Anyone but St. Louis in the Atlantic 10 too.

lol got me on the edit.

It may just take one. It's not just mid majors either . Suppose for example Auburn catches fire and wins the SEC tourney or Baylor does the same and wins the B12 tourney. That could potentially knock a bubble team like us to the NIT.

Bob beat me to it but same idea albeit his is much more specific .

halfastros81 said:

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It may just take one. It's not just mid majors either . Suppose for example Auburn catches fire and wins the SEC tourney or Baylor does the same and wins the B12 tourney. That could potentially knock a bubble team like us to the NIT.

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It's pretty rare for the major conferences to produce a bid stealer considering how deep the at larges go there. Bobinator hit on the most likely one in the Big East.

Pretty rare is not never tho. We need to win the next 2 to feel confident imo.

I think one in the next two will be sufficient, but you're right that a bunch of unlikely shenanigans could upend the calculations.

The conferences have also juked their tournament formats to protect their top teams which makes it more unlikely than it used to be. There's usually at least one or two though.

It's kind of what makes a bubble watch hard right now though.

I think VCU, Santa Clara, New Mexico and SDSU are all basically in the same boat where right now they're technically on the bubble, but none of their remaining games are going to help them much (and Santa Clara is done) compared to all of the major conference teams.

I'm not sure any of those teams has a chance unless they win their conference tournaments or at least make the finals and lose to the lock team. Any loss would be devastating and most of the wins aren't going to help them any.

VCU and New Mexico maybe. If VCU wins at Dayton they'll at least have a shot and New Mexico plays at Utah State, which could give them a shot if all of the big conference bubble teams immediately lose in their tournaments.