Not to get ahead of ourselves, but let's assume PVAM is one of those home wins:

a 3-6 or 4-5 record to close out SEC play gets you a top 16 RPI

a 6-3 finish in SEC play gets you a top 8 RPI


Home/Away splits in the remaining 9 SEC games:

These are all Top 16 outcomes:
3-3 Home & 0-3 Away
2-4 Home & 1-2 Away
1-5 Home & 3-0 Away

These are all Top 8 outcomes:
6-0 Home & 0-3 Away
5-1 Home & 1-2 Away
4-2 Home & 2-1 Away
3-3 Home & 3-0 Away

We either need to win all remaining series to maintain a Top 8 or sweep one of the home stands and win the other home series and avoid the road sweep. Never an empty weekend in the SEC.

Of course, a top-8 RPI isn't necessarily enough to get you a national seed. They'll probably want to to put at least one lower RPI team up there just to justify their own existence. So we'd probably need at least a top 7 RPI.

Silly question but surely the SECT will add a game or two to the resume and RPI prior to seeding, no?

Hypothetically lets say MSST, 5th in the SEC, ends at 5th regular season and "11th" in the field of 32, able to host, but sweeps through the conference tournament. Playing and beating UGA, A&M, Aub and Vandy, all neutral site Ws, solid Q1/ high-Q2 wins.

Would the committee see #11's postseason hotness and resume bump as sufficient to get them as a Top8 considering they just rolled three well-seeded teams, and a 4th invitee (Vandy)?

What do we believe is the difficulty of our last 3 series?

#8 Auburn > #10 MSU > @ #17 Ole Miss?

Could the road trip be the easist series?

Nice. Thanks OP! I've been checking every few days and glad it's finally up.

Similar to Nolan's predicted RPI, I think both are under-valuing us and the remaining schedule a bit.

I agree that 3rd in the SEC should do it. I would feel pretty good with 19 wins and really dang good with 20.

McInnis said:

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The So this says if we finish 6-4, assuming a win vs PV, and finish with a conf record of 19-10 and an overall record of 40-12, we likely won't get a Top 8 seed? That seems kind of brutal doesn't it?

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Nobody would make money wagering based on the accuracy of the needs report. It's not supposed to be Nostradamus, but it does give you a general idea of where numbers will trend. My recollection is that it usually underestimates where we will finish, when we are having a good finish to the year.

This team is special…...

The best is yet to come!

McInnis said:

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So this says if we finish 6-4, assuming a win vs PV, and finish with a conf record of 19-10 and an overall record of 40-12, we likely won't get a Top 8 seed? That seems kind of brutal doesn't it?

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Yah, doesn't make a lot of sense from an overall record perspective.

However, even with it being against really good teams, it means we'll limp to the finish otherwise.

Perfect example of no one will know until it happens.