If the baseball regionals started today, we'd be a 3 seed. They actually still have time to work into a possible host due to playing some of the top teams. This team's fight and ability to clean up the mistakes is impressing everyone in college ball right now.
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Baseball back in the NCAA tourney field
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And nobody would want us in their bracket!
If we aren't hosting where do we likely end up
I have seen TCU or Plane trip out West
Is that still the conventional wisdom
I have seen TCU or Plane trip out West
Is that still the conventional wisdom
Not sarcastically. We are the best 3 seed in America! Keep it rolling, Ags.
Some ACC or Big 12 team is not going to like drawing us in game 1 at a regional
I just posted this on Premium in response to someone joking about what it would take for us to host
The way we're playing right now it's not crazy to think this team can accomplish all of that. We finally look like preseason #1. If I'm a host I wouldn't want us as a guest and if we host I sure don't want to be matched up with our regional. We may have even found some bullpen arms this weekend. Lots of ball yet to play but hosting isn't out of the question by any means.
Quote:
That's actually about right. Win the series against tu, LSU and Georgia and sweep Mizzou then win the three non-conference games and you're sitting at 35-19, 17-13 and you're firmly in the host conversation with an RPI in the teens. Plus you're the hottest team in the nation at that point with road series wins against four top 10 teams which I'm confident nobody else will have. From where we are today it's a tall order but not crazy.
The way we're playing right now it's not crazy to think this team can accomplish all of that. We finally look like preseason #1. If I'm a host I wouldn't want us as a guest and if we host I sure don't want to be matched up with our regional. We may have even found some bullpen arms this weekend. Lots of ball yet to play but hosting isn't out of the question by any means.
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LOYAL AG said:
I just posted this on Premium in response to someone joking about what it would take for us to hostQuote:
That's actually about right. Win the series against tu, LSU and Georgia and sweep Mizzou then win the three non-conference games and you're sitting at 35-19, 17-13 and you're firmly in the host conversation with an RPI in the teens. Plus you're the hottest team in the nation at that point with road series wins against four top 10 teams which I'm confident nobody else will have. From where we are today it's a tall order but not crazy.
The way we're playing right now it's not crazy to think this team can accomplish all of that. We finally look like preseason #1. If I'm a host I wouldn't want us as a guest and if we host I sure don't want to be matched up with our regional. We may have even found some bullpen arms this weekend. Lots of ball yet to play but hosting isn't out of the question by any means.
If you win series against Tennessee, Arkansas, tu, LSU, and UGA and aren't a host then there's something really wrong. If you do that then you proved you're the best team in America
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
Even if we don't host...
We're playing pretty well on the road.
We're playing pretty well on the road.
Four slot goes to small conference automatic qualifiers. The SEC will get probably ten teams in the tourney, maybe even eleven. SEC tourney usually means very little.zephyr88 said:
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
Ok - found this...zephyr88 said:
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
The 30 conference champions plus another 34 at-large selections.
64 teams, less the 30 champions, less the 9 teams ranked higher than us - leaves 25 at large slots.
Hosting seems to be a farce. 3-slot? 4-slot?
If four slot goes to small conference qualifiers, that limits the available slots for A&M to just a handful. We certainly have a bit of a Cinderella story in the making - but out remaining schedule is probably one of the toughest in the league (minus Mizzou).threeanout said:Four slot goes to small conference automatic qualifiers. The SEC will get probably ten teams in the tourney, maybe even eleven. SEC tourney usually means very little.zephyr88 said:
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
2 seed. But if the train keeps rolling, the committee would like nothing more than putting A&M as the 15th or 16th host and match up with the Tennessee or texas regional in the Super.
threeanout said:Four slot goes to small conference automatic qualifiers. The SEC will get probably ten teams in the tourney, maybe even eleven. SEC tourney usually means very little.zephyr88 said:
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
I'd be surprised if the SEC doesn't get 13-14 teams in.
I'm rooting for 15 as improbable as it seems. I think the old 13-14 conference win floor is out the door.
D1 Baseball had 13 projected in as of yesterday.
https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2025-04-18/texas-leads-latest-ncaa-baseball-tournament-bracket-predictions-d1baseball?amp
If we win two or more of the three remaining series against tu, LSU, UGA then pollsters and the committee are going to be faced with a tough decision. At that point we will have undoubtedly proven that we are currently the best team in the country - but the first half of the season weighs down the body of work.
The problem is that if we do host it will be as a 13-16 seed. This gives an unfair matchup to a 1-4 (probably SEC) seed in a super and you potentially end up eliminating an Omaha-worthy team. If I'm the committee I do everything I can to keep us as a 2 seed so they can send us wherever they want and match us up with an 7/8 seed for a super - which would get a lot less heat.
Last year the committee did an excellent job of not trying to rig Omaha. They spread the teams (especially SEC teams) out quite fairly and made teams from every conference earn it. This resulted in an excellent field and every game in the CWS was competitive. This was an anomaly from the norm, as they usually try to rig it so there is equal representation in Omaha from the conferences - so I fully expect us to be the 16 seed facing a 1 seed tu in a Super in Austin....
The problem is that if we do host it will be as a 13-16 seed. This gives an unfair matchup to a 1-4 (probably SEC) seed in a super and you potentially end up eliminating an Omaha-worthy team. If I'm the committee I do everything I can to keep us as a 2 seed so they can send us wherever they want and match us up with an 7/8 seed for a super - which would get a lot less heat.
Last year the committee did an excellent job of not trying to rig Omaha. They spread the teams (especially SEC teams) out quite fairly and made teams from every conference earn it. This resulted in an excellent field and every game in the CWS was competitive. This was an anomaly from the norm, as they usually try to rig it so there is equal representation in Omaha from the conferences - so I fully expect us to be the 16 seed facing a 1 seed tu in a Super in Austin....
14 wins in SEC seems to be the auto for the post season. Teams have gotten in with 13 but it's a hot seat. Last year there were several 13 so a couple got in.
64 teams make the post season tourny. 16 regional hosts and 8 SR hosts brackets of 4. Thus some teams have to be 3s. The 4s are usually for the small comf auto qualifiers.
We can still reach 37 wins and be Regional host. I think it's even possible to be a Super host given all the top seeds we are going to have to go through but not sure how penalized we will be for the bad start. In other words curious how well Albert's can negotiate or how well the selection committee treats us. In the past we seem to be an easy school to screw.
Yes the post season tourny can move you up or down a seed. If you win possibly difference between Regional or SR host.
64 teams make the post season tourny. 16 regional hosts and 8 SR hosts brackets of 4. Thus some teams have to be 3s. The 4s are usually for the small comf auto qualifiers.
We can still reach 37 wins and be Regional host. I think it's even possible to be a Super host given all the top seeds we are going to have to go through but not sure how penalized we will be for the bad start. In other words curious how well Albert's can negotiate or how well the selection committee treats us. In the past we seem to be an easy school to screw.
Yes the post season tourny can move you up or down a seed. If you win possibly difference between Regional or SR host.
I don't think Mizzou, South Carolina, or Kentucky make it. Miss. St. has 5 SEC wins will need to get to 13 wins by end of regular season. Florida with some big non conf wins will need to get to at least 12 and they currently have 5 SEC wins.Faustus said:threeanout said:Four slot goes to small conference automatic qualifiers. The SEC will get probably ten teams in the tourney, maybe even eleven. SEC tourney usually means very little.zephyr88 said:
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
I'd be surprised if the SEC doesn't get 13-14 teams in.
I'm rooting for 15 as improbable as it seems. I think the old 13-14 conference win floor is out the door.
D1 Baseball had 13 projected in as of yesterday.
https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2025-04-18/texas-leads-latest-ncaa-baseball-tournament-bracket-predictions-d1baseball?amp
zephyr88 said:Ok - found this...zephyr88 said:
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
The 30 conference champions plus another 34 at-large selections.
64 teams, less the 30 champions, less the 9 teams ranked higher than us - leaves 25 at large slots.
Hosting seems to be a farce. 3-slot? 4-slot?
UGa and Vandy are 10-7 in SEC and tied for 5th. OU is 7 th at 10-8
If the Ags stay hot we will catch a few of those teams or worse case scenario be one game back.
SEC probably get 7 host sites so not out of the question to catch up to UGa , Vandy & the land thieves
Of course JMHO and I might be missing something
Catching LSU who is 4 th and 12-5 would be much harder
Strange, but if we go into the Georgia series with a 13-14 SEC record, we would still have a chance to be a regional host, and we would also have a chance of not making the tourney all together.
threeanout said:I don't think Mizzou, South Carolina, or Kentucky make it. Miss. St. has 5 SEC wins will need to get to 13 wins by end of regular season. Florida with some big non conf wins will need to get to at least 12 and they currently have 5 SEC wins.Faustus said:threeanout said:Four slot goes to small conference automatic qualifiers. The SEC will get probably ten teams in the tourney, maybe even eleven. SEC tourney usually means very little.zephyr88 said:
I guess I don't understand how this works.
We're 11th in the SEC (might get to 9th by the end of the season) - how does this get us a 3 or 4 slot?
How much will the SEC tournament come into play?
I'd be surprised if the SEC doesn't get 13-14 teams in.
I'm rooting for 15 as improbable as it seems. I think the old 13-14 conference win floor is out the door.
D1 Baseball had 13 projected in as of yesterday.
https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2025-04-18/texas-leads-latest-ncaa-baseball-tournament-bracket-predictions-d1baseball?amp
I think we'll start seeing some 11-12 conference win teams make it (assuming a normal OOC win rate). Mizzou is obviously toast, but otherwise SC is the lowest ranked SEC team in the RPI at 43.
https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2025/rpi-live
It's not directly comparable but Texas (yeah I know) squeaked into the Dance at 6-12 in the SEC, with a bland non-conference resume, and a NET ranking in the 30s. That SEC record translates to 10-20 in baseball.
I suspect any of those teams that get to 12 conference wins are likely in, and I'd bet on Florida getting in with 11 wins too.
LOYAL AG said:
I just posted this on Premium in response to someone joking about what it would take for us to hostQuote:
That's actually about right. Win the series against tu, LSU and Georgia and sweep Mizzou then win the three non-conference games and you're sitting at 35-19, 17-13 and you're firmly in the host conversation with an RPI in the teens. Plus you're the hottest team in the nation at that point with road series wins against four top 10 teams which I'm confident nobody else will have. From where we are today it's a tall order but not crazy.
The way we're playing right now it's not crazy to think this team can accomplish all of that. We finally look like preseason #1. If I'm a host I wouldn't want us as a guest and if we host I sure don't want to be matched up with our regional. We may have even found some bullpen arms this weekend. Lots of ball yet to play but hosting isn't out of the question by any means.
I think we host with 1 fewer win than you have projected here.
Goose06 said:LOYAL AG said:
I just posted this on Premium in response to someone joking about what it would take for us to hostQuote:
That's actually about right. Win the series against tu, LSU and Georgia and sweep Mizzou then win the three non-conference games and you're sitting at 35-19, 17-13 and you're firmly in the host conversation with an RPI in the teens. Plus you're the hottest team in the nation at that point with road series wins against four top 10 teams which I'm confident nobody else will have. From where we are today it's a tall order but not crazy.
The way we're playing right now it's not crazy to think this team can accomplish all of that. We finally look like preseason #1. If I'm a host I wouldn't want us as a guest and if we host I sure don't want to be matched up with our regional. We may have even found some bullpen arms this weekend. Lots of ball yet to play but hosting isn't out of the question by any means.
I think we host with 1 fewer win than you have projected here.
Hard to say. Right now there's 8 SEC teams in the top 13 of RPI. Getting to 16 would mean an incredible finish and it would mean we have road series wins over at least 3 RPI top 10 which I'm confident would be a unique factor in our favor. Still it's difficult to know given how big and stacked the league is. I like 17 a lot more than 16 for sure.
Maybe I'm wrong, but to some degree the ncaa has to take into account that they would be really punishing a team who is hosting by sending us there if we finish that strong. At the same time, giving us the 16 seed would not be doing any favors to the number 1 overall seed. We will be an interesting case study if we keep playing this way.
Get to 32 wins after this weekend plus another 1 or 2 in SEC tourney and we are IN. That's is just under .500 in remaining games.
Tu won't be the 1 seed after we're done with themMEEN Ag 05 said:
If we win two or more of the three remaining series against tu, LSU, UGA then pollsters and the committee are going to be faced with a tough decision. At that point we will have undoubtedly proven that we are currently the best team in the country - but the first half of the season weighs down the body of work.
The problem is that if we do host it will be as a 13-16 seed. This gives an unfair matchup to a 1-4 (probably SEC) seed in a super and you potentially end up eliminating an Omaha-worthy team. If I'm the committee I do everything I can to keep us as a 2 seed so they can send us wherever they want and match us up with an 7/8 seed for a super - which would get a lot less heat.
Last year the committee did an excellent job of not trying to rig Omaha. They spread the teams (especially SEC teams) out quite fairly and made teams from every conference earn it. This resulted in an excellent field and every game in the CWS was competitive. This was an anomaly from the norm, as they usually try to rig it so there is equal representation in Omaha from the conferences - so I fully expect us to be the 16 seed facing a 1 seed tu in a Super in Austin....
After tcu's 1-3 week and now three games back of west Virginia in big 12 I bet they're out of hosting on Wednesday
tu making the field in basketball at 6-12 is slightly different because of the extra 4 spots in the field of "68"
Iirc tu was in Dayton and if the field it hadn't expanded none of the at large teams in Dayton are in the field of 64
Iirc tu was in Dayton and if the field it hadn't expanded none of the at large teams in Dayton are in the field of 64
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