Selection Sunday Bracket Projection

5,383 Views | 53 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by NyAggie
aginlakeway
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MarcAg
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Before Michigan win
ColleyvilleAg06
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Sure am glad i am not one of those 77 guys.
MarcAg
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Sure am glad i am not one of those 77 guys.


I'm rooting for you
PatAg
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I think we deserve a 3 seed, but a 4 seed is not an insult either. We shouldnt have had such a prolonged slump late in the season
Ol Jock 99
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PatAg said:

I think we deserve a 3 seed, but a 4 seed is not an insult either. We shouldnt have had such a prolonged slump late in the season
100%
Rossticus
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Sure am glad i am not one of those 77 guys.


Why? 76 of them were right.

Just giving you hell.
ColleyvilleAg06
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I've got to get the kids to bed then do a full run down of how many i got right / wrong.

First thought is this is a very down year for me in terms of accuracy but i think it will be for almost everyone.
jja79
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I live in Phoenix. You can't get a ticket to a GCU game. Students have one side of the arena and it's full an hour before tip and they heckle the opponent as soon as they come out to warm up. We're not playing them obviously but they do travel. Good showing in Las Vegas this week.
AggieCrew44
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

I've got to get the kids to bed then do a full run down of how many i got right / wrong.

First thought is this is a very down year for me in terms of accuracy but i think it will be for almost everyone.
Almost like they didn't do a very good job
ColleyvilleAg06
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Final Stats

66 / 68 teams correct - Missed on Texas & UNC for West Virginia and Indiana. Not shocked on Indiana, and not shocked Texas/UNC in (They were #69 and #70 for me) West Virginia is just plain wrong.

43 / 66 exact correct seed
63/ 66 within 1 seed line.

Had Louisville as a 6, they ended up the top 8 seed. I am ok with this, as some had Louisville as high as a 5.
Had Mizzou as my top 8th seed, they were the 3rd highest 6 seed.
Had Memphis a 7 and they got a 5!!

Basically switched these Louisville and Mizzou. The 6 through 8 seed lines were brutal to seed all year, very tightly bunched profiles.
I thought Mizzou would get punished for a bad non conf schedule. The frustrating thing about bracketology is sometimes criteria matters...and some years it doesn't.

Memphis - almost everwhere was an 8, i thought they would get some respect for scheduling and beating some SEC teams but that their quality metrics would doom them and be a good reward to play them for some 2 that got stuck as a 2 and not a 1. But the committee decided to completely ignore the quality stats here...but no where else in the bracket (iowa state, UNC, etc.)

On A&M i had us as the #12 overall playing in Denver. We end up as the #13 overall playing in Denver. I think the committee overseeded Iowa State but they favored the quality metrics for some decisions more than i thought they would.

I only got 6/34 exact matchups right.
both the 16 v 16 games in Dayton.
16 Alabama State vs. St. Francis vs. 1 Auburn in Lexington
1 Houston vs. 16 SIUE in Wichita
3 Kentucky v 14 Troy in Milwaukee
8 Miss State v 9 Baylor in Raleigh

This was mainly due to the Iowa State assumption which shuffled several pod spots, and i also had Alabama over Tennessee which shuffled more spots around.


Overall, i think almost every bracketologist only got 66 correct this year. I applaud anyone who got 67. If anyone says they got all 68 they are lying. Very happy with 64/66 wihtin 1 seed line given how closely bunched this was in several areas of the bracket.
All 1s right, All 2's right, A&M / Iowa State my only miss on the 3/4, and Oregon/Purdue the only miss on the 4/5.

Went out on a limb on a couple calls, most paid off. Mizzou did not.

Overall, the last 6-7 weeks I do for the engagement and journey and discussion along the way to debate who stacks up where, i feel my analysis throughout the process was solid even if for some reason West Virginia was apparantly way further back than thought. It is alot of work to get to this point, but i appreciate all the posters that follow my work. I look forward to getting back after it next season.

That said...who got snubbed and a good draw and all that stops mattering at noon on Thursday, looking forward to the best weekend of the sports calendar coming up and hope the Ags can make a memorable run this year.
bobinator
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Good job man. There's always one "wtf" team every year and this years it's West Virginia the other way.
Zachary Klement
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Great work. I really enjoy your posts.
aginlakeway
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GREAT JOB!!!!
Fquin
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Amazing work as usual. Greatly appreciate you doing this for us poors.
fightintxag13
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Glad you did it again this year! I know it's a ton of time and work to put it together, but this is truly my favorite annual post! Good work as always!!
bingram1230
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I saw West Virginia got snubbed for one of the big power teams in the "first four" games.

I saw the post going around that they were the first team from Bracket Matrix who was unanimously expected to be in that didn't make it ever. I think committee just couldn't turn down the draw of UNC and tu being in those games. Also the vice chair was the UNC AD
NyAggie
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Ol Jock 99 said:

PatAg said:

I think we deserve a 3 seed, but a 4 seed is not an insult either. We shouldnt have had such a prolonged slump late in the season
100%


Yep

Had we just beaten vandy or Texas we are likely a 3 seed, but I like our 4 draw despite the trendy take upset picks

I think Auburn is the 1 seed we'd want to play just because they've been struggling a bit too and the buzz vs Pearl history
NyAggie
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I think the committee did t want another sec team as a top 3 seed so our loss to Texas coupled with wisconsin's tourney run gave them the ammo to drop us
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