Haven't dove into every regional but at first glance I think Arkansas and ole miss (at least one if not both) make it out of their respective brackets. Georgia, Auburn and whorn will handle their regionals pretty easily.

Miss state and Florida will advance but might have little more trouble doing so. Ags and bama are the 2 host sites that could run into some trouble imo based off draw

We can hope Tenn pulls a rabbit but they have been super erratic all year and I know nothing about north Carolina this year so I'll defer to others on this regional

The only way OU has any shot is if they win GM 1 and then their Saturday night guy gives them a gem against GT and the win some 5-4 type nail biter. Not seeing much of a path there but they do have multiple high end arms with wipeout stuff

The "no show" in Hoover dropped us 4 national seed spots, as we lost to an excellent Auburn team that took 3 of 4 games against us this season. Hope we get Nico and Sims back for Friday. If we lose on Friday, I don't think we make it out of our own regional. If we win on Friday, we have to win on Saturday as well. We don't have the pitching staff to win out of the losers bracket. Friday and Saturday are big days for us.

Argentina Aggie said:

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The "no show" in Hoover dropped us 4 national seed spots, as we lost to an excellent Auburn team that took 3 of 4 games against us this season. Hope we get Nico and Sims back for Friday. If we lose on Friday, I don't think we make it out of our own regional. If we win on Friday, we have to win on Saturday as well. We don't have the pitching staff to win out of the losers bracket. Friday and Saturday are big days for us.

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It dropped us 4 spots in your mind, not those of the selection committee. It may have done nothing.

As for the OP's question, I am nervous about getting out of the regional. Bats gotta be ready

Argentina Aggie said:

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The "no show" in Hoover dropped us 4 national seed spots, as we lost to an excellent Auburn team that took 3 of 4 games against us this season. Hope we get Nico and Sims back for Friday. If we lose on Friday, I don't think we make it out of our own regional. If we win on Friday, we have to win on Saturday as well. We don't have the pitching staff to win out of the losers bracket. Friday and Saturday are big days for us.

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You need some motivation, freaking BAS Eeyore

The head of the selection committee inferred it was the low RPI of the non conference opponents. We need to schedule at least 1 harder non con and a mid level non con instead of 3 pushovers.

One of the few things that seems relatively consistent in the selections today is that the committee rewarded strength of schedule and punished those who have regionally relevant options, but chose to schedule cupcakes anyway.

Our future scheduling simply must change. We cannot rely solely on our conference schedule to buoy our RPI. If not we'll continue to have this issue.

Sean98 said:

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One of the few things that seems relatively consistent in the selections today is that the committee rewarded strength of schedule and punished those who have regionally relevant options, but chose to schedule cupcakes anyway.

Our future scheduling simply must change. We cannot rely solely on our conference schedule to buoy our RPI. If not we'll continue to have this issue.

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Honestly, I think, depending on the team they make different rules. There's certain teams that they want to see in there and they will bend for them, but not others.

Sean98 said:

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One of the few things that seems relatively consistent in the selections today is that the committee rewarded strength of schedule and punished those who have regionally relevant options, but chose to schedule cupcakes anyway.
Our future scheduling simply must change. We cannot rely solely on our conference schedule to buoy our RPI. If not we'll continue to have this issue.

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Sorry but I think it is all political. Which ADs were on the committee is a much more important metric for me. They will use whatever stat bolsters their agenda. It is not a bias against us. It is a bias for their teams.

That's mostly just stuff we fans like to focus on so we don't have to look at our warts. The teams immediately above us all scheduled Top 10 teams in the midweek. The chairman even noted with Mercer (who had plenty of RPI) that they didn't challenge themselves in non-con.

3 straight 200+ RPI to start the season and then a bunch more (including a 300+) on Tuesdays isn't going to cut it. That is something we can control. We may not be about to control injuries, or conference schedule, but we have 100% control over non-con scheduling. ...and we were #212.

for the analytics ppl

Regional Difficulty via TSR Based on the 2,3, and 4 Seeds

Kansas with a brutal draw, Arkansas has a higher rating than them, and they have the highest rated four seed. Texas with the easiest according to TSR, getting the lowest four seed and one of the lower three seeds. pic.twitter.com/nQexigHF18

— PEARatings (@PEARatings) May 25, 2026

Regional Win Probabilities

This expects 11 hosts to advance, up from the nine last year. Lincoln and Hattiesburg with the highest chances of a 3/4 seed advancing. Kansas as the most balanced regional via TSR. pic.twitter.com/9o4GObmAvW

— PEARatings (@PEARatings) May 25, 2026

That Chapel Hill regional is a bear, my goodness. You have to feel good about it if the Ags can make it out of ours.

Of course Texas got the easy draw.

jefe95 said:

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Of course Texas got the easy draw.

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UCSB and Tarelton are legit teams

TAMU1990 said:

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The head of the selection committee inferred it was the low RPI of the non conference opponents. We need to schedule at least 1 harder non con and a mid level non con instead of 3 pushovers.

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We need to start scheduling TCU and DBU midweeks again.

Maybe get a Northern Big 10 team in for a weekend series. They're technically power 4 but also typically pushovers, lol.

dermdoc said:

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Sean98 said:

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One of the few things that seems relatively consistent in the selections today is that the committee rewarded strength of schedule and punished those who have regionally relevant options, but chose to schedule cupcakes anyway.
Our future scheduling simply must change. We cannot rely solely on our conference schedule to buoy our RPI. If not we'll continue to have this issue.

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Sorry but I think it is all political. Which ADs were on the committee is a much more important metric for me. They will use whatever stat bolsters their agenda. It is not a bias against us. It is a bias for their teams.

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Yeah. Notice all three schools with an AD on the committee that were fighting for that last Top 8 seed with us ALL got seeded above us. Lol. Tell me that's not coincidence. Especially when we had the win over Florida and they had the win over Florida State.

Hmmm.

BadMoonRisin said:

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That Chapel Hill regional is a bear, my goodness. You have to feel good about it if the Ags can make it out of ours.

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I was snooping around a Carolina board last night and I saw someone say they'd trade their regional field for ours.

GigEmADED said:

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jefe95 said:

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Of course Texas got the easy draw.

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UCSB and Tarelton are legit teams

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Sure. But among all the fields, these stats say that it is the weakest field.

I'm at the point of preferring the computer to pick the brackets, removing as much of the politics from it as possible. We could do no worse!