Auburn Favored by 6.5 Points Over A&M

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mikesyracuse1
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6:47p, 1/5/26
Opening Consensus Line
Aggies +6.5
Total is 167.5

I think this is our biggest line as an underdog this season. Florida St was a 4.5 point favorite.

This is a good opportunity to win on the road at Auburn. Very tough road environment. Hopefully we can hit our threes and limit our unforced turnovers and we'll get a look. We need to stay out of the half court offense and hit the boards on both ends as we're going to be undersized in most of our SEC games.

It's time to make Bruce Pearl cry from the stands.

Just win!

Mikesyracuse1
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Complete Idiot
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7:57a, 1/6/26
Of the 4 games in the SEC tonight, ESPN was showing our game with the smallest spread.

I am a bit surprised we went from 4.5 favorites over LSU to 6.5 dogs to Auburn, I didn't think Auburn was that much better but they do have much better wins than LSU did. Maybe they give a lot of credit to that wild Reed Arena home advantage.
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CactusThomas
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8:40a, 1/6/26
AG
Were gonna score a hundred
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halfastros81
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In reply to Complete Idiot • 9:52a, 1/6/26
AG
Home court has a lot to do with it.
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bobinator
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10:20a, 1/6/26
AG
Auburn is typically not particularly disciplined team so I like our chances in this one if we can get some threes to drop early.
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Complete Idiot
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In reply to bobinator • 10:30a, 1/6/26
bobinator said:
Auburn is typically not particularly disciplined team so I like our chances in this one if we can get some threes to drop early.

Buzz was very successful against Bruce, it was an odd stylistic matchup and the Ags won more than was expected. It may taint our opinion of Auburn a bit.
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CactusThomas
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10:40a, 1/6/26
AG
We've had Pearl's number like forever. BK included.

His baby boy stands little chance.
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Complete Idiot
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In reply to halfastros81 • 10:43a, 1/6/26
halfastros81 said:
Home court has a lot to do with it.

Luke pointed out Auburn is 64-5 at home over the last 5 years, and some light googling shows home court in basketball is a bigger influence than home field in football. A few other variables affect that, but it's a bigger boost overall in NCAA basketball.
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bobinator
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In reply to Complete Idiot • 10:43a, 1/6/26
AG
Doesn't taint my opinion of Auburn, but the reason they struggled against Buzz is also why I think they might struggle against Bucky.

Breaking down Buzz's psycho defense and Bucky's press both require really being mentally focused for all 40 minutes and that's not something that Auburn is always particularly good at doing. It's always been what's kind of held back some of Pearl's better teams in my opinion.

They can overwhelm you with effort and toughness and last year they stacked a bunch of talent on top of that and created an absolute monster of a team, but this team isn't as deep or talented as that one.
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bobinator
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10:49a, 1/6/26
AG
The other thing about Pearl's teams though is they're absolute killers. If the threes don't fall early I could see this going really sideways really quick.
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halfastros81
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In reply to Complete Idiot • 10:59a, 1/6/26
AG
Yep. Home court in college hoops is definitely a bigger deal than football imo. Some places more than others of course.
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CactusThomas
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In reply to Complete Idiot • 11:05a, 1/6/26
AG
Complete Idiot said:
halfastros81 said:
Home court has a lot to do with it.

Luke pointed out Auburn is 64-5 at home over the last 5 years, and some light googling shows home court in basketball is a bigger influence than home field in football. A few other variables affect that, but it's a bigger boost overall in NCAA basketball.

Who were the five home losses to?
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halfastros81
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In reply to CactusThomas • 11:18a, 1/6/26
AG
I dunno all 5 but I can name 3 off the top of my head. Us, Bama, and Houston. I believe Baylor as well.
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Proposition Joe
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11:40a, 1/6/26
The numerical value of home court in college hoops/football is similar, but due to variance and possessions it's a lot more significant.
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bobinator
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In reply to halfastros81 • 11:41a, 1/6/26
AG
It's Us, Florida, Kentucky and Bama twice
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CactusThomas
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In reply to bobinator • 11:51a, 1/6/26
AG
Thanks. I was thinking two of them were us.
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halfastros81
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In reply to halfastros81 • 12:34p, 1/6/26
AG
I should stop trying to do things from memory.
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mikesyracuse1
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In reply to CactusThomas • 2:23p, 1/6/26
CactusThomas said:
We've had Pearl's number like forever. BK included.

His baby boy stands little chance.


My favorite win over Auburn and Pearl was in the Tampa SEC Tournament and his two nba big men and quick crazy shooting guards. That was one of Henry's best games and the big men told Pearl they couldn't guard Henry because he was too quick early in the game.

Mikesyracuse1
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bobinator
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In reply to mikesyracuse1 • 2:30p, 1/6/26
AG
I don't think we used Coleman enough in that role tbh. Kind of hard to do with a team that couldn't pass but still. He was a little like Agee in that he was almost better if someone huge was defending him because he's incredibly strong and can get leverage and push those guys around.
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Thisguy1
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3:30p, 1/6/26
Why does it always feel like we play nothing but late games in conference
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SWAGBOT
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3:33p, 1/6/26
AG
6.5 feels like a fair spread.

Previous years I would have said "It depends what Aggie team shows up", but this year you're going to get both the good and the bad every game. We can win as long as we stay hot longer than we go cold.
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HeyAbbott
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In reply to bobinator • 3:51p, 1/6/26
AG
So we could lose by 100? Does Auburn have the Florida big guys?
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Padre_Island_Ag
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4:31p, 1/6/26
AG
I doubt it will be as close as 6.5 points.

He is no fool who gives what he cannot keep
to gain what he cannot lose!



Soli Deo Gloria
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bingram1230
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In reply to Padre_Island_Ag • 4:41p, 1/6/26
AG
Unless you are saying we beat them by more I don't agree. Outside of them being at home and we didn't play well on the road early this year I think it should be competitive. Gotta neutralize the crowd early and then I think we can stay in it the whole 40 minutes.
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mikesyracuse1
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10:32p, 1/6/26
Gig'em !

Mikesyracuse1
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CactusThomas
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In reply to Complete Idiot • 10:34p, 1/6/26
AG
Complete Idiot said:
halfastros81 said:
Home court has a lot to do with it.

Luke pointed out Auburn is 64-5 at home over the last 5 years, and some light googling shows home court in basketball is a bigger influence than home field in football. A few other variables affect that, but it's a bigger boost overall in NCAA basketball.


64-6
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CactusThomas
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In reply to CactusThomas • 10:34p, 1/6/26
AG
CactusThomas said:
Thanks. I was thinking two of them were us.


I knew it was two
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