Princess Diamond?

1,585 Views | 9 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Bruce Almighty
Agnzona
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Since that was essentially a controlled Petri Dish, has someone worked out all the numbers from it? Lot of reports but I have seen no real summary or analysis?

it does appear the social distancing worked as most of the passengers did not get it, but the food workers who still where working in tight conditions did. Out of the 3711 passengers and crew on board 712 tested positive with a death rate of about 1%. But 2/3rds where crew, so it would seem the passengers would be fairly representative of a worst case public scenario? Or at least what Social Distancing can achieve? What am I missing?
Robk
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Well I believe there are still 115 unresolved cases. Until those resolve I do not think you can draw conclusions. I was looking at the number and was wondering if reporting had dropped by the wayside since the numbers have not changed.
Stinky T
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AG
It is probably a good measurement for a place like New York City, which is essentially a land-based cruise ship with almost 9 million people.
NASAg03
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Experts have looked at the data and commented, but if it doesn't fit the narrative, then conclusions are thrown out, along with the case study.
Mike Shaw - Class of '03
FrioAg 00
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AG
I'd love to see data that I knew was current, as I fear this got difficult to track as people were sent home.

According to the latest sources feeding worldometers, of the 3700 passengers and crew, 712 got it (and everyone was tested). So 19% infected.

Of those 712, there have been 8 deaths. There are still 15 (if the data is current) in serious condition. So sitting at 1.1% case mortality but the potential to go as high as 3.2%.

What I haven't seen is an age distribution for the passengers and staff. I'm assuming the average cruise ship runs a disproportionately higher 65+ crowd, but I haven't seen it quantified
SVaggie84
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AG
A friend's brother and sister-in-law caught Corona virus on the Princess Cruise. They are probably late 60s or early 70s.

He never got very sick. May have been asymptomatic.

The sister-in-law got very, very sick and only improved when give an HIV drug.

They finally were over it and able to fly home last week.
TXAggie2011
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AG
Quote:

What I haven't seen is an age distribution for the passengers and staff. I'm assuming the average cruise ship runs a disproportionately higher 65+ crowd, but I haven't seen it quantified



https://www.cruise1st.co.uk/blog/cruise-holidays/how-old-is-the-average-cruise-passenger/

That's obviously not adjusted for seasonal variations.
DCAggie13y
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AG
FrioAg 00 said:

I'd love to see data that I knew was current, as I fear this got difficult to track as people were sent home.

According to the latest sources feeding worldometers, of the 3700 passengers and crew, 712 got it (and everyone was tested). So 19% infected.

Of those 712, there have been 8 deaths. There are still 15 (if the data is current) in serious condition. So sitting at 1.1% case mortality but the potential to go as high as 3.2%.

What I haven't seen is an age distribution for the passengers and staff. I'm assuming the average cruise ship runs a disproportionately higher 65+ crowd, but I haven't seen it quantified
I think you are right but I've noticed less reporting on the demographics, perhaps out of fear that younger people won't take it seriously.
Agnzona
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My other though is I bet everyone on the ship was exposed. So if that turns out to be true the numbers look much better.
slacker00
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AG
This whole situation has several problems that make interpretations or drawing a conclusion difficult. Aside from the ones already mentioned, Patient 0 was removed from the vessel in Hong Kong and they attempted to isolate the known infected from the non-infected.
Bruce Almighty
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AG
I saw the age distribution a few days ago but don't remember where. It was linked somewhere on this site. If I remember correctly, people in their 70s made up the largest number of people on the ship and nobody under 60 has died.
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