I believe it was Luke who posted the 4-column graphic on how this team could get to 10 SEC wins. I believe he posted it shortly after league games started with green checks and red X's marking results. The far left section was titled something like "protect home court" and another one was "steal one of these".

Does anyone know where I can locate this graphic?
I'd like to bookmark it / see how it looks 2/3 way thru the league.

The graphic still holds largely true. Beat Texas and Arkansas but lose the rest and we'd nail the graphic on the head - and I think we'd have a strong chance of being in. The problem is beating Arkansas is quite an outside shot. If we beat Texas and lose to Arkansas, we probably need 2 of the 3 between OU, LSU, and Kentucky.

gunan01 said:

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Method Man said:

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Back on track. The four game losing streak is over.

Eight wins down. This team is still fighting.#BuckyBall #RoadToTheTournament pic.twitter.com/ve8bkMpUGC

— Luke Evangelist (@lukeevangelist_) February 19, 2026

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this was remarkably prescient

Luke is a great college bball guy

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Agree. The only real change I'd make is swap Texas home and LSU road. That's not protecting home court. I get it. So not as good a motto. But Texas is much better than LSU. Tigers are terrible.

Method Man said:

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We need lsu and ou and one more.

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Texas

Luke The Drifter said:

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I love how he added the asterisk next to the Bama logo. Well played.

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i know this isn't how it'll be viewed, but if they aren't considering wins for alabama when he played, they shouldn't count that loss for us either.

Luke's chart was almost spot on. Winning at OU Saturday would take a ton of pressure off the situation imo. No easy task tho.

In order of likelihood of winning remaining games I think it falls like this:

@LSU - 60%
@ OU - 50%
Kentucky or tu at home . Equally likely imo. Both 50/50
@Arky -30%

I think you're undershooting our odds of beating Texas and Kentucky. We're probably favored by a few points in both of those games.

Both of them are roller coasters imo. We catch them on a good day they are very difficult to beat especially considering we aren't super blessed with match up talent . We catch them on a bad day we may win reasonably comfortably.

bobinator said:

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I think you're undershooting our odds of beating Texas and Kentucky. We're probably favored by a few points in both of those games.

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I don't feel as confident about thise as i did. we may well need 11 to get in. We'd breathe easy there, while 10-8 isgoing to be nervewracking unkess one win is Arky.


actually, 11-7 with losing to ark and kent will still be nervous time.

Method Man said:

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We need lsu and ou and one more.

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Nope

bobinator said:

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I think you're undershooting our odds of beating Texas and Kentucky. We're probably favored by a few points in both of those games.

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ESPN analytics had us favored in 4 of our last 5 games when they showed it last night.

You don't think any combination of 3 more wins would do it or you think we just need 2 more wins?

ESPN analytics are pretty bad

We'll be good to go 10-8, and then chew fingernails off

Thank you, Method Man !