Honest thoughts on the 2026 season

13,361 Views | 143 Replies | Last: 8 days ago by Warsteiner
ironmanag
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I am almost always a glass half full kinda person. I always want every Aggie team to be undefeated, but I am not unrealistic.

I am having a tough time seeing this season being too much better than last year. Something is not right with our baseball program right now.

Last year we were 30-26 and 11-19. We are less talented and have fewer proven arms. Maybe the team chemistry will be better?

I can see a slight improvement in the record because there were some really confounding losses last year.

Maybe 35 to 38 wins and 21 to18 losses and 15-15 in conference. So I will go with 37-19 and 15-15.

Would this be enough for a regional bid? Maybe I am missing something. Any thoughts?

Aggie Class of '97 and '16, Proud father of Aggie classes of '25 and '29
Detective Jake Peralta
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With our schedule, 37-19 (15-15) would likely have us hosting, not just making a regional. The wildcard would be who the four losses come against in the non-conference portion. Absolute worst case would be a 2-seed that no one wants.

Last year left an awful taste in everyone's mouths, and this year is as big of a wildcard as I can remember. Anyone being completely sunshine and roses about this year is probably doomed to be let down, but anyone already writing this team off is probably premature. Either group could end up being correct!

For 2026, I don't think we have less talent at all, actually. We will potentially have three 2026 first round draft picks in the lineup, when we only had one (Jace) for the vast majority of last season due to injuries. That doesn't include the freshmen who a lot of people are really high on.

On the mound, we're certainly losing a ton of SP talent, but Moss, Sdao, and Sims could end up having a higher ceiling. Big question is the pen, but Stewart is a great starting point.

The x-factor is leadership and coaching and those are fair questions after last year. What has Earley learned after a year in control? Will leaders step up and hold others accountable for lackluster performances (NOT saying this didn't happen last year)? But above all, can this team find an identity? I'm all for letting teams have their own identities, and I think that's one thing that was severely lacking in 2025.

I'm hopeful, as I try to be every year going in. The ceiling is Omaha, the floor is missing the tournament again, but not due to a lack of talent imo.
DWren
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SO hard to predict after last year.
Last year was so up and down that IMO without question there were some internal issues or " locker room issues.

Down the stretch we went and took 2/3 at Arkansas.
Then We went and got swept by Texas which was devastating to all for so many reasons.
But then you follow that weekend by taking 2/3 from LSU at Olsen.
So the yo-yo effect is in full swing.

But by taking series at Arkansas and vs LSU, now we have a chance to make postseason and then you follow that up with you last home series of the year by getting sept by Mizzou , who was 0-24 in confrence play and considered one of the worst teams in SEC baseball history. They finished 3-28 in SEC play, only 3 wins against the Ags.
You will never not convince me something internally did not occur that week or days prior to the Mizzou series.
As a season ticket holder of 37 years that was possibly the worst I had ever seen an A&M team play at Olsen Field, the Sunday game especially. The team just 100% quit.

That performance was probably enough to get Early fired after 1 year. Winning 2 games in the Conference tournament IMO saved his job.

I have no doubt IMO, there were some growing pains and learning curves with a 1st year head coach. Well see how him and his staff respond this year.
Players have to step up too though, they play the games. Im not one of the ones who put it all on coaches at this level.
DaAggies
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I posted this on the premium board, but I will post it here as well.

I am not going to tell you that last year was acceptable because it wasn't. But here are some reasonable takeaways of why Earley got another chance and this year could play out different.

Injuries: This #1 team coming into the year had
  • Schott (proven SEC .300+ hitter) tear his meniscus and play hurt all season
  • Grahovac (SEC freshman of year and preseason All-American) go down for season in first few weeks
  • Sorrell (our best player when healthy) miss nearly half of year then be limited for another good bit with hamstring before a broken hamate bone in last SEC series
  • Stewart (projected closer) go down in first appearance
  • Kash (41 HRs in past 2 years) battle back and hamstring issues all year
  • Moss (best reliever) get mono in the middle of the year and struggled with consistency following that
  • Laviolette break his hand in a win or go home SEC tournament
Quality Wins:
  • Beat Arky (National semi finalist) 2 of 3 in Fayetteville
  • Beat Tennessee (super regional team) 2 of 3 in Knoxville
  • Beat LSU (National Champion) 2 of 3 in College Station including beating 3rd overall pick Kade Anderson
  • In SEC tournament beat MSU and Auburn (super regional team) before taking LSU to the wire where they pitched their Friday (Anderson) and Saturday (Eyanson) starters
Recruiting/Player Retention: I know people will hate this point, but its not for nothing
  • After a disappointing year, held on to all our star players including projected 1st rounders Grahovac and Sorrell
  • Managed to pull another projected 1st rounder in Hacopian
  • Freshman class now on campus is our best recruiting class of all time
  • 2026 signed class is right up there with some of our bests as well with 2027 looking even better
So why should this year be any different? Here are some reported changes.
  • Earley took back over the offense from Longley this fall to go back to what he does best (a la Elko and Bateman last year)
  • Longley's defection doesn't help, but should play a bigger factor on recruiting over on the field play
  • Cliff Pennington joining the staff. Pennington was a decorated assistant coach at DBU and will be taking over base running and infield defense which were some of our biggest struggles
  • The team is coming into the year healthy so far
  • Earley has been self aware and reported to make changes to his coaching style (If these changes will work is TBD)
  • Lowered expectations: this team has a chip on their shoulder now and doesn't have preseason #1 ranking over their heads
TL/DR:
Overall there are still some reasons to believe if you want to. I can't make promises that Earley is the guy, but he is trying to make changes.
DaAggies
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I also posted this which may give a better picture of pitching staff

Pros
Sdao looked really good before getting injured in late 2024
Moss is a proven badass when he doesn't have mono
Sims looked fantastic in fall
Freshcorn looked great to close out last season in SEC tourney
Stewart returns and brings plenty of experience
McCoy and Lyons had solid freshmen campaigns and could stand to improve
Darden brings plenty of experience from competitive league in ACC
Vargas and Bollinger were both solid, but at lower levels
Vincent and Hubert have made a name as freshmen so far

Cons
Outside of Moss, we have a combined 26.3 total IP in 2025 conference play returning
Sims is very unproven in game
Sdao, McCoy, and Stewart are all coming off injuries with long recovery time
Freshcorn was inconsistent and struggled most of 2025 season
Some decent additions, but no big names added in the portal

I feel really good about our starters and first few out of bullpen, but we will need some guys to step up. Overall I think the raw talent with our starters is better than last year, but it definitely has less experience
greg.w.h
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My honest thought is we have to open the box to see what is inside. That's why "PLAY BALL" is such a special phrase!
AgBQ-00
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I truly have no expectations for this year. If we go back to grinding at bats and putting the ball in play vs focusing on the dingers, I think we will have a very good year at the plate. Depending on health of the rotation, our pitching should be pretty good. But, as always, we have to play the games.
God loves you so much He'll meet you where you are. He also loves you too much to allow to stay where you are.

We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
Luke The Drifter
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I am in full "I'll believe it when I see it" mode. I can't put any faith in this coaching staff until I see great results.

I have been going to Aggie baseball games since 1974 when I was 5 years old. 1989 was my freshman year at A&M. For over 50 years, I have devoted time, travel, money, and deep emotion to this program. Aggie baseball is BY FAR my favorite sport. I love the rest of the A&M teams, but Aggie baseball, without question, is the sport I love the most.

But, man...last year HURT. It hurt real bad. I've been through sub-par seasons, coaching changes, tough luck, bad breaks, corrupt umpires...you name it. But the 2025 season literally hurt. So this year, instead of going full bore into the season, I am having to temper my emotions. It ain't easy. But what has transpired with the Aggie baseball team over the past 18-ish months has put me into a full "I'll believe it when I see it" mindset.

We'll get better - I am confident of that. But I'm not emotionally investing in this season until good baseball (which produces winning results) is seen on the field.

But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
Wabs
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The 2026 team has a ton of talent, and IF we can stay healthy, I think we at minimum make a 2 seed in a regional. Combine good pitching, I think we have a shot at hosting a regional. The MAJOR question mark is coaching. Can Earley rebound from a horrific first season? I'm squarely in "believe it when I see it" mode. But….we must stay healthy. Just gotta.
trouble
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My eternal answer: OMAHA
ensign_beedrill
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If we don't have the plague of injuries that we had last year, I think we will automatically finish better than we did last year.
greg.w.h
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trouble said:

My eternal answer: OMAHA
So you're calling an audible…
cs69ag
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No matter what the sport, OUR AGS seem to do better when not picked too high!
My guess is we will do better than last year!
Agryan00
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There seems alot of glass half full leaning on injuries and thus some big bats back so I get it.

However, Earley is the head coach and I think he is still going through the process of learning to be the head coach. Ags are all learning just how important that is in baseball. Not just a guy with a pen.

Earley still had plenty of fire power in Jace, Henseler, Kent, Bear, Royo, Kiel, Kash. So injury or no injuries its not like he had to rebuild the team. Just about all underperformed and did so badly at the plate. So feel free to try and pin that to Longley but Earley was the hitting coach in 24 and if he didn't like what he was seeing who better to try and fix it.

Also factor in one of the better pitching staffs A&M has had with Prager, Lamkin, Patton.

Going into the year team did not seem focused. I think they thought they were going to show up and get an escort to Omaha. So put this on Earley but it was the team that got him highered in the first place so I don't think he wanted to rock any boats with those players.

Next it took Earley forever to figure out who his guys were. The first base experiment was a mess and why did it take so long to find a C. Not to mention the love affair with Frescorn and the underdevelopment or poor management of Kaeden Wilson and Luke Jackson who seem to get put in the game when they had to be perfect.

Then factor in the series that everyone had marked on the calendar before the season started. After turning a corner against TN, SC, and Arky last years players were going to show the pie hole in Austin what was up. The problem is it did not look like Earley had a game plan. t.u. was super thin a P and our guys did not try to work counts and chew through the few P that t.u. had. It cost as we lost all three by 1 run. Kash came un-glued and potentially rightfully so but in the end teacher again taught the students, including Earley. This was an emotional killer on the season where Earley could of been a difference maker.

Down the stretch as they managed to stay alive via LSU wins but they couldn't figure out a way to get 2 of 3 from a team (Mizz) who hadn't won a game in conference. Worse yet it was at Olsen. How does this not have Earley written all over it.

Headed into the season there is plenty of talent on the team. There are even new coaches that we hope will bring the winning Aggie baseball culture of the past to this one. But Earley is still the guy and this flight is likely to require the seat belt sign.
The Marksman
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If I'm being completely honest, I probably won't believe in Earley until he takes us to the CWS. Last year was just inexcusable. I really hope it works out, but he's gotta prove it.
greg.w.h
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The Marksman said:

If I'm being completely honest, I probably won't believe in Earley until he takes us to the CWS. Last year was just inexcusable. I really hope it works out, but he's gotta prove it.
Wait and see attitude is for losers.
cevans_40
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We got a bunch of nice guys running things.
DaAggies
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I think you are looking through things in too negative of a light. I agree that Earley is still learning how to be a head coach, but I also think he has the ability to learn a lot of things with what went wrong last season and adjust.

Quote:

Earley still had plenty of fire power in Jace, Henseler, Kent, Bear, Royo, Kiel, Kash.

Here you state two transfers that weren't expected to start in Bear and Royo, and a true freshman in Kiel. I would not consider that fire power. Also Kash was battling back and hamstring injuries all season. Now, I do think each guy mentioned could improve at the plate with discipline, but the 3 returning guys were most definitely not stars entering last year.

Quote:

Next it took Earley forever to figure out who his guys were. The first base experiment was a mess and why did it take so long to find a C. Not to mention the love affair with Frescorn and the underdevelopment or poor management of Kaeden Wilson and Luke Jackson who seem to get put in the game when they had to be perfect.


Here you mention areas that I don't think are fair to knock Earley. Most teams have some sort of positional battles in the year and don't forget Schloss started Bindy the year prior as well before benching him. Freshcorn was reportedly looking good entering the year and its not like we had all that much depth in the bullpen. As for Kaiden and Luke, Kaiden did improve from the previous year but was still inconsistent as a sophomore and Luke never had great command. If anything there was improvement for Luke from the year before as a RS Freshman under Weiner.

Quote:

After turning a corner against TN, SC, and Arky last years players were going to show the pie hole in Austin what was up. The problem is it did not look like Earley had a game plan. t.u. was super thin a P and our guys did not try to work counts and chew through the few P that t.u. had.

I agree that it appeared like we turned a corner. We were abysmal in the start and it felt like things were looking up. I'd very much argue that tu wasn't where it went wrong. Even after losing Jared Spencer, that team had a lot of depth at pitching. They were 6th in the nation and 1st in the SEC in ERA. It's a shame we got swept, but they were rolling at the time and we barely lost each game by a run on the road. We were outplayed and probably out coached, but by the smallest of margins. That was not the same poor play that we had when we got swept by Bama and Vandy.

Where everything went wrong was Mizzou. I still can't wrap my head around that series. It's why I was fine if we moved on from Earley at the end of the season. That being said, the team had fight after that series. I had no issue losing 2/3 to a good Georgia team on the road and in the SEC tournament we beat Miss St and Auburn without Sorrell, and forced a fresh LSU to burn Anderson and Eyanson to beat us with a broken hand Jace and depleted pitching staff.

Its one of those things where you can look at the midseason improvement in Tenn, Arky and LSU series and the amount of injuries last year to see an optimistic point of view where things can head, or you can see the #1 preseason ranking, start of the year, and Mizzou series to declare Earley a bust. The truth is this year will be much more of a determinate to his future. Earley has reported to make changes, we will see if he grows or its status quo and the job is just too much for him at this time.
StinkyPinky
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As long as we show progression from last year. Win more games than lose, stay healthy, and hope our pitching keeps us in games. Lots of upside, still lots of growing from players and coaches, but continue to build. Earley needs three years min to get his feet underneath him. Glad we are giving him the latitude. Lets GO!
dermdoc
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I got a room at Ole Miss (also graduation weekend) on points at the Courtyard by the stadium. Mrs. derm and I think that is a sign. And I actually think our starting pitching will be better. Sdao and Moss are dawgs.

On to Omaha!
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McInnis
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You guys who watch most of our games in person - what do you think happened in that Missouri series? What kind of clues were our players giving off? Body language? That was a mystery of the worst kind.
ensign_beedrill
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McInnis said:

You guys who watch most of our games in person - what do you think happened in that Missouri series? What kind of clues were our players giving off? Body language? That was a mystery of the worst kind.


I think that was 100% mental/emotional. We carried a lead into the ninth inning of that first game. Losing in such a manner was a huge emotional blow, especially when the guys all knew that we essentially needed to sweep that series. Stuff like that... gets in your head. I think we win that series if the ninth inning doesn't go so badly.
MaroonStain
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We have the talent. We will make the tourney. What level? Who knows? Let's play ball!
powerbelly
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trouble said:

My eternal answer: OMAHA


I am on board the hype train.
twk
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I've said it before, but I'll say it again: my offseason assignment for Earley would be to read Henry IV, Part 2. Injuries or not, there's no way last year's team should have been swept by a Missouri team, at home, that went 0-27 against the rest of the league. That was a complete mental meltdown, and Earley couldn't do anything but watch it happen. If he hasn't learned a few things about leadership this offseason, and especially about going from "one of the guys" to the leader of the program, then we will crumple at the first sign of adversity.

We are not irrevocably fated to do that. We've certainly got the talent to compete with anyone. But I can't say that I've been reassured by what I've seen in the offseason, other than hiring Cliff Pennington as an assistant. I'll be honest: I really find it disheartening to listen to Earley in interviews. When you have to tell everyone how self aware you are, that's usually conclusive evidence that you aren't self aware at all. So, in order to retain my optimism, I'm going to stick to reading about the talent we've got coming back, and trust that one year of experience, and an ex major leaguer assistant, can change the direction of this team from what we saw all too often last year.
LB12Diamond
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I'm a glass half full personality but I'm also in the show me phase after what took place last season even though we had the same quality weekend rotation ALL year.
Gig ‘Em Baby!
LB12Diamond
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We did not need to sweep the series. But we needed to not get swept!
Gig ‘Em Baby!
ReelAg6
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ironmanag said:

I am almost always a glass half full kinda person. I always want every Aggie team to be undefeated, but I am not unrealistic.

I am having a tough time seeing this season being too much better than last year. Something is not right with our baseball program right now.

Last year we were 30-26 and 11-19. We are less talented and have fewer proven arms. Maybe the team chemistry will be better?

I can see a slight improvement in the record because there were some really confounding losses last year.

Maybe 35 to 38 wins and 21 to18 losses and 15-15 in conference. So I will go with 37-19 and 15-15.

Would this be enough for a regional bid? Maybe I am missing something. Any thoughts?




I don't think this team will be less talented than what we fielded most of last year.

Infield
Hacopian/royo/Partida or Keller/Gavin > Henseler/Kent/Royo/Bindy

Hacopian should be better than Henseler, Kent/royo is a push, 2nd is a lot of unknown, and Gavin>bindy

Outfield
Duer/Sorrell/TK > George or Farr/jace/TK

I'll call Jace and Sorrell a push. I'd bet Duer is much better than George or Farr. TK should be even better this year.

So then it comes down to pitching. Lamkin was great. Prager was good. Patton was serviceable. Rudis and Wilson are the only major bullpen arms we lose.

Can Moss/Sdao/Sims match last years starters? I think so. I actually think they can be better. Bullpen is the wildcard, but I like what we saw out of Freshcorn, Lyons, and getting Stewart back is huge.

I have us between 37 and 40 wins with 16 to 20 conference wins. I see a path to us being much better than that, but I'm going to dampen my expectations for now.
jja79
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I'm older than you but not as invested financially
And I live 1,200 miles away. Last year wasn't acceptable. I'm also in I'll believe it when I see it. The Missouri debacle was inexplicable and I hope not a sign of underlying problems. I'm hopeful but have no expectations until I see something different.
HowdyTexasAggies
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Outstanding post
DaAggies
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ReelAg6 said:

ironmanag said:

I am almost always a glass half full kinda person. I always want every Aggie team to be undefeated, but I am not unrealistic.

I am having a tough time seeing this season being too much better than last year. Something is not right with our baseball program right now.

Last year we were 30-26 and 11-19. We are less talented and have fewer proven arms. Maybe the team chemistry will be better?

I can see a slight improvement in the record because there were some really confounding losses last year.

Maybe 35 to 38 wins and 21 to18 losses and 15-15 in conference. So I will go with 37-19 and 15-15.

Would this be enough for a regional bid? Maybe I am missing something. Any thoughts?




I don't think this team will be less talented than what we fielded most of last year.

Infield
Hacopian/royo/Partida or Keller/Gavin > Henseler/Kent/Royo/Bindy

Hacopian should be better than Henseler, Kent/royo is a push, 2nd is a lot of unknown, and Gavin>bindy

Outfield
Duer/Sorrell/TK > George or Farr/jace/TK

I'll call Jace and Sorrell a push. I'd bet Duer is much better than George or Farr. TK should be even better this year.

So then it comes down to pitching. Lamkin was great. Prager was good. Patton was serviceable. Rudis and Wilson are the only major bullpen arms we lose.

Can Moss/Sdao/Sims match last years starters? I think so. I actually think they can be better. Bullpen is the wildcard, but I like what we saw out of Freshcorn, Lyons, and getting Stewart back is huge.

I have us between 37 and 40 wins with 16 to 20 conference wins. I see a path to us being much better than that, but I'm going to dampen my expectations for now.

Sounds like you are a bit more optimistic than I am.

I will say Kent > Royo. Other than that, I agree with most of the sentiment. This team has talent and should be better off in that department than our team once all the injuries happened.

Overall, I like what we did in the portal pulling Hacopian and Duer who have great bat to ball skills and low K-rates. Should see better plate approaches this year.

As for pitching, I think the talent takes a small step up but losing that experience will hurt. I bet we see more games where one of our starters dominates, but also more games where a guy is pulled in the first few innings

Bullpen I am more confident on than last year, but we will still need some guys to take the next step. I like Kelly as a coach and think he should get us in a spot where we are good to very good there but not great or elite.

With our schedule I see something like 17 or 18 wins in conference and an overall record around 37 wins.
MagnumLoad
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It will all come down to pitching. The rest of the lineup looks very good, Even subpar lineups win with good pitching.
I hate tu. It's in my blood.
TMartin
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We won't know if this is an Omaha team until we see how the pitching staff fares. Earley earned his reputation as a hitting instructor, so someone on the coaching staff has to step up.

The 2025 College World Series was won by LSU, who swept Coastal Carolina in the best-of-three finals with scores of 1-0 (Game 1) and 5-3 (Game 2), securing their eighth national title with a perfect run in Omaha.


Top Programs for 2026 Pitching Recruits:
  • LSU Tigers: Often cited with top overall classes, LSU secured commitments from high-impact pitchers like lefty Logan Schmidt (fastball up to 97 mph) and RHP Jensen Hirschkorn, known for their strong development and winning culture.
  • Texas Longhorns: Texas had a massive 2026 class, adding numerous high-caliber arms, including five-star RHP Ben Winter (who flipped from Dartmouth) and several other highly-rated pitchers, forming a deep and talented staff.
  • Vanderbilt Commodores: Vanderbilt consistently ranks high and brings in elite talent, including top-ranked pitchers in their class.
  • Tennessee Volunteers: The Volunteers also secured top pitching prospects, landing highly-ranked arms like Sean Dunlap and Gannon Grant.
Key Factors:
ReelAg6
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DaAggies said:

ReelAg6 said:

ironmanag said:

I am almost always a glass half full kinda person. I always want every Aggie team to be undefeated, but I am not unrealistic.

I am having a tough time seeing this season being too much better than last year. Something is not right with our baseball program right now.

Last year we were 30-26 and 11-19. We are less talented and have fewer proven arms. Maybe the team chemistry will be better?

I can see a slight improvement in the record because there were some really confounding losses last year.

Maybe 35 to 38 wins and 21 to18 losses and 15-15 in conference. So I will go with 37-19 and 15-15.

Would this be enough for a regional bid? Maybe I am missing something. Any thoughts?




I don't think this team will be less talented than what we fielded most of last year.

Infield
Hacopian/royo/Partida or Keller/Gavin > Henseler/Kent/Royo/Bindy

Hacopian should be better than Henseler, Kent/royo is a push, 2nd is a lot of unknown, and Gavin>bindy

Outfield
Duer/Sorrell/TK > George or Farr/jace/TK

I'll call Jace and Sorrell a push. I'd bet Duer is much better than George or Farr. TK should be even better this year.

So then it comes down to pitching. Lamkin was great. Prager was good. Patton was serviceable. Rudis and Wilson are the only major bullpen arms we lose.

Can Moss/Sdao/Sims match last years starters? I think so. I actually think they can be better. Bullpen is the wildcard, but I like what we saw out of Freshcorn, Lyons, and getting Stewart back is huge.

I have us between 37 and 40 wins with 16 to 20 conference wins. I see a path to us being much better than that, but I'm going to dampen my expectations for now.

Sounds like you are a bit more optimistic than I am.

I will say Kent > Royo. Other than that, I agree with most of the sentiment. This team has talent and should be better off in that department than our team once all the injuries happened.

Overall, I like what we did in the portal pulling Hacopian and Duer who have great bat to ball skills and low K-rates. Should see better plate approaches this year.

As for pitching, I think the talent takes a small step up but losing that experience will hurt. I bet we see more games where one of our starters dominates, but also more games where a guy is pulled in the first few innings

Bullpen I am more confident on than last year, but we will still need some guys to take the next step. I like Kelly as a coach and think he should get us in a spot where we are good to very good there but not great or elite.

With our schedule I see something like 17 or 18 wins in conference and an overall record around 37 wins.
I'm projecting a bit on Royo. I think he's as good as Kent with the leather, but he needs to improve significantly in situational ball. At the plate, if Royo can cut down on the K's he can be very dangerous.

I'm sure we'll see some guys regress, but I'm not projecting that on anyone right now. Everyone is going to be better this year and no one is getting hurt.
The Marksman
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Our batting lineup looks great on paper, and we should have a great offense, but the same thing was true last season. Frankly, we've got to see it to believe it after what transpired last season.
 
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