Death Rate by Age (Italy, Spain, China, SK)

5,493 Views | 36 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Fitch
ORAggieFan
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tmaggie50 said:

ORAggieFan said:

tmaggie50 said:

agsalaska said:

Nagler said:

Win At Life said:

Aggiebrewer said:

If that is even close to right we are so dumb to let this destroy our economy
You want to see 20 dead people carried out of every 200-man nursing home in the next few weeks? BTW, there are about 15,000 nursing homes in this country.

Why would that be necessary? As stated above, high risk should quarantine themselves. Keep nursing homes quarantined. The government can help, establish a task force to deliver food and necessities. High risk, stay home. Every one else, social distance or whatever you want to call it.

How exactly does that work? Talk me thru this. How do you quarantine a nursing home or, say all people over 70? There are 15,000 nursing homes. Are you creating 15,000 task forces?

And about these task forces, will they include doctors and nurses? How about people that perform the other 500 or so odd jobs in the nursing home. And are we sending them in wearing full containment suits? Or do we quarantine the task forces? And what about the other millions of Americans that are highly vulnerable but not in nursing homes? Is this done by some mobile hot zone strike force?

Also, what happens to you when you have appendicitis but can't get any help at the hospital? Do we count you as a statistic?

And while all of this is going on what is happening to the economy? Think the Dow hits 30k?


Slow down and think for a second. Is it easier and less costly to shut down the entire world or to shut down an a certain sector of the population who has mobility constraints anyways? Most people do not think the economy will just magically be better if you quarantine a certain demographic, but it would CERTAINLY slow the collapse of the US and world economy as we know it.
Why do you think that's possible? Do those who are at risk ever come in contact with people? Do doctors and care providers not have their kids go to school and remain in quarantine? How do you suggest taking care of these people and at the same time keeping the risk out? It's just not possible and we end up far worse than we are now.
I expect us to care for them the same way that we have been today. There is no perfect solution, there are just "less ****tier" ones than others and there are risks to every decision made. This path forward puts America back to work and hopefully slows the collapse of our economy until medicine catches up.
And then causes way were catastrophe then we are seeing now due to running out of hospital beds.

Just because those under 50 aren't dying doesn't mean they aren't being hospitalized, many are. They are just much more likely to live. We'd see a spike like Italy and struggle to contain it.
normaleagle05
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AG
And there it is....Pointy Haired Boss's literal spreadsheet that doesn't capture the complexity of the real world and the formulae don't point to the right cells. The right cells don't even exist.

You CANNOT extrapolate to a percentage of a population that may become infected the percentage death rate of a population that was laboratory confirmed to have been infected.

This is the method of the "You don't understand math!" crowd every damn time. It's infuriating. And it demonstrates you don't understand experiment design. GTFO with that! Stop posting it.
Fitch
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AG
Have a blessed day sir.
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