he has not said that
- Google drive link to comparables support a very conservative $200k ARV, could be as high as $230k using the lowest comp
- Google drive link to comparable analysis
- Seller owes $90k, wanted to list at $150, I think he'll take $120k if I can close it in 30 days
- Assuming my private lenders will loan $130k loan to pay $90k note off, give seller $30k and leave $10k to finish reno at 7% on 30 year am payments would be $1230/m including escrow
- Comparable rents are $1600-$1700, I'm assuming $1500 conservatively
- Property taxes are $3600, insurance $1200
- Assuming Ill be the PM and I'm allowing 8% fee for that, $150/ maint, 5% vacancy
Given this my online calculator tells me I'd be sitting about $760 NOI and NEGATVIVE $100/m cash flow, obviously that doesn't work. Are my conservative numbers too tight? If I use $1600/m rent NOI goes to $850 but is still at or near $0/m cash flow.
If I can get the seller to $110k it starts to look better, cash flow gets to $50/m, I don't think he's going to get there yet. What else could I do to make a deal out of this?