HOUSTON
THE FACTS

https://www.har.com/content/department/mls?y=2023&m=11
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
MY TAKE
Quote:
The Houston real estate market continues to be hamstrung by the highest mortgage rates in two decades as consumers take most of their business to the rental sector. October marked the 19th straight month of negative home sales, however there are healthy indicators layered throughout the latest statistics as the final quarter of 2023 began.
"The Houston real estate market had an encore performance of slower home sales and solid rental activity in October and we can probably expect those trends to prevail for the rest of the year," said HAR Chair Cathy Treviño with LPT, Realty. "Housing inventory has grown steadily in recent months and pricing has moderated, so any notable decline in mortgage rates will likely spark renewed interest in homebuying, but only the Fed can control whether that happens."
THE FACTS
- Inventory jumped from 2.6 months in October to 2.8 months in this latest release.
- Total sales is continuing to fall and total active listings is continuing to climb.
- Average pricing is up 0.4% YOY and median pricing is down 0.9% YOY.
- The 10 year US treasury fell vs. last month (as high as 5.0%) to about 4.45% today.
- CPI numbers released today came in better than expectations: 3.2% YOY and flat (0.0%) from October.

https://www.har.com/content/department/mls?y=2023&m=11
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
MY TAKE
- October and November so far have been slow months. Slower than the average, in my opinion. Is the market starting to break toward buyers?
- I don't think so, at least not now. With interest rates in the high 7% range, how many people are going to remain in the market looking for homes? In a weird way, it seems where we are in this weird quagmire where everyone loses.
- I would expect inventory to continue to climb in the next month or so.
- See the quote above in bold. You know it's bad when the HAR Chair is saying this openly.
- Markets are up big today on good CPI news. I still hope this is the end of inflation, but I don't think it is.
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